Trading Signals: MPC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: MPC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Marathon Petroleum Corporation)
MPC latest price $34.1774 (7.52%) ($32.4374 - $34.3010) on Thu. Mar. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.6% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $34.1774(7.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MPC advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MPC advances 5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MPC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(71%)    OIH(66%)    IWD(63%)    IWN(63%)    XOP(63%)
Factors Impacting MPC price   MPC will decline at least -1.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-15%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.8% (StdDev 3.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.08(6.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.21(9.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.22(13.1%)
To recent high   -32.2%
To recent low   22.7%
Market Cap   $22.215b

Marathon Petroleum Corp. is an independent petroleum product refiners, marketers and transporters in the United States. The company operates through the following segments: Refining & Marketing; Retail; and Midstream. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast and Midwest regions of the United States, purchases ethanol and refined products for resale and distributes refined products through various means, including barges, terminals and trucks that the company owns or operates. The Retail sells transportation fuels and convenience products in the retail market across the United States through company-owned and operated convenience stores, primarily under the Speedway brand, and long-term fuel supply contracts with direct dealers who operate locations mainly under the ARCO brand. The Midstream transports, stores, distributes and markets crude oil and refined products principally for the Refining & Marketing segment via refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, towboats and barges; gathers, processes and transports natural gas; and gathers, transports, fractionates, stores and markets NGLs. Marathon Petroleum was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Findlay, OH.

$. MPC price fluctuates within 5.29% (three month std-dev: 3.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160403

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_3_2016	42.14	30.22	31.21	32.08			34.18(7.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	30	-10000	10	88	9.91	35%	-0.24	-54.4	3.6%	0	2.5	75	0
2	Mar_2_2016	42.24	30.15	30.65	31.51			31.79(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	3	72	5.81	31%	-0.31	-73.4	3.51%	0	1.1	64	0
3	Mar_1_2016	42.37	30.35	30.48	31.37			31.71(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	10	81	7.68	31%	-0.33	-59.9	3.51%	0	0.7	65	0
4	Feb_29_2016	42.51	30.6	30.28	30.82			31.37(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	3	73	7.61	31%	-0.33	-51.4	3.49%	0	0.3	67	0
5	Feb_26_2016	42.65	30.89	30.04	30.66			31.34(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	25	-10000	9	71	5.92	31%	-0.35	-47.3	3.5%	0	0.1	58	0

6	Feb_25_2016	42.8	31.11	29.71	30.18			31.34(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	10	36	6.78	31%	-0.33	-47.5	3.52%	0	0.1	48	0
7	Feb_24_2016	42.94	31.33	29.43	29.66			31.11(7.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	4	-9	9.14	31%	-0.35	-50.3	3.53%	0	-0.1	41	0
8	Feb_23_2016	43.09	31.62	29.16	29.47			28.95(-5.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-3	-61	6.63	27%	-0.39	-48.2	3.38%	0	-0.7	29	0
9	Feb_22_2016	43.26	32.01	29.06	29.64			30.57(5.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	-10000	6	-105	6.63	28%	-0.32	-46.9	3.34%	0	-0.4	29	0
10	Feb_19_2016	43.4	32.4	28.91	29.34			28.93(0.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-38	-10000	4	-164	5.89	24%	-0.34	-47.3	3.23%	0	-0.9	22	0

11	Feb_18_2016	43.55	32.75	29.16	29.34			28.73(-4.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	-10000	0	-197	7.98	26%	-0.3	-51.8	3.23%	0	-1	28	0
12	Feb_17_2016	43.68	33.16	29.61	29.14			30.18(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-46	-10000	8	-206	7.62	27%	-0.27	-58.2	3.22%	0	-0.8	31	0
13	Feb_16_2016	43.8	33.51	30.17	28.79			29.8(2.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-49	-10000	9	-221	7.47	27%	-0.21	-64.7	3.22%	0	-0.9	27	0
14	Feb_12_2016	43.89	33.9	30.91	28.4			29.06(4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-60	-10000	-1	-235	7.3	27%	-0.32	-72.3	3.17%	0	-1.2	27	0
15	Feb_11_2016	44.03	34.43	31.75	28.44			27.94(-2.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-75	-10000	-17	-247	11.2	24%	-0.32	-76.7	3.11%	0	-1.6	20	0

16	Feb_10_2016	44.17	34.97	32.6	29.19			28.7(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-72	-10000	-21	-226	9.78	24%	-0.29	-83.8	3.11%	0	-1.7	34	0
17	Feb_9_2016	44.3	35.64	33.36	30.19			28.46(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-77	-10000	-33	-207	16.89	24%	-0.32	-82.8	3.11%	0	-2	31	0
18	Feb_8_2016	44.44	36.3	34.31	31.8			27.85(-4.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-70	-10000	-38	-165	17.27	24%	-0.31	-83.6	3.1%	0	-2.4	28	0
19	Feb_5_2016	44.58	37.02	35.27	33.8			29.27(-7.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-52	-10000	-32	-111	15.53	25%	-0.29	-87.4	3.06%	0	-2.6	30	0
20	Feb_4_2016	44.71	37.74	36.27	35.52			31.67(-6.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-29	-10000	-18	-62	17.64	27%	-0.25	-87.7	2.95%	0	-2.2	30	0

21	Feb_3_2016	44.82	38.37	36.75	36.48			33.71(-7.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-10000	-9	-43	15.69	31%	-0.2	-87	2.87%	0	-1.7	39	0
22	Feb_2_2016	44.91	38.97	37.09	36.96			36.5(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-4	-55	6.8	34%	-0.11	-78.6	2.76%	0	-0.9	36	0
23	Feb_1_2016	44.96	39.44	37.18	37.19			37.86(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10000	4	-66	6.67	35%	-0.13	-70.9	2.75%	0	-0.5	40	0
24	Jan_29_2016	45.02	39.87	37.13	37.01			37.87(3.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-28	-10000	-4	-98	7.01	37%	-0.13	-72.7	2.75%	0	-0.6	39	0
25	Jan_28_2016	45.08	40.32	37.27	37.2			36.45(0.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-26	-10000	2	-111	4.81	34%		-64.7	2.73%	0	-1.1	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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