Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Microchip Technology Inc)
MCHP latest price $79.3593 (0.13%) ($79.1750 - $79.9320) on Thu. May. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $79.3593(0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCHP advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHP advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(67%)    IWF(67%)    QQQ(67%)    SMH(67%)    SPY(67%)
Factors Impacting MCHP price   MCHP will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-17%)    TLT(-15%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $78.82(0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.96(1.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.92(4.53%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.9%
Market Cap   $20.034b

Microchip Technology, Inc. engages in the provision of semiconductor products. It operates through the Semiconductor Products and Technology Licensing segments. The Semiconductor Products segment involves in the designing, developing, manufacturing, and marketing microcontrollers, development tools and analog, interface, mixed signal, connectivity devices, and timing products. The Technology Licensing segment offers license fees and royalties associated with technology licenses for the use of SuperFlash embedded flash and Smartbits one time programmable technologies. The company was founded on February 14, 1989 and is headquartered in Chandler, AZ.

$. MCHP price fluctuates within 3.23% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170625

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_25_2017	70.37	75.92	77.96	78.82			79.36(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	51	-10000	13	164	2.38	65%	0.27	58.2	1.1%	0	1.4	77	0
2	May_24_2017	70.18	75.65	77.66	78.28			79.25(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	56	-10000	17	173	1.87	65%	0.26	57.3	1.11%	0	1.5	77	0
3	May_23_2017	70	75.35	77.31	77.56			78.95(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	-10000	0	162	1.92	65%	0.13	55	1.11%	0	1.6	75	0
4	May_22_2017	69.91	75.1	76.82	77.55			78.72(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	48	-10000	6	172	1.69	65%	0.26	64.8	1.12%	0	1.8	72	0
5	May_19_2017	69.73	74.82	76.25	77.29			77.82(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	-10000	7	163	1.77	63%	0.23	71.4	1.11%	0	1.5	67	0

6	May_18_2017	69.57	74.52	75.75	76.99			76.65(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	39	-10000	1	151	2.62	61%	0.22	77.4	1.1%	0	1.2	66	0
7	May_17_2017	69.42	74.33	75.35	76.93			75.68(-4.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	35	-10000	-1	141	2.9	59%	0.19	86.9	1.1%	0	0.7	56	0
8	May_16_2017	69.29	74.17	75.07	76.96			78.86(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	64	-10000	28	172	2.59	71%	0.14	91.7	0.96%	0	2.5	74	0
9	May_15_2017	69.19	73.79	74.46	75.96			77.41(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	50	-10000	26	121	2.27	68%	0.22	88.8	0.94%	0	2.2	65	0
10	May_12_2017	69.04	73.44	74.05	75.06			76.32(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	-10000	22	80	1.92	65%	0.2	81.7	0.93%	0	2	65	0

11	May_11_2017	68.9	73.11	73.7	74.32			76.36(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	31	-10000	23	53	3.71	65%	0.2	62.4	0.94%	0	2.2	71	0
12	May_10_2017	68.76	72.78	73.44	73.54			75.85(2.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	19	-10000	18	23	6.54	65%	0.2	46.7	0.94%	0	2.1	61	0
13	May_9_2017	68.62	72.49	73.19	72.91			73.86(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	-10000	5	-3	3.84	45%	0.18	34.6	0.89%	0	1	58	0
14	May_8_2017	68.5	72.35	73.2	72.76			72.9(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-10000	-4	6	2.22	57%	0.16	32.6	1.01%	0	0.4	58	0
15	May_5_2017	68.39	72.28	73.24	72.9			72.62(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-2	27	2.15	57%	0.15	36.9	1.24%	0	0.3	63	0

16	May_4_2017	68.29	72.2	73.19	72.98			72.47(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-7	41	2.31	57%	0.15	36.6	1.25%	0	0.2	65	0
17	May_3_2017	68.19	72.11	73.26	73.31			72.7(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-10000	-4	76	2.45	57%	0.16	40.6	1.26%	0	0.4	67	0
18	May_2_2017	68.08	72.03	73.24	73.49			73.12(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-10000	-4	97	2.19	57%	0.18	44.2	1.26%	0	0.8	65	0
19	May_1_2017	67.96	71.91	73.11	73.69			73.58(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	1	114	1.24	57%	0.18	50.3	1.26%	0	1.2	62	0
20	Apr_28_2017	67.84	71.79	72.83	73.65			73.02(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	31	-10000	5	108	2.22	51%	0.16	53.9	1.29%	0	0.9	57	0

21	Apr_27_2017	67.73	71.7	72.53	73.43			74.15(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	5	95	2.07	57%	0.19	54.5	1.29%	0	1.8	64	0
22	Apr_26_2017	67.6	71.54	72.09	73.21			73.57(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	5	84	2.32	54%	0.19	56.8	1.3%	0	1.7	65	0
23	Apr_25_2017	67.47	71.4	71.75	72.96			74.13(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10000	10	73	2.74	54%	0.21	59.9	1.32%	0	2.4	64	0
24	Apr_24_2017	67.33	71.2	71.41	72.46			73.38(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	-10000	12	58	1.61	54%	0.21	50	1.32%	0	2.3	63	0
25	Apr_21_2017	67.19	71.05	71.2	71.89			71.91(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10000	9	40	2.96	50%		34.2	1.3%	0	1.1	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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