Trading Signals: MRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 6, 2014

Trading Signals: MRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Merck)
MRK latest price $51.5551 (-0.52%) ($51.4942 - $52.1118) on Thu. Nov. 6, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $51.5551(-0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MRK advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MRK advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(59%)    SPY(47%)    XLP(45%)    VT(43%)    XLF(40%)
Factors Impacting MRK price   MRK will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-13%)    IGOV(-4%)    UUP(-3%)    TIP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.34(0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.39(2.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.35(4.47%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $130.392b

Merck & Co., Inc. engages in the provision of health solutions through its prescription medicines, vaccines, biologic therapies, animal health, and consumer care products. It operates through the following segments: Pharmaceutical, Animal Health, Healthcare Services, and Alliances. The Pharmaceutical segment includes human health pharmaceutical and vaccine products. The Animal Health segment discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets animal health products, such as pharmaceutical and vaccine products, for the prevention, treatment and control of disease in livestock and companion animal species, which it sells to veterinarians, distributors, and animal producers. The Healthcare Services segment offers services and solutions that focus on engagement, health analytics, and clinical services to improve the value of care delivered to patients. The Alliances segment includes results from the Company's relationship with AstraZeneca LP related to sales of Nexium and Prilosec. The company was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Kenilworth, NJ.

$. MRK price fluctuates within 3.3% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2014	50.59	49.35	50.39	51.34			51.56(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	52	-10000	11	175	13.36	55%	0.02	1.5	1.25%	0	1.4	79	0
2	Nov_5_2014	50.58	49.33	50.15	51			51.82(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	62	-10000	19	189	12.68	53%	0.04	-3.5	1.25%	0	1.5	82	0
3	Nov_4_2014	50.56	49.32	49.8	50.41			51.65(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	55	-10000	19	164	11.34	53%	0.02	-9.9	1.27%	0	1.4	70	0
4	Nov_3_2014	50.55	49.26	49.42	49.8			51.26(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	-10000	14	123	10.18	53%	0.02	-22.4	1.27%	0	1.2	59	0
5	Oct_31_2014	50.54	49.27	49	49.37			50.41(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	2	81	14.07	49%	0	-28.4	1.26%	0	0.7	56	0

6	Oct_30_2014	50.54	49.33	48.66	49.31			49.86(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	3	44	12.87	49%	0	-28.2	1.28%	0	0.3	43	0
7	Oct_29_2014	50.54	49.38	48.33	49.2			48.89(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	2	-10000	4	-6	12.5	48%	-0.04	-31.5	1.26%	0	-0.3	37	0
8	Oct_28_2014	50.56	49.49	48.2	49.08			48.59(-1.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-11	-10000	4	-54	23.96	48%	-0.02	-36.3	1.27%	0	-0.5	32	0
9	Oct_27_2014	50.57	49.63	48.23	48.95			49.11(-2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	14	-74	14.42	48%	0	-39.9	1.26%	0	-0.3	42	0
10	Oct_24_2014	50.57	49.75	48.18	48.53			50.12(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-15	-10000	21	-124	8.56	50%	0	-47.9	1.24%	0	0.2	41	0

11	Oct_23_2014	50.57	49.82	48.22	47.91			49.27(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-29	-10000	19	-172	11.85	48%	0	-58.4	1.22%	0	-0.3	37	0
12	Oct_22_2014	50.57	49.95	48.4	47.35			48.29(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-50	-10000	5	-213	12.9	45%	-0.04	-65.6	1.19%	0	-0.8	38	0
13	Oct_21_2014	50.59	50.15	48.77	47.22			47.96(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-60	-10000	-7	-217	17.3	45%	-0.02	-66.7	1.19%	0	-1.1	37	0
14	Oct_20_2014	50.6	50.38	49.05	47.42			47.02(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-65	-10000	-13	-222	12.06	42%	-0.06	-64.9	1.17%	0	-1.7	30	0
15	Oct_17_2014	50.63	50.67	49.54	47.79			47(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-74	-10000	-29	-210	19.72	42%	-0.04	-62.7	1.17%	0	-2	30	0

16	Oct_16_2014	50.65	50.97	50.05	48.6			46.48(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-68	-10000	-35	-168	21.86	42%	-0.04	-55.2	1.16%	0	-2.7	27	0
17	Oct_15_2014	50.67	51.28	50.56	49.6			47.61(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-57	-10000	-34	-124	18.79	45%	-0.02	-49.4	1.12%	0	-2.8	29	0
18	Oct_14_2014	50.68	51.53	50.94	50.55			49.01(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-31	-10000	-14	-80	10.94	49%	-0.04	-40.9	1.07%	0	-2.5	31	0
19	Oct_13_2014	50.7	51.7	51.21	50.92			48.84(-4.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-34	-10000	-22	-70	14.82	49%	0	-38.3	1.07%	0	-3.4	30	0
20	Oct_10_2014	50.7	51.86	51.52	51.52			51.03(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-10000	-9	-46	11.29	56%	0.06	-38.2	0.93%	0	-1.6	37	0

21	Oct_9_2014	50.67	51.9	51.59	51.73			51.51(-1.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-7	-10000	3	-38	8.6	58%	0.06	-38.5	0.92%	0	-0.8	41	0
22	Oct_8_2014	50.64	51.9	51.63	51.67			52.36(2.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-4	-10000	11	-48	12.32	62%	0.08	-37.8	0.9%	0	0.8	48	0
23	Oct_7_2014	50.6	51.94	51.62	51.42			50.86(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-24	-10000	-7	-75	9.53	57%	0.06	-51	0.83%	0	-2.2	38	0
24	Oct_6_2014	50.57	52.02	51.78	51.56			51.83(-0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	-10000	1	-61	7.12	62%	0.08	-40.9	0.81%	0	-0.4	45	0
25	Oct_3_2014	50.53	52.06	51.86	51.53			52.11(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-10	-10000	4	-52	8.64	62%		-33	0.81%	0	0.1	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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