Trading Signals: MPC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: MPC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Marathon Petroleum Corporation)
MPC latest price $46.2322 (2.56%) ($45.2985 - $46.2635) on Fri. Feb. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.25% (three month average)
RSI   94
Latest Price   $46.2322(2.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MPC advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MPC advances 6.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MPC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(69%)    OIH(64%)    IVE(62%)    XLI(61%)    XOP(61%)
Factors Impacting MPC price   MPC will decline at least -1.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.125% (StdDev 2.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.23(2.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.13(4.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.33(11.86%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   35.3%
Market Cap   $30.051b

Marathon Petroleum Corp. is an independent petroleum product refiners, marketers and transporters in the United States. The company operates through the following segments: Refining & Marketing; Retail; and Midstream. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast and Midwest regions of the United States, purchases ethanol and refined products for resale and distributes refined products through various means, including barges, terminals and trucks that the company owns or operates. The Retail sells transportation fuels and convenience products in the retail market across the United States through company-owned and operated convenience stores, primarily under the Speedway brand, and long-term fuel supply contracts with direct dealers who operate locations mainly under the ARCO brand. The Midstream transports, stores, distributes and markets crude oil and refined products principally for the Refining & Marketing segment via refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, towboats and barges; gathers, processes and transports natural gas; and gathers, transports, fractionates, stores and markets NGLs. Marathon Petroleum was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Findlay, OH.

$. MPC price fluctuates within 8.25% (three month std-dev: 2.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150313

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_13_2015	39.32	41.33	44.13	45.23			46.23(2.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	50	-10000	9	173	5.89	46%	0.23	70.2	2.25%	0	1.4	94	0
2	Feb_12_2015	39.23	40.73	43.63	44.77			45.08(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	50	-10000	7	177	6.36	44%	0.2	56	2.24%	0	1.2	94	0
3	Feb_11_2015	39.15	40.21	43.14	44.41			44.87(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	53	-10000	8	186	5.34	44%	0.2	45.6	2.24%	0	1.3	95	0
4	Feb_10_2015	39.07	39.76	42.63	43.99			45.43(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	-10000	12	202	9.03	44%	0.21	39.1	2.24%	0	1.6	0	0
5	Feb_9_2015	38.99	39.36	42.02	43.42			44.53(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	62	-10000	12	212	8.39	44%	0.13	35	2.22%	0	1.6	0	0

6	Feb_6_2015	38.94	39.07	41.49	42.87			43.96(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	66	-10000	12	229	9.89	46%	0.15	30.7	2.22%	0	1.6	0	0
7	Feb_5_2015	38.88	38.85	40.96	42.31			43.26(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	72	-10000	14	244	6.99	46%	0.1	27.9	2.24%	0	1.6	0	0
8	Feb_4_2015	38.84	38.64	40.37	41.66			42.76(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	71	-10000	13	246	9.12	46%	0.1	21.8	2.23%	0	1.6	95	0
9	Feb_3_2015	38.8	38.43	39.71	41.05			42.6(2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	68	-10000	14	228	8.43	46%	0.08	13.9	2.24%	0	1.7	79	0
10	Feb_2_2015	38.77	38.25	39.03	40.41			41.76(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	57	-10000	11	193	6.28	46%	0.1	6.6	2.23%	0	1.6	63	0

11	Jan_30_2015	38.73	38.17	38.31	39.9			41.16(2.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	-10000	11	145	9.76	49%	0.05	3	2.22%	0	1.4	54	0
12	Jan_29_2015	38.71	38.09	37.61	39.42			40.02(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	12	85	5.21	46%	0	-1.4	2.24%	0	0.9	45	0
13	Jan_28_2015	38.71	38.08	37.06	38.88			39.7(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	17	33	8.43	48%	-0.03	-5.4	2.25%	0	0.8	49	0
14	Jan_27_2015	38.72	38.08	36.66	38.14			39.42(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	8	-10000	17	-18	4.7	48%	-0.05	-11.5	2.28%	0	0.6	49	0
15	Jan_26_2015	38.74	38.08	36.47	37.41			39.21(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10000	23	-56	6.27	48%	-0.03	-15.3	2.28%	0	0.5	47	0

16	Jan_23_2015	38.75	38.1	36.42	36.46			38.75(3.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-8	-10000	23	-101	9.28	48%	-0.03	-23.6	2.29%	0	0.3	41	0
17	Jan_22_2015	38.76	38.12	36.52	35.54			37.33(3.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-25	-10000	14	-142	7.92	45%	-0.08	-28.8	2.24%	0	-0.3	39	0
18	Jan_21_2015	38.79	38.19	36.7	34.98			35.99(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-45	-10000	0	-178	7.16	46%	-0.1	-30.6	2.2%	0	-1	32	0
19	Jan_20_2015	38.83	38.34	37.01	34.97			35.75(3.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-54	-10000	-11	-184	7.45	48%	-0.13	-28.4	2.3%	0	-1.2	30	0
20	Jan_16_2015	38.88	38.45	37.39	35.42			34.48(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-63	-10000	-24	-181	9.14	47%	-0.13	-24.8	2.25%	0	-1.9	27	0

21	Jan_15_2015	38.93	38.63	38.02	36.39			34.17(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-58	-10000	-30	-141	9.46	45%	-0.15	-14	2.27%	0	-2.4	28	0
22	Jan_14_2015	38.99	38.79	38.65	37.65			34.51(-3.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-40	-10000	-23	-89	14.33	44%	-0.15	-2.7	2.3%	0	-2.7	30	0
23	Jan_13_2015	39.05	38.91	39.26	38.65			35.95(-5.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-22	-10000	-15	-42	12.58	45%	-0.1	6.8	2.25%	0	-2.2	39	0
24	Jan_12_2015	39.09	38.99	39.74	39.31			37.98(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7	-10000	-8	-5	8.26	49%	-0.05	7.6	2.16%	0	-0.8	48	0
25	Jan_9_2015	39.11	38.97	39.96	39.63			39.34(-2.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-7	25	5.37	49%		-4.9	2.12%	0	0.3	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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