Trading Signals: MCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: MCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Moody's Corporation)
MCO latest price $100.0600 (-0.38%) ($99.5600 - $101.1800) on Mon. Nov. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $100.0600(-0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCO declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(79%)    IVW(78%)    IWF(78%)    IWD(74%)    VT(74%)
Factors Impacting MCO price   MCO will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-17%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

Resistance Level   $101.42
5 Day Moving Average   $100.22(-0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.39(0.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $101.42(-1.34%)
To recent high   -9.2%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $18.781b

Moody's Corp. engages in the provision of credit ratings, research, tools and analysis to the global capital markets. It operates through the Moody's Investors Service (MIS) and Moody's Analytics (MA) business segments. The Moody's Investors Service segment is a credit rating agency, which publishes credit ratings on debt obligations and the entities, including various corporate and governmental obligations, structured finance securities and commercial paper programs. The Moody's Analytics segment develops products and services, which support financial analysis and risk management activities of institutional participants in global financial markets. The company was founded by John Moody in 1900 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. MCO price fluctuates within 3.18% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161214

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_14_2016	104.16	101.42	99.39	100.22			100.06(-0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-7	-10000	2	-32	1.22	25%	0.06	-51.3	1.11%	0	-0.4	34	0
2	Nov_11_2016	104.1	101.74	99.41	100.13			100.44(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10000	10	-44	0.82	25%	-0.01	-53.5	1.12%	0	-0.4	35	0
3	Nov_10_2016	104.11	102.05	99.46	99.56			100.27(-0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-10000	8	-68	1.14	25%	0.02	-58	1.12%	0	-0.5	38	0
4	Nov_9_2016	104.09	102.36	99.61	99.12			100.67(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-20	-10000	10	-109	1.79	25%	0.02	-61.6	1.12%	0	-0.5	23	0
5	Nov_8_2016	104.07	102.72	99.72	98.58			99.68(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-39	-10000	2	-160	0.74	25%	0.01	-64.9	1.11%	0	-0.8	18	0

6	Nov_7_2016	104.06	103.11	100	98.45			99.58(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-50	-10000	-3	-190	0.89	25%	0.03	-65.3	1.12%	0	-0.9	21	0
7	Nov_4_2016	104.03	103.58	100.3	98.64			97.61(-0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-64	-10000	-13	-215	1.25	17%	0.01	-64.5	1.09%	0	-1.5	19	0
8	Nov_3_2016	104.02	104.12	100.78	99.35			98.06(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-66	-10000	-15	-219	1.56	17%	0	-62.9	1.1%	0	-1.6	19	0
9	Nov_2_2016	104.02	104.67	101.75	100.17			97.96(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-60	-10000	-15	-193	0.76	17%	-0.01	-59.6	1.1%	0	-1.9	21	0
10	Nov_1_2016	104.03	105.22	102.78	101			99.04(-1.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-52	-10000	-13	-170	1.47	17%	0.01	-60.7	1.1%	0	-1.9	20	0

11	Oct_31_2016	104.02	105.71	103.65	101.75			100.52(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-10000	-8	-150	1.22	18%	0.01	-62.1	1.09%	0	-1.7	26	0
12	Oct_28_2016	104.01	106.16	104.28	102.21			101.17(-0.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-40	-10000	-4	-149	0.82	18%	0	-63.2	1.08%	0	-1.8	24	0
13	Oct_27_2016	104.01	106.54	104.88	102.43			102.16(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-55	-10000	-21	-156	1.35	18%	0.01	-69.7	1.09%	0	-1.8	31	0
14	Oct_26_2016	104	106.84	105.35	103.61			102.13(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-51	-10000	-22	-136	1.27	18%	0.02	-65.8	1.09%	0	-2	29	0
15	Oct_25_2016	103.98	107.22	105.97	104.87			102.77(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-38	-10000	-17	-102	1.02	18%	0.02	-56.5	1.09%	0	-2.1	32	0

16	Oct_24_2016	103.96	107.6	106.48	105.87			102.84(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-29	-10000	-13	-77	1.62	18%	0.04	-45.5	1.09%	0	-2.5	33	0
17	Oct_21_2016	103.92	107.92	107.13	106.65			102.24(-5.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-27	-10000	-16	-58	3.99	18%	0.03	-40.7	1.1%	0	-3.6	29	0
18	Oct_20_2016	103.89	108.3	107.78	107.61			108.09(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	6	-30	1.4	28%	0.09	-35.2	0.87%	0	-0.2	49	0
19	Oct_19_2016	103.8	108.4	107.85	107.32			108.4(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-9	-10000	1	-37	0.74	28%	0.1	-37.1	0.87%	0	0	53	0
20	Oct_18_2016	103.7	108.45	107.84	107.29			107.8(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	-10000	1	-44	1.25	28%	0.04	-27.8	0.87%	0	-0.7	42	0

21	Oct_17_2016	103.66	108.46	107.9	107.25			106.7(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-10	-61	0.66	20%	0.08	-27	0.86%	0	-1.8	36	0
22	Oct_14_2016	103.58	108.56	108.16	107.74			107.08(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-10000	-5	-41	0.69	20%	0.1	-14.8	0.86%	0	-1.7	43	0
23	Oct_13_2016	103.48	108.64	108.29	107.97			106.61(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-18	-10000	-10	-41	0.94	20%	0.09	2.7	0.87%	0	-2.5	40	0
24	Oct_12_2016	103.39	108.76	108.43	108.42			108.26(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-1	-36	0.55	41%	0.1	11.8	0.87%	0	-0.7	41	0
25	Oct_11_2016	103.29	108.72	108.55	108.47			107.58(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11	-10000	-3	-34	0.63	41%		-2.7	0.91%	0	-1.4	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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