Trading Signals: MCK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 16, 2005

Trading Signals: MCK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(McKesson Corporation)
MCK latest price $36.5800 (1.3%) ($35.8400 - $36.7300) on Wed. Feb. 16, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.9% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $36.5800(1.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCK advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(53%)    XLP(49%)    IWM(48%)    QQQ(45%)    XLK(45%)
Factors Impacting MCK price   MCK will decline at least -0.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(-0%)    REMX(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.95% (StdDev 1.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.31(0.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.4(0.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.5(6.03%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   28.6%
Market Cap   $5.933b

McKesson Corp. engages in the provision of supply chain management solutions, retail pharmacy, community oncology and specialty care, and healthcare information technology. It operates through the following segments: U.S. Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions; European Pharmaceutical Solutions; Medical-Surgical Solutions and Other. The U.S. Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions segment distributes pharmaceutical and other healthcare-related products and also provides pharmaceutical solutions to pharmaceutical manufacturers in the United States. The European Pharmaceutical Solutions segment provides distribution and services to wholesale, institutional and retail customers and serves patients and consumers in 13 European countries. The Medical-Surgical Solutions segment focuses on medical-surgical supplies and provides logistics and other services to healthcare providers in the United States. The Other segment comprises on McKesson Canada, McKesson Prescription Technology Solutions and in a joint venture. The company was founded by John McKesson and Charles Olcott in 1833 and is headquartered in Irving, TX.

$. MCK price fluctuates within 7.65% (three month std-dev: 1.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050316

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2005	29.94	34.5	36.4	36.31			36.58(1.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	26	-10000	2	96	1.42	73%	0.34	51.5	1.9%	0	0.8	88	0
2	Feb_15_2005	29.84	34.2	36.33	36.25			36.11(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	31	-10000	-5	139	1.57	73%	0.3	49.7	1.9%	0	0.7	86	0
3	Feb_14_2005	29.75	33.96	36.29	36.25			36.39(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	50	-10000	0	200	0.88	73%	0.34	51.5	1.9%	0	0.9	89	0
4	Feb_11_2005	29.65	33.69	36.11	36.41			36.34(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	60	-10000	0	239	1.48	73%	0.3	52.3	1.9%	0	1	82	0
5	Feb_10_2005	29.56	33.44	35.86	36.4			36.12(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	65	-10000	-3	270	0.97	73%	0.31	54.5	1.9%	0	1	82	0

6	Feb_9_2005	29.47	33.19	35.33	36.49			36.28(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	72	-10000	2	281	2.07	73%	0.31	58.5	1.91%	0	1.2	81	0
7	Feb_8_2005	29.38	32.93	34.77	36.42			36.91(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	80	-10000	8	294	2.34	73%	0.34	61.2	1.89%	0	1.6	87	0
8	Feb_7_2005	29.28	32.63	34.13	36.15			36.38(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	78	-10000	11	280	1.3	73%	0.31	63.3	1.9%	0	1.6	76	0
9	Feb_4_2005	29.19	32.35	33.57	35.77			36.3(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	79	-10000	16	269	3.06	73%	0.27	61.8	1.9%	0	1.8	77	0
10	Feb_3_2005	29.11	32.07	33.02	35.22			36.6(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	91	-10000	39	248	3.49	73%	0.31	59.4	1.89%	0	2.3	73	0

11	Feb_2_2005	29.02	31.75	32.43	33.96			35.92(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	70	-10000	35	176	2.09	72%	0.28	46.1	1.89%	0	2.5	73	0
12	Feb_1_2005	28.94	31.47	31.85	32.86			35.53(3.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	53	-10000	35	108	4.21	72%	0.28	31.7	1.89%	0	2.9	72	0
13	Jan_31_2005	28.86	31.23	31.38	31.81			34.49(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	30	-10000	25	45	3.51	69%	0.28	14.9	1.87%	0	3.2	68	0
14	Jan_28_2005	28.78	31.06	31	31.08			33.54(10.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.6	15	-10000	19	2	7.5	66%	0.21	-1.8	1.85%	0	3.6	67	0
15	Jan_27_2005	28.72	30.94	30.76	30.54			30.34(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-6	-50	1.22	59%	0.1	-34.1	1.32%	0	-1.5	41	0

16	Jan_26_2005	28.69	31	30.86	30.67			30.4(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	0	-27	0.99	59%	-0.03	-39.8	1.51%	0	-1.6	49	0
17	Jan_25_2005	28.7	31.04	30.94	30.66			30.26(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-10000	-8	-24	1.7	59%	0.03	-53.4	1.53%	0	-2.2	48	0
18	Jan_24_2005	28.69	31.08	31.05	30.86			30.85(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-2	-10000	-1	-5	1.31	64%	0	-59	1.51%	0	-0.7	48	0
19	Jan_21_2005	28.69	31.07	31.06	30.89			30.85(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-5	-10	0.92	68%	-0.03	-80.6	1.84%	0	-0.7	44	0
20	Jan_20_2005	28.7	31.08	31.09	31.03			31(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-10000	-2	-5	2.27	68%	0.03	-88.7	1.88%	0	-0.2	43	0

21	Jan_19_2005	28.69	31.15	31.06	31.08			30.36(-2.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-7	-10000	-6	-10	2.12	66%	-0.03	-84	1.89%	0	-2.4	39	0
22	Jan_18_2005	28.7	31.24	31.11	31.25			31.25(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-1	-10000	-0	-4	0.78	73%	-0.1	-57.2	1.87%	0	0	50	0
23	Jan_14_2005	28.73	31.26	31.09	31.26			31.01(-1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	1	-10000	1	-1	1.46	73%	0	-51.6	1.86%	0	-0.5	53	0
24	Jan_13_2005	28.73	31.33	31.09	31.24			31.53(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	3	7	2.91	73%	0	-44.2	1.86%	0	0.4	64	0
25	Jan_12_2005	28.73	31.37	31.13	31.16			31.24(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	4	9	1.48	73%		-38.7	1.86%	0	-0.2	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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