Trading Signals: MP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 5, 2021

Trading Signals: MP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jun. 22, 2020 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MP Materials Corp)
MP latest price $36.6100 (-1.16%) ($35.6600 - $39.5400) on Fri. Nov. 5, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.67% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $36.6100(-1.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MP advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
REMX(68%)    IWM(65%)    IDRV(64%)    IWO(64%)    LIT(63%)
Factors Impacting MP price   MP will decline at least -1.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    UUP(-17%)    VXX(-11%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.835% (StdDev 3.67%)
Hourly BBV 0.6 ()
Intraday Trend -6.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.37(3.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35(4.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.54(5.99%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   23.8%
Market Cap   $5.931b

$. MP price fluctuates within 5.65% (three month std-dev: 3.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.35%(25%) Average negative next day return: -2.62%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.52%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -2.75%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 6.63%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.05%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20211205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_5_2021	34.42	34.54	35	35.37	35.6	36.91	36.61(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	280	39	16	3.72	51%	0.15	65	3.67%	0.6	1.1	58	1
2	Nov_4_2021	34.37	34.23	34.95	34.82	34.69	35.23	37.04(6.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	100	24	6	3.49	49%	0.12	50.8	3.67%	2	1.4	59	1.3
3	Nov_3_2021	34.33	33.9	34.76	34.35	34.17	34.3	34.94(3.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	10	11	-2	1.73	46%	0.09	38.7	3.64%	2	0.5	58	1.3
4	Nov_2_2021	34.3	33.65	34.87	33.91	33.98	34.15	33.84(-1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	5	40	6	-0	1.23	46%	0	26.4	3.61%	0.2	0.1	57	1.3
5	Nov_1_2021	34.3	33.49	35.01	33.84	33.59	34.04	34.44(1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-8	70	-12	5	1.74	46%	0.09	18.5	3.61%	0.3	0.4	61	1.2

6	Oct_29_2021	34.27	33.32	34.99	34.57	33.97	33.82	33.85(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-80	-6	41	1.38	48%	0.03	19.4	3.6%	-0.4	0.2	63	1.2
7	Oct_28_2021	34.26	33.22	35.03	35.1	34.85	33.15	34.67(5.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-360	-21	68	2.08	48%	0.03	21.7	3.64%	1.1	0.6	68	1.2
8	Oct_27_2021	34.25	33.1	34.89	35.25	35.43	34.12	32.76(-2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-19	-240	-51	77	7.71	46%	-0.09	25.5	3.57%	-1	-0.2	63	1.1
9	Oct_26_2021	34.28	33.1	34.92	35.94	36.2	36.55	33.48(-12.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	27	90	-8	133	8.74	46%	0	36.7	3.56%	-2.2	0.2	69	1.2
10	Oct_25_2021	34.28	33.07	34.82	36.28	36.23	36.75	38.1(4.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	74	100	35	190	2.33	51%	0.2	44.6	3.22%	1.5	2.2	83	1.4

11	Oct_22_2021	34.21	32.88	34.09	35.47	35.54	35.85	36.51(3.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	54	70	17	163	1.55	49%	0.15	41.8	3.2%	1.6	1.8	76	1.5
12	Oct_21_2021	34.16	32.73	33.47	34.96	34.99	35.7	35.39(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	140	21	144	1.15	49%	0.12	37.5	3.19%	-0.6	1.4	65	1.8
13	Oct_20_2021	34.12	32.53	32.98	34.49	34.49	35.22	36.22(3.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	57	150	34	126	1.92	49%	0.24	23.1	3.2%	1.3	2	66	1.7
14	Oct_19_2021	34.04	32.26	32.3	33.77	33.82	34.27	35.16(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	100	26	87	2.58	49%	0.03	5.3	3.2%	1.8	1.8	63	1.9
15	Oct_18_2021	34.03	32.07	31.8	33.13	33.19	33.76	34.06(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	130	24	49	1.24	47%	0.18	-17.8	3.18%	1	1.3	49	2.1

16	Oct_15_2021	33.97	32.05	31.47	32.5	32.62	33.37	33.98(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	170	33	9	1.74	47%	0.18	-29.7	3.22%	1.1	1.3	42	2
17	Oct_14_2021	33.91	32.03	31.22	31.75	31.89	32.63	33.04(1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	13	180	28	-31	1.67	47%	0.18	-41.9	3.2%	1	0.7	43	1.9
18	Oct_13_2021	33.85	32.12	31.11	31.22	31.25	31.87	32.59(1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	10	140	28	-45	1.26	44%	0.21	-41.5	3.21%	1.4	0.3	55	1.5
19	Oct_12_2021	33.78	32.18	31.04	30.62	30.76	31.15	31.99(3.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	100	18	-62	1.8	44%	0.18	-51.3	3.29%	1.6	-0.1	55	1.4
20	Oct_11_2021	33.72	32.34	31.16	30.29	30.32	30.64	30.9(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	80	4	-70	1.65	42%	0.12	-49.6	3.28%	0.8	-0.8	49	1.3

21	Oct_8_2021	33.68	32.5	31.54	30.28	30.3	30.37	30.21(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	20	-3	-69	1.14	42%	0.09	-51.3	3.27%	-0.1	-1.3	37	1.9
22	Oct_7_2021	33.65	32.67	31.93	30.62	30.48	30	30.43(2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-120	-14	-63	1.76	42%	0.09	-48.3	3.27%	0.5	-1.3	38	1.4
23	Oct_6_2021	33.62	32.8	32.06	30.98	30.87	30.22	29.57(-2.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-40	-160	-28	-76	2.42	42%	0.06	-47.8	3.25%	-1	-1.9	31	0.7
24	Oct_5_2021	33.6	33.06	32.26	31.5	31.59	30.96	30.33(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-130	-26	-75	1.68	42%	0.09	-40.9	3.24%	-1.3	-1.8	39	0.5
25	Oct_4_2021	33.57	33.27	32.42	32.15	32.13	31.53	30.87(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-44	-130	-33	-78	1.76	42%		-29.7	3.26%	-1.4	-1.7	36	-0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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