Trading Signals: MO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: MO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Altria Group Inc)
MO latest price $45.0720 (1.7%) ($44.5324 - $45.2518) on Mon. Apr. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.06% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $45.0720(1.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MO advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(61%)    VYM(53%)    IVE(51%)    SPY(45%)    XLI(45%)
Factors Impacting MO price   MO will decline at least -0.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.53% (StdDev 1.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.56(1.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.51(1.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.98(2.48%)
To recent high   -5.9%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $83.761b

Altria Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the manufacture and sale of cigarettes in the United States. It operates through the following segments: Smokeable Products, Smokeless Products, and Wine. The Smokeable Products segment comprised of cigarettes manufactured and sold by PM USA and machine-made large cigars and pipe tobacco manufactured and sold by Middleton. The Smokeless products segment manufactured and sold by or on behalf of USSTC and PM USA. The Wine segment producer of Washington State wines, primarily Chateau Ste. Michelle and Columbia Crest, and owns wineries in or distributes wines from several other wine regions. The company was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Richmond, VA.

$. MO price fluctuates within 1.57% (three month std-dev: 1.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2015	44.37	43.98	44.51	44.56			45.07(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	6	72	8.74	43%	0.07	19.1	1.06%	0	1.6	67	0
2	Apr_17_2015	44.34	43.92	44.41	44.41			44.32(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10000	-6	70	7.5	40%	0	14.4	1.05%	0	0.6	64	0
3	Apr_16_2015	44.34	43.9	44.37	44.54			44.58(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	1	96	7.57	42%	0.07	16	1.06%	0	1.1	69	0
4	Apr_15_2015	44.31	43.9	44.23	44.54			44.2(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	24	-10000	0	97	5.94	45%	0.05	12.9	1.06%	0	0.6	65	0
5	Apr_14_2015	44.29	43.86	44.1	44.51			44.64(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	3	89	4.96	45%	0.09	6.5	1.07%	0	1.3	57	0

6	Apr_13_2015	44.25	43.85	43.97	44.44			44.34(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	2	74	6.73	45%	0.07	-4.3	1.07%	0	0.8	50	0
7	Apr_10_2015	44.22	43.83	43.85	44.39			44.97(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	-10000	9	65	6.44	47%	0.09	-16.1	1.06%	0	1.9	57	0
8	Apr_9_2015	44.18	43.8	43.63	44.17			44.41(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	12	39	4.56	45%	0.09	-47.7	1.05%	0	1.1	54	0
9	Apr_8_2015	44.14	43.79	43.48	43.9			44.21(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	12	7	5.88	48%	0.07	-85.9	1.05%	0	0.8	51	0
10	Apr_7_2015	44.11	43.82	43.42	43.62			44.28(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	2	-10000	9	-19	7.37	51%	0.07	-110.6	1.07%	0	0.7	48	0

11	Apr_6_2015	44.08	43.88	43.4	43.42			44.1(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-4	-10000	8	-38	7.58	51%	0.14	-115.7	1.09%	0	0.3	42	0
12	Apr_2_2015	44.02	43.93	43.38	43.23			43.84(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	9	-53	9	51%	0.05	-100	1.09%	0	-0.1	47	0
13	Apr_1_2015	44	44.07	43.37	43.02			43.08(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-19	-10000	1	-79	7.77	48%	0.05	-90.5	1.07%	0	-0.8	34	0
14	Mar_31_2015	43.98	44.27	43.46	43			42.84(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-10000	-8	-89	7.91	46%	0.02	-79.4	1.08%	0	-1	36	0
15	Mar_30_2015	43.97	44.52	43.6	43.18			43.27(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-10000	-8	-88	7.22	46%	0.05	-69.2	1.08%	0	-0.8	32	0

16	Mar_27_2015	43.95	44.74	43.73	43.37			43.11(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10000	-8	-88	8.57	46%	0.02	-60.6	1.08%	0	-1	27	0
17	Mar_26_2015	43.94	44.96	43.82	43.56			42.82(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10000	-9	-90	14.55	46%	0.02	-55.6	1.09%	0	-1.3	29	0
18	Mar_25_2015	43.93	45.2	44	43.77			42.95(-1.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-33	-10000	-9	-104	10.19	46%	0.05	-52.2	1.09%	0	-1.4	22	0
19	Mar_24_2015	43.91	45.42	44.14	43.98			43.77(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-34	-10000	-3	-125	7.22	49%	0.07	-50.1	1.07%	0	-1.1	23	0
20	Mar_23_2015	43.88	45.59	44.27	44.06			44.21(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-41	-10000	-4	-153	8.65	49%	0.09	-48.5	1.06%	0	-0.9	22	0

21	Mar_20_2015	43.84	45.73	44.4	44.15			44.04(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-10000	0	-175	13.74	49%	0.09	-46.1	1.05%	0	-1.1	20	0
22	Mar_19_2015	43.8	45.89	44.52	44.14			43.91(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-55	-10000	-5	-206	6.7	47%	0.09	-47.7	1.06%	0	-1.3	21	0
23	Mar_18_2015	43.76	46.06	44.82	44.27			43.97(-0.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-53	-10000	-3	-201	14.05	51%	0.09	-46.4	1.08%	0	-1.5	24	0
24	Mar_17_2015	43.72	46.21	45.14	44.33			44.21(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-10000	-7	-192	6.05	53%	0.11	-44.8	1.13%	0	-1.5	29	0
25	Mar_16_2015	43.67	46.35	45.49	44.51			44.61(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-51	-10000	-8	-178	7.63	53%		-37.2	1.13%	0	-1.4	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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