Trading Signals: MGA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Mar. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: MGA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jan. 19, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Magna International Inc.)
MGA latest price $41.0700 (1.91%) ($40.2300 - $41.1450) on Sat. Mar. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.52% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $41.0700(1.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MGA advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MGA advances 8.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MGA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting MGA price   MGA will decline at least -1.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.26% (StdDev 2.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.9(2.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.99(8.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.59(15.4%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   30.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MGA price fluctuates within 8.68% (three month std-dev: 2.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 1.8%(38%) Average negative next day return: -3.33%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 2.75%(23%) Average negative next three day return: -4.93%(77%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 5.55%(31%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.63%(69%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160405

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2016	34.96	35.59	37.99	39.9	40.03	40.48	41.07(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	76	90	30	212	1.99	65%	0.55	55.5	2.52%	0	1.8	85	0
2	Mar_3_2016	34.77	35.17	37.3	39.34	39.48	39.89	40.3(1.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	77	80	31	213	1.99	65%	0.52	53	2.55%	0	1.8	87	0
3	Mar_2_2016	34.59	34.77	36.73	38.38	39	39.58	39.65(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	84	150	43	205	1.77	65%	0.49	42.9	2.58%	0	1.9	86	0
4	Mar_1_2016	34.42	34.45	36.24	37.4	37.88	39.08	39.65(2.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	84	260	47	194	2.88	65%	0.53	33.4	2.63%	0	2.2	86	0
5	Feb_29_2016	34.24	34.19	35.63	36.46	36.59	38.43	38.85(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	87	360	56	179	3.2	65%	0.47	28	2.66%	0	2.3	85	0

6	Feb_26_2016	34.08	33.95	35.04	35.8	35.76	36.69	38.23(7.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	87	180	62	161	4.02	65%	0.47	20.7	2.7%	0	2.5	73	0
7	Feb_25_2016	33.92	33.73	34.37	34.99	34.98	34.75	35.51(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-50	5	117	1.75	57%	0.18	8.6	2.34%	0	1.3	62	0
8	Feb_24_2016	33.86	33.73	33.99	34.84	34.75	34.83	34.78(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	17	10	-11	100	1.83	57%	0.09	9.8	2.35%	0	0.8	62	0
9	Feb_23_2016	33.83	33.69	33.67	34.89	34.9	35.21	34.95(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	60	19	97	1.58	57%	0.15	13.9	2.4%	0	0.9	54	0
10	Feb_22_2016	33.78	33.64	33.32	34.63	34.74	34.68	35.51(3.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	-0	19	61	2.07	57%	0.24	0	2.42%	0	1.4	49	0

11	Feb_19_2016	33.7	33.6	33.02	34.14	34.32	34.59	34.22(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	70	14	27	1.85	51%	0.06	0	2.35%	0	0.5	47	0
12	Feb_18_2016	33.68	33.61	32.89	33.62	33.92	34.81	34.76(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	210	43	8	1.63	51%	0.15	0	2.38%	0	0.9	50	0
13	Feb_17_2016	33.63	33.56	32.66	33	33.02	34.05	34.99(3.92%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.5	28	220	48	-32	2.73	51%	0.21	0	2.43%	0	1.1	47	0
14	Feb_16_2016	33.56	33.5	32.51	32.27	32.33	33.02	33.67(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	12	150	41	-77	2.32	44%	0.03	0	2.34%	0	0.1	40	0
15	Feb_12_2016	33.55	33.5	32.61	31.83	31.74	32	33.08(4.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	50	13	5	2.19	44%	-0.09	0	2.36%	0	25.6	45	0

16	Feb_11_2016	33.58	33.5	32.74	31.75	31.53	31.63	31.6(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	0	-12	-5	2.74	32%	-0.36	0	2.11%	0	23.9	31	0
17	Feb_10_2016	33.7	33.5	33.02	32.07	31.93	31.49	31.65(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-110	-8	-3	2.7	32%	-0.38	0	2.17%	0	24.9	36	0
18	Feb_9_2016	33.83	33.5	33.35	32.27	32.17	31.43	31.37(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-37	-170	-43	-17	4.35	32%	-0.47	0	2.21%	0	26.1	39	0
19	Feb_8_2016	33.99	33.5	33.74	32.76	32.73	32.38	31.45(-3.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-33	-80	-39	-16	2.31	32%	-0.53	0	2.29%	0	30	39	0
20	Feb_5_2016	34.17	33.5	34.03	33.5	33.35	32.91	32.69(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-17	-110	-20	-8	1.75	39%	-0.32	0	2.19%	0	39.4	50	0

21	Feb_4_2016	34.28	33.5	34.28	33.88	33.77	33.08	33.17(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-24	-150	-28	-11	2.32	39%	-0.29	0	2.25%	0	44.2	50	0
22	Feb_3_2016	34.38	33.5	34.43	34.12	34.22	33.79	32.65(-3.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-27	-80	-32	-13	3	39%	-0.43	0	2.28%	0	46.6	50	0
23	Feb_2_2016	34.53	33.5	34.58	34.6	34.58	34.47	33.85(-3.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-12	-20	-14	-6	2.11	48%	-0.2	0	2.15%	0	69.1	50	0
24	Feb_1_2016	34.6	33.5	34.62	34.86	34.83	34.64	35.12(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-40	5	2	1.98	65%	0.14	0	1.88%	0	74.7	50	0
25	Jan_29_2016	34.55	33.5	34.62	34.65	34.84	34.7	34.59(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10	-14	-6	1.84	65%		0	1.95%	0	75.2	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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