Trading Signals: MGA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Aug. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: MGA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jan. 19, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Magna International Inc.)
MGA latest price $39.9200 (4.23%) ($39.0001 - $40.1800) on Sun. Aug. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.18% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $39.9200(4.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MGA advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MGA declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MGA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting MGA price   MGA will decline at least -1.09% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.09% (StdDev 2.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.42(3.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.6(3.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.17(4.58%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   18.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MGA price fluctuates within 3.07% (three month std-dev: 2.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 2.19%(38%) Average negative next day return: -0.19%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 3.58%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -2.65%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 9.67%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.83%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160907

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2016	39.74	38.17	38.6	38.42	38.33	38.92	39.92(4.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	28	100	33	12	2.34	36%	-0.08	83.4	2.18%	0	1.5	62	0
2	Aug_4_2016	39.77	37.93	38.48	38.15	38.05	37.92	38.3(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	-30	6	-1	1.23	28%	-0.1	65.7	2.12%	0	0.3	58	0
3	Aug_3_2016	39.81	37.73	38.53	38.06	38.07	37.74	37.98(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-60	-19	-7	1.09	28%	-0.1	52.8	2.17%	0	0.2	54	0
4	Aug_2_2016	39.85	37.54	38.57	38.35	38.24	38.18	37.35(-3.14%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-11	-20	-19	13	1.54	28%	-0.1	53.5	2.17%	0	-0.1	57	0
5	Aug_1_2016	39.89	37.39	38.66	38.74	38.61	38.4	38.56(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-50	-1	47	0.88	30%	-0.08	60.1	2.14%	0	0.7	71	0

6	Jul_29_2016	39.92	37.21	38.62	38.8	38.73	38.3	38.57(1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-80	-15	62	1.07	30%	-0.05	57.5	2.15%	0	0.7	76	0
7	Jul_28_2016	39.94	37.04	38.62	38.86	38.87	38.82	37.85(-3.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10	-14	84	2.8	30%	-0.08	45.6	2.15%	0	0.4	76	0
8	Jul_27_2016	39.97	36.9	38.53	39.06	38.99	39.16	39.42(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	44	30	13	136	1.46	32%	0	38.3	2.09%	0	1.3	96	0
9	Jul_26_2016	39.97	36.62	38.29	38.83	38.85	38.93	39.28(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	47	20	12	152	1.03	32%	-0.05	22.2	2.1%	0	1.4	96	0
10	Jul_25_2016	39.99	36.34	38.02	38.58	38.65	38.82	38.88(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	40	8	163	0.86	32%	-0.07	4.6	2.09%	0	1.3	93	0

11	Jul_22_2016	40.02	36.19	37.7	38.43	38.41	38.78	38.89(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	70	18	169	1.09	32%	-0.02	-5.5	2.1%	0	1.5	76	0
12	Jul_21_2016	40.03	36.21	37.33	38.14	38.14	38.47	38.81(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	60	19	161	1.35	32%	-0.02	-6.3	2.1%	0	1.4	75	0
13	Jul_20_2016	40.04	36.19	36.85	37.92	37.91	38.04	38.3(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	20	14	147	1.08	36%	-0.02	-9.7	2.09%	0	1.1	75	0
14	Jul_19_2016	40.05	36.2	36.42	37.66	37.77	37.81	38.03(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	20	12	138	1.16	36%	-0.02	-12.9	2.11%	0	0.9	79	0
15	Jul_18_2016	40.06	36.25	36.01	37.36	37.48	37.78	38.1(1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	47	70	18	132	1.16	36%	0	-15.8	2.11%	0	0.9	80	0

16	Jul_15_2016	40.06	36.28	35.68	36.86	37.17	37.73	37.48(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	130	34	109	1.54	36%	0.05	-24	2.11%	0	0.6	55	0
17	Jul_14_2016	40.04	36.33	35.43	36.37	36.59	37.19	37.69(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	130	44	55	1.64	36%	0.07	-34.5	2.11%	0	0.6	39	0
18	Jul_13_2016	40.01	36.37	35.12	35.62	35.86	36.61	37.01(1.34%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	29	170	42	-9	1.83	39%	0.05	-48.1	2.1%	0	0.3	42	0
19	Jul_12_2016	39.99	36.45	34.79	34.98	35.17	35.99	36.52(2.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	15	180	45	-74	2.03	39%	0.03	-59.3	2.12%	0	0	40	0
20	Jul_11_2016	39.98	36.58	34.5	34.46	34.45	35.12	35.62(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-18	140	25	-148	2.28	36%	0.03	-65.9	2.1%	0	-0.4	34	0

21	Jul_8_2016	39.97	36.8	34.52	34.34	34.2	34.35	35.01(3.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-38	20	11	-184	1.95	36%	0.03	-64.8	2.09%	0	-0.7	33	0
22	Jul_7_2016	39.96	37.1	34.97	34.36	34.34	33.79	33.92(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-60	-110	-16	-190	1.41	29%	-0.05	-61.2	2.05%	0	-1.2	31	0
23	Jul_6_2016	39.98	37.48	35.45	34.56	34.59	34.06	33.83(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-63	-100	-23	-183	2.51	29%	0.03	-57.2	2.09%	0	-1.4	30	0
24	Jul_5_2016	39.97	37.87	35.96	34.55	34.83	34.89	33.93(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	40	-2	-176	2.01	29%	0	-56.8	2.09%	0	-1.5	30	0
25	Jul_1_2016	39.97	38.22	36.52	34.49	34.7	35.13	35.03(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-41	110	4	-177	1.25	30%		-60.9	2.06%	0	-1.3	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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