Trading Signals: MCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 25, 2023

Trading Signals: MCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Moody's Corporation)
MCO latest price $361.7000 (1.35%) ($351.8400 - $363.1900) on Tue. Jul. 25, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $361.7000(1.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCO advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(90%)    IVE(89%)    IVW(85%)    DIA(84%)    VT(79%)
Factors Impacting MCO price   MCO will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-77%)    VIXM(-73%)    TBT(-49%)    UUP(-27%)    USO(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 2.5 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $358.95(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $356.37(1.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $349.94(3.36%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.7%
Market Cap   $67.89b

Moody's Corp. engages in the provision of credit ratings, research, tools and analysis to the global capital markets. It operates through the Moody's Investors Service (MIS) and Moody's Analytics (MA) business segments. The Moody's Investors Service segment is a credit rating agency, which publishes credit ratings on debt obligations and the entities, including various corporate and governmental obligations, structured finance securities and commercial paper programs. The Moody's Analytics segment develops products and services, which support financial analysis and risk management activities of institutional participants in global financial markets. The company was founded by John Moody in 1900 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. MCO price fluctuates within 2.17% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 0.62%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.23%(33%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 1.38%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -2.1%(44%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 1.06%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.55%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2023	317.91	349.94	356.37	358.95	358.01	357.49	361.7(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	14	-20	-21	119	1.12	67%	0.19	73.3	1.13%	2.5	1.5	66	1.2
2	Jul_24_2023	317.3	348.6	354.23	358.5	358.41	357.78	356.88(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10	-35	103	1	65%	0.19	67.4	1.13%	-1.5	1.1	64	1.6
3	Jul_21_2023	316.7	347.63	352.83	358.4	358.49	358.52	357.78(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	0	5	114	2.17	65%	0.22	60.3	1.13%	-1.9	1.3	62	1.1
4	Jul_20_2023	315.99	346.53	351.07	357.48	357.63	359.03	358.85(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	91	30	78	131	0.75	65%	0.23	56	1.12%	-1	1.6	67	1.4
5	Jul_19_2023	315.27	345.48	349.39	355.81	355.99	358.46	359.54(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	173	50	177	160	0.72	65%	0.23	54.9	1.12%	1.1	1.9	71	1.5

6	Jul_18_2023	314.55	344.45	348.03	353.34	353.59	356.22	359.44(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	206	50	219	167	0.59	65%	0.23	54.7	1.13%	1.4	2.3	73	1.9
7	Jul_17_2023	313.82	343.5	346.59	349.31	350.61	353.51	356.41(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	206	70	224	152	0.67	65%	0.22	50	1.13%	1.1	2.2	74	1.4
8	Jul_14_2023	313.12	342.99	345.59	346.45	346.98	350.96	353.15(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	206	80	227	144	0.57	65%	0.2	62.7	1.13%	1.6	2.1	68	1.2
9	Jul_13_2023	312.51	342.23	344.64	343.73	344.37	347.71	350.51(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	247	70	278	155	0.73	68%	0.19	61.2	1.13%	1.3	1.9	67	1
10	Jul_12_2023	311.92	341.47	343.7	342.07	342.07	343.01	347.21(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	105	20	113	79	0.89	68%	0.17	62.5	1.14%	1.3	1.4	60	1.1

11	Jul_11_2023	311.38	340.88	342.87	342.02	341.08	341.03	339.26(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-30	-10	-45	15	0.75	65%	0.1	75.7	1.12%	-1.3	-0.4	50	-0.3
12	Jul_10_2023	311.08	340.63	342.55	343.45	342.33	341.03	342.1(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-16	-30	-30	25	0.47	65%	0.14	93.4	1.11%	0.2	0.4	50	-0.5
13	Jul_7_2023	310.66	339.96	342.12	344.57	343.21	341.13	339.57(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-128	-50	-160	-32	0.81	65%	0.13	108.7	1.12%	-0.7	-0.1	38	-0.3
14	Jul_6_2023	310.27	339.56	341.84	345.55	344.99	343.53	342.22(-1.37%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-64	-30	-86	2	0.96	65%	0.11	124.8	1.13%	-0.9	0.6	54	-0.6
15	Jul_5_2023	309.93	338.93	341.49	345.42	345.31	345.3	346.96(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	5	-0	-6	38	0.66	68%	0.12	119.8	1.13%	0.2	1.5	63	0.9

16	Jul_3_2023	309.57	337.95	340.76	343.8	343.91	346.45	346.39(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	104	50	112	79	0.33	68%	0.13	119.7	1.12%	0	1.4	62	1.2
17	Jun_30_2023	309.16	336.83	340.22	341.47	342.07	345.32	347.72(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	232	70	265	132	1.04	68%	0.14	118	1.13%	1.7	1.8	66	1
18	Jun_29_2023	308.74	335.33	340.11	339.38	339.07	341.37	344.45(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	157	40	174	107	0.38	70%	0.11	109.2	1.13%	1.3	1.5	69	1
19	Jun_28_2023	308.4	333.84	339.5	337.66	337.14	338.81	341.59(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	112	30	121	83	0.56	70%	0.08	83.6	1.14%	1.5	1.1	62	1.2
20	Jun_27_2023	308.15	332.47	338.92	337.05	336.06	336.77	338.83(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	59	10	57	63	0.38	70%	0.08	69.3	1.14%	2	0.8	62	1.1

21	Jun_26_2023	307.9	331.09	338.62	337.32	336.01	335.46	334.76(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-20	-27	45	0.53	69%	0.04	67.5	1.13%	-0.7	0.4	61	1
22	Jun_23_2023	307.79	329.89	338.57	338.74	336.93	335.35	337.28(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-96	-50	-138	29	0.93	69%	0.03	64.7	1.13%	0.7	0.8	67	1.1
23	Jun_22_2023	307.71	328.71	337.71	340.95	339.7	336.55	335.84(-0.8%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-99	-80	-152	61	0.85	64%	0.04	67	1.13%	-0.9	0.7	72	1.4
24	Jun_21_2023	307.58	327.97	337.29	341.54	342.06	338.5	338.54(-0.49%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-119	-70	-185	78	0.76	66%	0.06	68.2	1.16%	-0.4	0.9	77	1.3
25	Jun_20_2023	307.41	326.8	336.37	340.95	342.08	342.85	340.19(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-31	30	-87	136	0.73	66%		68.1	1.18%	-0.5	1.1	80	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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