Trading Signals: MDLZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: MDLZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Mondelez International Inc)
MDLZ latest price $39.4573 (1.6%) ($38.5717 - $39.4667) on Thu. Mar. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.21% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $39.4573(1.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MDLZ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MDLZ advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MDLZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(73%)    SDY(62%)    IVE(61%)    IWD(61%)    SPY(61%)
Factors Impacting MDLZ price   MDLZ will decline at least -1.105% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-8%)    GDXJ(-6%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.105% (StdDev 2.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.75(1.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.43(2.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.27(5.87%)
To recent high   -8.5%
To recent low   15.2%
Market Cap   $56.347b

Mondelez International, Inc. engages in the manufacture and marketing of snack food and beverage products. It operates through the following geographical segments: Latin America; Asia, Middle East, and Africa; Europe; and North America. Its products include beverages, biscuits, meals, chocolate, gum, and candy. Its brands include but not limited to Nabisco, Oreo, and LU biscuits; Cadbury, Cadbury Dairy Milk, and Milka chocolates; and Trident gum. The company was founded by James Lewis Kraft in 1903 is headquartered in Deerfield, IL.

$. MDLZ price fluctuates within 4% (three month std-dev: 2.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160403

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_3_2016	40.4	37.27	38.43	38.75			39.46(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	19	-10000	1	74	7.88	47%	-0.05	-2.3	2.21%	0	1.5	81	0
2	Mar_2_2016	40.42	37.14	38.25	38.69			38.84(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	2	85	7.18	47%	-0.1	-9.3	2.23%	0	1.2	75	0
3	Mar_1_2016	40.46	37.15	38.11	38.61			38.94(1.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	30	-10000	6	103	6.84	48%	-0.07	-9.2	2.23%	0	1.2	80	0
4	Feb_29_2016	40.49	37.19	37.91	38.37			38.19(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	4	114	10.93	47%	-0.12	-6.2	2.22%	0	0.6	80	0
5	Feb_26_2016	40.54	37.28	37.7	38.21			38.34(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	4	113	10.02	47%	-0.1	-4.6	2.22%	0	0.6	67	0

6	Feb_25_2016	40.58	37.31	37.42	38.05			39.17(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	-10000	7	108	8.36	47%	-0.05	-4.3	2.22%	0	1.1	69	0
7	Feb_24_2016	40.6	37.27	37.08	37.74			38.4(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	4	89	8.99	47%	-0.07	-8.2	2.21%	0	0.7	56	0
8	Feb_23_2016	40.63	37.27	36.74	37.56			37.75(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	4	52	8	47%	-0.1	-11.3	2.19%	0	0.3	39	0
9	Feb_22_2016	40.67	37.28	36.4	37.38			37.4(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	7	-10000	7	6	9.49	47%	-0.1	-14.5	2.19%	0	0.1	35	0
10	Feb_19_2016	40.71	37.36	36.2	37.08			37.51(-0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	10	-40	13.66	47%	-0.05	-18.3	2.2%	0	0.1	34	0

11	Feb_18_2016	40.73	37.38	36.02	36.68			37.65(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	9	-80	7.25	47%	-0.05	-25.1	2.2%	0	0.1	43	0
12	Feb_17_2016	40.75	37.41	35.92	36.32			37.51(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	-10000	13	-106	11.1	47%	-0.02	-34.1	2.21%	0	0.1	44	0
13	Feb_16_2016	40.76	37.48	36.07	35.8			36.86(2.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-21	-10000	14	-125	11.14	48%	-0.02	-41.7	2.19%	0	-0.3	41	0
14	Feb_12_2016	40.77	37.54	36.36	35.27			35.9(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-33	-10000	2	-139	7.1	45%	-0.1	-51.4	2.16%	0	-0.9	43	0
15	Feb_11_2016	40.81	37.69	36.8	35.2			35.5(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-35	-10000	-2	-135	11.39	45%	-0.1	-54.2	2.17%	0	-1.2	36	0

16	Feb_10_2016	40.85	37.84	37.16	35.26			35.83(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-37	-10000	-6	-129	12.75	45%	-0.07	-63.9	2.16%	0	-1.1	44	0
17	Feb_9_2016	40.88	38.04	37.45	35.49			34.91(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-50	-10000	-24	-128	11.31	43%	-0.15	-66.8	2.13%	0	-1.8	39	0
18	Feb_8_2016	40.94	38.27	37.87	36.41			34.24(-3.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-47	-10000	-30	-97	24.56	43%	-0.15	-63.7	2.12%	0	-2.6	33	0
19	Feb_5_2016	41	38.51	38.28	37.62			35.52(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-31	-10000	-25	-49	30.57	44%	-0.12	-67	2.09%	0	-2.4	43	0
20	Feb_4_2016	41.05	38.71	38.68	38.63			35.82(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-13	-10000	-16	-3	18.82	44%	-0.12	-69.7	2.09%	0	-2.7	40	0

21	Feb_3_2016	41.1	38.99	38.94	39.3			36.96(-6.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.4	0	-10000	-9	27	25.93	46%	-0.07	-65	2.06%	0	-2.1	47	0
22	Feb_2_2016	41.13	39.22	39.1	39.66			39.52(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	3	41	11.03	51%	0	-56.7	1.9%	0	0.3	49	0
23	Feb_1_2016	41.13	39.29	39.05	39.54			40.26(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	13	39	7.96	51%	0	-60.7	1.89%	0	0.9	54	0
24	Jan_29_2016	41.13	39.37	38.82	39.07			40.61(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	9	-10000	8	11	14.25	51%	0.02	-74.2	1.89%	0	1.1	58	0
25	Jan_28_2016	41.12	39.46	38.63	38.78			39.15(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	-10000	7	-4	11.62	48%		-69.1	1.82%	0	-0.2	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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