Trading Signals: MO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: MO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Altria Group Inc)
MO latest price $55.0424 (0.79%) ($54.2914 - $55.1219) on Tue. Mar. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $55.0424(0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MO advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MO advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(60%)    SDY(53%)    VYM(52%)    IVE(51%)    IWD(50%)
Factors Impacting MO price   MO will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    UUP(-10%)    VIXM(-9%)    IPO(-3%)    DIA(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $54.92(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.74(0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.14(1.67%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $102.29b

Altria Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the manufacture and sale of cigarettes in the United States. It operates through the following segments: Smokeable Products, Smokeless Products, and Wine. The Smokeable Products segment comprised of cigarettes manufactured and sold by PM USA and machine-made large cigars and pipe tobacco manufactured and sold by Middleton. The Smokeless products segment manufactured and sold by or on behalf of USSTC and PM USA. The Wine segment producer of Washington State wines, primarily Chateau Ste. Michelle and Columbia Crest, and owns wineries in or distributes wines from several other wine regions. The company was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Richmond, VA.

$. MO price fluctuates within 1.42% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160408

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_8_2016	51.93	54.14	54.74	54.92			55.04(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	3	53	5.88	52%	0.06	65.5	1.2%	0	1.2	65	0
2	Mar_7_2016	51.9	54.04	54.67	54.82			54.61(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-10000	1	57	9.97	52%	0.06	58.2	1.2%	0	0.8	64	0
3	Mar_4_2016	51.87	53.95	54.62	54.78			55.64(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	24	-10000	8	70	5.93	58%	0.1	48.6	1.18%	0	2.1	77	0
4	Mar_3_2016	51.82	53.79	54.41	54.52			54.98(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	14	-10000	-1	57	5.12	54%	0.1	42.6	1.21%	0	1.6	74	0
5	Mar_2_2016	51.77	53.69	54.26	54.55			54.34(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-10000	1	65	5.62	54%	0.08	50.8	1.21%	0	0.9	69	0

6	Mar_1_2016	51.73	53.64	54.18	54.53			54.54(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10000	1	65	7.1	54%	0.1	60.6	1.21%	0	1.3	65	0
7	Feb_29_2016	51.68	53.6	54.05	54.49			54.4(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	2	67	6.27	54%	0.1	78.5	1.2%	0	1.2	67	0
8	Feb_26_2016	51.63	53.57	53.92	54.43			54.37(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	6	68	5.54	54%	0.1	96.6	1.2%	0	1.3	69	0
9	Feb_25_2016	51.58	53.49	53.78	54.25			55.11(1.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	24	-10000	10	66	5.21	56%	0.12	104.2	1.2%	0	2.6	83	0
10	Feb_24_2016	51.52	53.33	53.57	53.94			54.21(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	5	51	4.19	54%	0.12	113.1	1.18%	0	1.5	70	0

11	Feb_23_2016	51.46	53.23	53.48	53.77			54.35(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	-10000	7	43	4.69	54%	0.12	106.3	1.18%	0	1.9	60	0
12	Feb_22_2016	51.4	53.09	53.35	53.56			54.08(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	7	26	4.59	54%	0.12	98.3	1.18%	0	1.6	50	0
13	Feb_19_2016	51.34	52.96	53.22	53.34			53.51(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10000	3	4	4.98	54%	0.14	85	1.18%	0	0.8	41	0
14	Feb_18_2016	51.27	52.83	53.13	53.24			53.56(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	3	-3	5.52	54%	0.12	66	1.18%	0	0.9	60	0
15	Feb_17_2016	51.21	52.69	53.13	53.24			53.36(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-1	-10000	0	-3	5.31	54%	0.12	46.3	1.19%	0	0.7	64	0

16	Feb_16_2016	51.15	52.6	53.06	53.14			53.28(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	1	9	6.59	54%	0.18	41.3	1.19%	0	0.7	63	0
17	Feb_12_2016	51.06	52.47	53.1	53.11			52.98(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	1	27	6.72	54%	0.12	34	1.19%	0	0.5	66	0
18	Feb_11_2016	51	52.4	53.2	53.08			53(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	3	49	5.87	54%	0.1	33	1.19%	0	0.6	67	0
19	Feb_10_2016	50.95	52.3	53.17	52.99			53.05(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	1	61	6.14	54%	0.12	25.1	1.19%	0	0.7	72	0
20	Feb_9_2016	50.89	52.27	53.09	52.99			53.41(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	19	-10000	0	74	7.67	54%	0.12	28.1	1.19%	0	1.1	77	0

21	Feb_8_2016	50.83	52.22	52.96	52.96			53.12(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	-10000	-5	78	7.92	54%	0.12	37.8	1.19%	0	0.9	62	0
22	Feb_5_2016	50.77	52.13	52.82	53.11			52.83(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-10000	-7	95	7.51	52%	0.1	42.7	1.21%	0	0.7	67	0
23	Feb_4_2016	50.72	52.06	52.7	53.34			52.55(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	28	-10000	-1	114	6.36	52%	0.08	47.4	1.21%	0	0.5	58	0
24	Feb_3_2016	50.68	52.04	52.54	53.37			52.87(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	33	-10000	5	118	7.98	46%	0.12	49.5	1.21%	0	0.8	62	0
25	Feb_2_2016	50.62	51.98	52.32	53.21			53.44(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	8	89	6.73	46%		47.6	1.32%	0	1.5	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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