Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MCHP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 7, 2017

Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Microchip Technology Inc)
MCHP latest price $82.4747 (1.78%) ($80.5725 - $82.5329) on Mon. Aug. 7, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.52% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $82.4747(1.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCHP advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHP advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(67%)    IWF(67%)    SMH(67%)    SPY(67%)    IWO(66%)
Factors Impacting MCHP price   MCHP will decline at least -0.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-15%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.76% (StdDev 1.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $79.45(3.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.1(4.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $78.82(4.64%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   13.1%
Market Cap   $20.821b

Microchip Technology, Inc. engages in the provision of semiconductor products. It operates through the Semiconductor Products and Technology Licensing segments. The Semiconductor Products segment involves in the designing, developing, manufacturing, and marketing microcontrollers, development tools and analog, interface, mixed signal, connectivity devices, and timing products. The Technology Licensing segment offers license fees and royalties associated with technology licenses for the use of SuperFlash embedded flash and Smartbits one time programmable technologies. The company was founded on February 14, 1989 and is headquartered in Chandler, AZ.

$. MCHP price fluctuates within 1.81% (three month std-dev: 1.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170907

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_7_2017	76.11	78.82	79.1	79.45			82.47(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	16	-10000	16	15	2.34	56%	0.14	70.2	1.52%	0	2.6	60	0
2	Aug_4_2017	76	78.51	78.64	78.49			81.03(3.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	3	-10000	9	-17	5.02	55%	0.13	63.6	1.51%	0	2	58	0
3	Aug_3_2017	75.9	78.26	78.36	77.95			78.3(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-10	-10000	-1	-38	3.09	52%	0.08	53.5	1.45%	0	0	50	0
4	Aug_2_2017	75.84	78.1	78.56	77.99			77.47(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-10	-25	1.84	52%	0.08	42.9	1.45%	0	-0.4	54	0
5	Aug_1_2017	75.78	78.03	78.81	78.55			77.96(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-10000	-2	4	1.2	52%	0.09	50.8	1.45%	0	-0	52	0

6	Jul_31_2017	75.71	77.83	78.93	78.67			77.68(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10000	-2	19	1.86	52%	0.08	33.5	1.46%	0	-0.1	56	0
7	Jul_28_2017	75.65	77.71	79.05	78.77			78.32(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-1	33	1.25	50%	0.09	23.1	1.46%	0	0.3	60	0
8	Jul_27_2017	75.58	77.56	79.08	78.8			78.54(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-7	44	2.08	50%	0.11	16.9	1.47%	0	0.5	63	0
9	Jul_26_2017	75.5	77.5	78.96	79.21			80.25(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	1	72	2.23	52%	0.12	20.8	1.45%	0	1.4	75	0
10	Jul_25_2017	75.41	77.29	78.71	79.14			78.55(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-10000	-2	83	1.5	50%	0.09	17.2	1.43%	0	0.7	65	0

11	Jul_24_2017	75.34	77.25	78.56	79.26			78.18(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	25	-10000	-2	105	1.8	52%	0.11	13.9	1.43%	0	0.5	71	0
12	Jul_21_2017	75.26	77.29	78.41	79.36			78.5(-2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	30	-10000	0	118	2.63	51%	0.11	15.7	1.45%	0	0.7	64	0
13	Jul_20_2017	75.18	77.24	78.18	79.35			80.59(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	-10000	12	132	1.71	53%	0.13	12.4	1.43%	0	1.9	72	0
14	Jul_19_2017	75.08	77.1	77.61	78.66			79.88(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10000	8	98	2.1	53%	0.13	-1.9	1.43%	0	1.7	57	0
15	Jul_18_2017	74.98	76.99	77.18	78.24			79.17(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	9	84	1.19	55%	0.11	-18.5	1.43%	0	1.4	59	0

16	Jul_17_2017	74.9	77.01	76.63	77.76			78.64(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	8	49	1.46	55%	0.12	-27.4	1.44%	0	1	51	0
17	Jul_14_2017	74.81	77	76.24	77.32			78.46(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	9	15	1.42	55%	0.11	-40.8	1.44%	0	0.9	46	0
18	Jul_13_2017	74.73	77.01	76.24	76.84			77.15(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	8	-13	2.24	53%	0.09	-61.8	1.44%	0	0.1	48	0
19	Jul_12_2017	74.66	77.14	75.89	76.38			77.8(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	8	-32	3.13	53%	0.11	-74.9	1.44%	0	0.4	47	0
20	Jul_11_2017	74.58	77.28	75.72	75.95			76.78(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	12	-53	1.38	53%	0.03	-78	1.43%	0	-0.3	46	0

21	Jul_10_2017	74.56	77.45	75.8	75.31			76.44(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-17	-10000	6	-86	1.77	53%	0.11	-85.9	1.44%	0	-0.5	38	0
22	Jul_7_2017	74.48	77.67	76.04	75			76.05(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-22	-10000	3	-96	1.85	53%	0.09	-87.6	1.44%	0	-0.7	42	0
23	Jul_6_2017	74.41	78.06	76.19	74.81			74.85(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-37	-10000	-10	-116	1.66	51%	0.07	-72	1.43%	0	-1.2	38	0
24	Jul_5_2017	74.36	78.5	76.54	75.34			75.64(2.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10000	-3	-107	3.1	51%	0.2	-59.2	1.43%	0	-1.1	38	0
25	Jul_3_2017	74.21	78.84	76.78	75.49			73.58(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-45	-10000	-17	-129	1.13	48%		-53.3	1.38%	0	-1.9	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.