Trading Signals: MO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: MO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Altria Group Inc)
MO latest price $44.3611 (0.04%) ($44.3440 - $44.7722) on Wed. May. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $44.3611(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MO advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(61%)    VYM(53%)    IVE(51%)    SPY(45%)    XLI(45%)
Factors Impacting MO price   MO will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.7(-0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.36(0%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.03(0.75%)
To recent high   -7.4%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $82.44b

Altria Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the manufacture and sale of cigarettes in the United States. It operates through the following segments: Smokeable Products, Smokeless Products, and Wine. The Smokeable Products segment comprised of cigarettes manufactured and sold by PM USA and machine-made large cigars and pipe tobacco manufactured and sold by Middleton. The Smokeless products segment manufactured and sold by or on behalf of USSTC and PM USA. The Wine segment producer of Washington State wines, primarily Chateau Ste. Michelle and Columbia Crest, and owns wineries in or distributes wines from several other wine regions. The company was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Richmond, VA.

$. MO price fluctuates within 1.52% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150620

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2015	44.73	44.03	44.36	44.7			44.36(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	26	-10000	5	88	4.43	40%	0.04	7.2	1.15%	0	0.5	64	0
2	May_19_2015	44.71	44.04	44.27	44.56			44.34(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	-10000	4	85	4.76	40%	0.04	4.5	1.15%	0	0.4	63	0
3	May_18_2015	44.69	44.05	44.16	44.45			44.49(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	4	67	4.94	40%	0.02	0	1.15%	0	0.6	51	0
4	May_15_2015	44.68	44.07	44.05	44.35			45.23(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	18	-10000	5	56	5.02	42%	0.02	0	1.13%	0	1.7	57	0
5	May_14_2015	44.67	44.02	43.86	44.23			45.05(3.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	-10000	9	38	6.82	42%	0.04	-8.6	1.13%	0	1.5	51	0

6	May_13_2015	44.65	43.98	43.64	44			43.68(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	1	-10000	2	-1	5.76	34%	0.02	-18.9	1.07%	0	-0.5	39	0
7	May_12_2015	44.64	44.01	43.57	43.95			43.8(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	-10000	6	-23	5.85	37%	0.02	-20.7	1.08%	0	-0.3	42	0
8	May_11_2015	44.63	44.05	43.57	43.81			43.97(-1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	5	-37	5.4	41%	0.04	-24.8	1.1%	0	-0.1	43	0
9	May_8_2015	44.61	44.05	43.61	43.7			44.68(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-6	-10000	11	-55	5.55	45%	0.04	-27.3	1.1%	0	0.9	44	0
10	May_7_2015	44.59	44.07	43.58	43.44			43.88(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	-10000	9	-73	5.13	41%	0.04	-30.7	1.08%	0	-0.3	46	0

11	May_6_2015	44.57	44.1	43.66	43.23			43.4(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	-10000	4	-88	7.01	39%	0.04	-31.3	1.08%	0	-1.1	39	0
12	May_5_2015	44.55	44.15	43.77	43.15			43.12(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-32	-10000	-10	-96	4.97	39%	0.04	-26.6	1.08%	0	-1.6	42	0
13	May_4_2015	44.53	44.21	43.92	43.38			43.4(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	-10000	-6	-80	4.96	39%	0.02	-9.8	1.08%	0	-1.4	40	0
14	May_1_2015	44.52	44.25	44.09	43.51			43.38(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-10	-66	5.96	42%	0.04	3.9	1.08%	0	-1.5	43	0
15	Apr_30_2015	44.5	44.28	44.19	43.75			42.86(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-27	-10000	-16	-60	10.13	37%	0.02	24.2	1.08%	0	-2.6	34	0

16	Apr_29_2015	44.49	44.3	44.37	44.14			42.99(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-17	-10000	-13	-30	11.26	37%	0	48.7	1.12%	0	-2.5	41	0
17	Apr_28_2015	44.49	44.31	44.51	44.47			44.28(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-10000	-3	-5	6.6	39%	0.04	56.6	1.06%	0	-0.1	52	0
18	Apr_27_2015	44.47	44.27	44.55	44.54			44.02(-1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-7	-10000	-9	1	6.45	39%	0.02	49.6	1.07%	0	-0.4	49	0
19	Apr_24_2015	44.46	44.23	44.59	44.75			44.59(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10000	2	24	4.91	41%	0.05	49.3	1.05%	0	0.6	56	0
20	Apr_23_2015	44.44	44.14	44.62	44.7			44.83(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	2	34	8.19	41%	0.05	35.9	1.05%	0	1	61	0

21	Apr_22_2015	44.42	44.05	44.58	44.64			44.64(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	3	46	9.81	41%	0.05	26.7	1.06%	0	0.8	67	0
22	Apr_21_2015	44.4	44.01	44.54	44.64			44.62(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	0	56	6.47	41%	0.07	20.8	1.06%	0	0.9	69	0
23	Apr_20_2015	44.37	43.98	44.51	44.56			45.07(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	6	72	8.74	43%	0.07	19.1	1.06%	0	1.6	67	0
24	Apr_17_2015	44.34	43.92	44.41	44.41			44.32(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10000	-6	70	7.5	40%	0	14.4	1.05%	0	0.6	64	0
25	Apr_16_2015	44.34	43.9	44.37	44.54			44.58(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	1	96	7.57	42%		16	1.06%	0	1.1	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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