Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 12, 2018

Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Microchip Technology Inc)
MCHP latest price $91.4400 (1.44%) ($89.8254 - $91.6455) on Fri. Jan. 12, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $91.4400(1.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCHP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHP advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(67%)    IWF(67%)    QQQ(67%)    SMH(67%)    SPY(67%)
Factors Impacting MCHP price   MCHP will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-15%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $90.35(1.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $89.7(1.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $88.23(3.64%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   9.3%
Market Cap   $23.084b

Microchip Technology, Inc. engages in the provision of semiconductor products. It operates through the Semiconductor Products and Technology Licensing segments. The Semiconductor Products segment involves in the designing, developing, manufacturing, and marketing microcontrollers, development tools and analog, interface, mixed signal, connectivity devices, and timing products. The Technology Licensing segment offers license fees and royalties associated with technology licenses for the use of SuperFlash embedded flash and Smartbits one time programmable technologies. The company was founded on February 14, 1989 and is headquartered in Chandler, AZ.

$. MCHP price fluctuates within 2.05% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2018	87.76	88.23	89.7	90.35			91.44(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-10000	4	90	1.27	46%	0.14	75.6	1.33%	0	1.8	67	0
2	Jan_11_2018	87.64	87.88	89.23	90.12			90.14(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	0	77	1.08	44%	0.1	67.6	1.32%	0	1.2	58	0
3	Jan_10_2018	87.55	87.58	88.88	90.1			89(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-3	72	1.99	44%	0.1	65.2	1.31%	0	0.7	57	0
4	Jan_9_2018	87.46	87.41	88.67	90.26			90.53(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	7	82	2.22	46%	0.13	66.5	1.29%	0	1.5	69	0
5	Jan_8_2018	87.35	87.15	88.31	89.84			90.64(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	-10000	16	85	1.08	46%	0.14	65.1	1.29%	0	1.7	77	0

6	Jan_5_2018	87.23	86.88	87.98	88.92			90.29(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	29	-10000	13	77	1.48	46%	0.13	58	1.29%	0	1.8	79	0
7	Jan_4_2018	87.12	86.58	87.75	88.2			90.02(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	-10000	12	75	1.65	46%	0.09	51.7	1.29%	0	2	72	0
8	Jan_3_2018	87.04	86.29	87.49	87.5			89.81(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	-10000	11	72	2.53	46%	0.1	32.4	1.3%	0	2.2	73	0
9	Jan_2_2018	86.95	86.01	87.19	86.89			88.47(2.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	19	-10000	5	61	1.63	43%	0.16	16.3	1.29%	0	1.7	61	0
10	Dec_29_2017	86.81	85.84	86.84	86.59			86(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10000	-6	48	0.9	38%	0.08	-1.9	1.24%	0	0.1	53	0

11	Dec_28_2017	86.74	85.79	86.65	86.9			86.71(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-6	50	1.16	38%	0.07	-6.5	1.24%	0	0.7	56	0
12	Dec_27_2017	86.68	85.69	86.45	87.22			86.51(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-10000	-4	62	0.82	38%	0.05	-17.5	1.24%	0	0.6	61	0
13	Dec_26_2017	86.64	85.69	86.22	87.45			86.73(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	-1	70	0.59	38%	0.12	-14.1	1.25%	0	0.7	62	0
14	Dec_22_2017	86.54	85.78	86.1	87.52			87.02(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	-10000	8	82	0.93	39%	0.1	-17.6	1.26%	0	0.8	63	0
15	Dec_21_2017	86.45	85.86	85.94	87.09			87.55(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	14	75	1.41	39%	0.12	-23.3	1.27%	0	1	61	0

16	Dec_20_2017	86.35	85.88	85.72	86.31			88.29(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	-10000	14	54	1.79	36%	0.13	-32.7	1.26%	0	1.4	65	0
17	Dec_19_2017	86.24	85.93	85.32	85.56			87.67(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	17	-10000	13	29	1.76	36%	0.12	-38.7	1.31%	0	1	65	0
18	Dec_18_2017	86.14	85.99	84.97	84.83			87.07(2.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	-10000	6	-16	2.18	38%	0.1	-45.6	1.31%	0	0.6	41	0
19	Dec_15_2017	86.05	86.06	84.69	84.52			84.89(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-2	-43	3.23	34%	0.07	-48.7	1.29%	0	-0.6	41	0
20	Dec_14_2017	85.99	86.24	84.71	84.65			83.64(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-7	-61	1.98	31%	0.05	-46.7	1.27%	0	-1.3	29	0

21	Dec_13_2017	85.95	86.43	84.86	85.03			84.55(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	0	-65	1.48	31%	0.07	-51.1	1.27%	0	-0.9	34	0
22	Dec_12_2017	85.89	86.64	84.89	85.01			84(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-10000	-1	-92	1.9	31%	0.06	-52.8	1.27%	0	-1.3	28	0
23	Dec_11_2017	85.84	86.88	85.32	85.08			85.52(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	-10000	4	-95	1.63	37%	0.09	-63.8	1.25%	0	-0.7	34	0
24	Dec_8_2017	85.76	87.06	85.46	84.87			85.54(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-27	-10000	1	-112	1.86	37%	0.06	-71	1.28%	0	-0.8	37	0
25	Dec_7_2017	85.71	87.22	85.77	84.79			85.52(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-28	-10000	1	-114	1.83	37%		-79.3	1.28%	0	-0.9	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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