Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 7, 2017

Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Microchip Technology Inc)
MCHP latest price $66.9220 (0.65%) ($66.3549 - $66.9508) on Tue. Feb. 7, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $66.9220(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCHP advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHP advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(67%)    SMH(67%)    IVW(66%)    IWO(66%)    QQQ(66%)
Factors Impacting MCHP price   MCHP will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-17%)    TLT(-15%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $66.4(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $66.06(1.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.97(3%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $16.894b

Microchip Technology, Inc. engages in the provision of semiconductor products. It operates through the Semiconductor Products and Technology Licensing segments. The Semiconductor Products segment involves in the designing, developing, manufacturing, and marketing microcontrollers, development tools and analog, interface, mixed signal, connectivity devices, and timing products. The Technology Licensing segment offers license fees and royalties associated with technology licenses for the use of SuperFlash embedded flash and Smartbits one time programmable technologies. The company was founded on February 14, 1989 and is headquartered in Chandler, AZ.

$. MCHP price fluctuates within 2.12% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170307

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_7_2017	61.12	64.97	66.06	66.4			66.92(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	8	65	2.32	53%	0.15	94.3	1.6%	0	1.4	64	0
2	Feb_6_2017	61.03	64.72	65.89	65.97			66.49(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	0	62	2.24	53%	0.15	83.8	1.65%	0	1.2	69	0
3	Feb_3_2017	60.94	64.47	65.7	65.95			66.74(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	2	67	1.85	53%	0.16	74.4	1.65%	0	1.5	61	0
4	Feb_2_2017	60.84	64.15	65.46	65.82			66.11(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	4	68	1.76	53%	0.15	61	1.65%	0	1.1	59	0
5	Feb_1_2017	60.75	63.91	65.17	65.6			65.76(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-10000	-1	57	1.94	53%	0.16	53.3	1.65%	0	1.1	58	0

6	Jan_31_2017	60.65	63.69	64.99	65.68			64.74(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-2	68	2.4	53%	0.13	50.4	1.65%	0	0.6	61	0
7	Jan_30_2017	60.57	63.54	64.79	65.78			66.38(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	7	82	1.65	56%	0.17	48.9	1.61%	0	1.6	70	0
8	Jan_27_2017	60.47	63.33	64.52	65.39			66.1(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	7	85	1.42	56%	0.15	44.6	1.61%	0	1.6	72	0
9	Jan_26_2017	60.38	63.12	64.29	65.04			65.01(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	7	96	2.65	54%	0.12	40.2	1.6%	0	1.2	73	0
10	Jan_25_2017	60.31	63	64.17	64.67			66.15(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	-10000	9	101	2.13	57%	0.12	36.3	1.59%	0	2.1	70	0

11	Jan_24_2017	60.24	62.82	63.78	64.22			65.27(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	-10000	11	95	1.75	59%	0.08	35.4	1.58%	0	1.9	68	0
12	Jan_23_2017	60.19	62.68	63.45	63.65			64.43(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	3	76	1.76	59%	0.08	24.6	1.59%	0	1.5	63	0
13	Jan_20_2017	60.14	62.58	63.13	63.52			64.34(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	2	66	1.95	59%	0.07	23.5	1.59%	0	1.6	59	0
14	Jan_19_2017	60.1	62.49	62.73	63.43			63.14(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-3	53	1.6	59%	0.07	24.2	1.58%	0	0.6	55	0
15	Jan_18_2017	60.06	62.46	62.56	63.59			63.92(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	6	54	3.16	59%	0.1	35	1.58%	0	1.4	54	0

16	Jan_17_2017	60	62.35	62.3	63.27			62.43(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	10	-10000	2	35	1.49	56%	0.07	27.9	1.56%	0	0.1	47	0
17	Jan_13_2017	59.96	62.39	62.22	63.17			63.77(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	11	29	1.38	59%	0.1	28.5	1.53%	0	1.5	54	0
18	Jan_12_2017	59.9	62.32	62.05	62.66			63.9(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.4	15	-10000	16	11	2.44	59%	0.1	17.4	1.53%	0	1.8	57	0
19	Jan_11_2017	59.84	62.24	61.85	61.91			63.9(2.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.4	3	-10000	11	-20	3.25	55%	0.08	2.3	1.54%	0	2	56	0
20	Jan_10_2017	59.79	62.1	61.71	61.4			62.34(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-7	-10000	4	-39	1.16	52%	0.07	-15.3	1.55%	0	0.3	48	0

21	Jan_9_2017	59.75	62.09	61.75	61.2			61.92(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	-10000	1	-43	1.95	52%	0.05	-7.3	1.56%	0	-0.2	49	0
22	Jan_6_2017	59.72	62.12	61.83	61.15			61.21(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10000	-4	-50	1.37	52%	0.05	12.9	1.56%	0	-1.2	33	0
23	Jan_5_2017	59.69	62.17	61.97	61.36			60.16(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-17	-10000	-8	-45	2.71	50%	0.03	11.6	1.55%	0	-2.7	33	0
24	Jan_4_2017	59.67	62.23	62.25	61.76			61.35(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10000	-6	-31	2.23	53%	0.07	15.1	1.53%	0	-1.5	39	0
25	Jan_3_2017	59.63	62.21	62.37	62.06			61.38(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-8	-10000	-6	-13	2.55	53%		10.2	1.54%	0	-1.4	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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