Trading Signals: MELI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MELI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: MELI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MercadoLibre Inc)
MELI latest price $133.9786 (-3.47%) ($133.2420 - $139.1938) on Wed. Dec. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.84% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $133.9786(-3.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MELI declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MELI advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MELI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(62%)    SPY(55%)    XLK(55%)    XLY(55%)    VT(53%)
Factors Impacting MELI price   MELI will decline at least -1.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.42% (StdDev 2.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.4%

Resistance Level   $136.45
5 Day Moving Average   $137.09(-2.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $137.95(-2.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $136.45(-1.81%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   30%
Market Cap   $6.66b

MercadoLibre, Inc. engages in the provision of online commerce platform with focus on e-commerce and its related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Brazil, Argentina, Mexico, Venezuela, and Other Countries. The firm provides users a mechanism for buying, selling and paying as well as collecting, generating leads, and comparing lists through e-commerce transactions. The company was founded by Marcos Eduardo Galperin on October 15, 1999 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

$. MELI price fluctuates within 1.98% (three month std-dev: 2.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_10_2014	115.33		137.95	137.09			133.98(-3.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-4	-10000	-5	-0	0.33	76%	0.4	28.3	2.84%	0	-0.9	55	0
2	Dec_9_2014	114.87	136.45	138.49	138.09			138.79(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	0	18	0.41	82%	0.45	31.7	2.8%	0	0.9	71	0
3	Dec_8_2014	114.36	136.26	138.45	138.07			138.4(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	0	27	0.49	82%	0.45	32.5	2.8%	0	0.8	75	0
4	Dec_5_2014	113.85	136	138.34	138.03			136.63(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-10000	-3	32	0.27	82%	0.45	30.3	2.8%	0	0.2	66	0
5	Dec_4_2014	113.34	135.83	138.18	138.57			137.63(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-2	43	0.31	82%	0.43	67.3	2.8%	0	0.7	76	0

6	Dec_3_2014	112.86	135.69	137.84	138.57			139.01(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	12	-10000	0	48	0.75	82%	0.44	111.5	2.79%	0	1.2	65	0
7	Dec_2_2014	112.36	135.6	137.36	138.94			138.66(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	0	50	0.43	82%	0.44	157.4	2.8%	0	1.2	65	0
8	Dec_1_2014	111.87	135.39	136.75	138.89			138.22(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	1	48	0.7	82%	0.45	213.2	2.8%	0	1.1	58	0
9	Nov_28_2014	111.37	135.19	136.25	138.68			139.34(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	5	48	0.14	82%	0.64	267.8	2.79%	0	1.7	65	0
10	Nov_26_2014	110.66	134.01	135.4	137.69			139.46(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	6	37	0.22	82%	0.45	100.4	2.77%	0	0.8	66	0

11	Nov_25_2014	110.16	132.74	134.81	136.56			139.03(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	5	26	0.29	82%	0.42	89.8	2.77%	0	0.8	58	0
12	Nov_24_2014	109.7	131.56	134.21	135.55			138.41(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	7	12	0.33	82%	0.27	77.5	2.78%	0	0.8	49	0
13	Nov_21_2014	109.41	130.14	133.81	134.3			137.14(2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	-10000	4	-0	0.51	82%	0.39	70.1	2.78%	0	0.7	54	0
14	Nov_20_2014	108.98	128.88	133.38	133.5			134.44(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10000	4	-10	0.3	82%	0.38	65.9	2.77%	0	0.5	50	0
15	Nov_19_2014	108.57	127.55	133.24	132.75			133.79(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	-0	10	0.38	82%	0.36	60.5	2.77%	0	0.5	78	0

16	Nov_18_2014	108.18	126.22	133.33	132.78			133.96(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	12	-10000	1	44	0.35	82%	0.37	59.5	2.78%	0	0.7	80	0
17	Nov_17_2014	107.78	125.01	133.66	132.67			132.19(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	18	-10000	-3	79	0.47	82%	0.37	58.5	2.78%	0	0.6	75	0
18	Nov_14_2014	107.38	123.74	133.92	133.23			133.09(1.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	32	-10000	-0	129	0.33	82%	0.41	57.2	2.79%	0	0.7	80	0
19	Nov_13_2014	106.94	122.29	134.08	133.26			130.72(-2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	41	-10000	-3	171	0.72	82%	0.4	54.9	2.78%	0	0.6	74	0
20	Nov_12_2014	106.51	121.02	132.64	133.74			133.94(0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	49	-10000	-1	198	0.28	82%	0.41	53.6	2.77%	0	1	81	0

21	Nov_11_2014	106.07	119.58	130.67	133.94			133.4(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	51	-10000	-5	219	0.95	83%	0.4	52.5	2.77%	0	1.1	81	0
22	Nov_10_2014	105.65	118.22	128.87	134.82			134.99(1.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	62	-10000	0	248	0.47	83%	0.44	55.4	2.79%	0	1.3	76	0
23	Nov_7_2014	105.19	116.81	126.34	134.76			133.22(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	55	-10000	-1	224	0.52	87%	0.42	57	3.28%	0	1.3	77	0
24	Nov_6_2014	104.75	115.5	124.16	135.03			133.13(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	78	-10000	18	258	0.92	87%	0.44	60.4	3.28%	0	1.5	79	0
25	Nov_5_2014	104.29	114.28	121.52	131.19			134.93(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	75	-10000	22	234	0.99	87%		54.6	3.27%	0	1.9	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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