Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Microchip Technology Inc)
MCHP latest price $48.1433 (0.98%) ($47.5826 - $48.2194) on Thu. May. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $48.1433(0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCHP advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHP advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SMH(68%)    IVW(66%)    IWF(66%)    IWO(66%)    QQQ(66%)
Factors Impacting MCHP price   MCHP will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-15%)    IPO(-7%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.23(1.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.25(4.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.87(4.96%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $12.154b

Microchip Technology, Inc. engages in the provision of semiconductor products. It operates through the Semiconductor Products and Technology Licensing segments. The Semiconductor Products segment involves in the designing, developing, manufacturing, and marketing microcontrollers, development tools and analog, interface, mixed signal, connectivity devices, and timing products. The Technology Licensing segment offers license fees and royalties associated with technology licenses for the use of SuperFlash embedded flash and Smartbits one time programmable technologies. The company was founded on February 14, 1989 and is headquartered in Chandler, AZ.

$. MCHP price fluctuates within 2.11% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160626

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_26_2016	43.53	45.87	46.25	47.23			48.14(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	48	-10000	21	129	1.76	73%	0.16	13.3	1.2%	0	2.3	69	0
2	May_25_2016	43.46	45.78	45.89	46.65			47.68(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	-10000	15	87	2.04	73%	0.12	-3	1.23%	0	2.1	68	0
3	May_24_2016	43.41	45.75	45.66	46.23			47.48(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	29	-10000	17	63	2.02	76%	0.09	-13.2	1.23%	0	2	61	0
4	May_23_2016	43.37	45.75	45.45	45.75			46.43(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	8	27	1.37	74%	0.07	-22.3	1.27%	0	0.9	51	0
5	May_20_2016	43.34	45.73	45.29	45.51			46.39(2.48%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	10	-10000	13	-1	1.75	74%	0.07	-26.6	1.3%	0	0.8	46	0

6	May_19_2016	43.31	45.75	45.16	45.13			45.27(-0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	5	-32	1.16	72%	0.02	-34.4	1.28%	0	-0.6	45	0
7	May_18_2016	43.3	45.81	45.16	45.13			45.59(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-14	-10000	0	-57	1.74	72%	0.02	-37.8	1.27%	0	-0.3	41	0
8	May_17_2016	43.29	45.87	45.14	45			45.07(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-4	-77	1.52	74%	0	-36.4	1.27%	0	-0.9	32	0
9	May_16_2016	43.29	45.91	45.23	45.11			45.23(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	-10000	3	-79	1.67	77%	0.05	-33.3	1.3%	0	-0.8	35	0
10	May_13_2016	43.27	45.96	45.35	45.03			44.48(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-10000	-5	-87	2.53	75%	0.02	-34.3	1.34%	0	-1.8	34	0

11	May_12_2016	43.26	46.04	45.49	45.18			44.64(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10000	-3	-88	2.31	77%	0	-30.3	1.35%	0	-1.8	34	0
12	May_11_2016	43.26	46.14	45.69	45.28			45.58(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-22	-10000	-1	-84	1.18	82%	0.02	-21.8	1.33%	0	-0.8	42	0
13	May_10_2016	43.25	46.18	45.87	45.3			45.6(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-22	-10000	-3	-78	1.55	76%	0.05	-17.4	1.35%	0	-0.8	41	0
14	May_9_2016	43.23	46.19	46.02	45.38			44.87(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-24	-10000	-11	-64	1.48	75%	0.05	-16.3	1.38%	0	-1.9	46	0
15	May_6_2016	43.21	46.24	46.22	45.72			45.23(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-4	-39	2.49	70%	0.05	-2.2	1.4%	0	-1.6	45	0

16	May_5_2016	43.19	46.27	46.39	45.84			45.11(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-10000	-10	-29	2.8	70%	0.02	3.7	1.41%	0	-1.8	46	0
17	May_4_2016	43.18	46.29	46.56	46.16			45.67(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-11	-12	1.97	70%	0.07	17.3	1.41%	0	-1.1	45	0
18	May_3_2016	43.15	46.29	46.56	46.52			46.03(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-10000	-7	11	2.12	66%	0.09	33.6	1.41%	0	-0.5	48	0
19	May_2_2016	43.11	46.3	46.67	46.76			46.55(1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-1	27	1.71	61%	0.12	44.1	1.43%	0	0.4	59	0
20	Apr_29_2016	43.06	46.26	46.63	46.8			45.83(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	3	-10000	-6	31	2.32	63%	0.09	47.7	1.46%	0	-0.7	54	0

21	Apr_28_2016	43.02	46.25	46.66	47.01			46.7(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	12	-10000	0	46	3	66%	0.09	58.2	1.51%	0	0.7	61	0
22	Apr_27_2016	42.98	46.19	46.64	47			47.48(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	-10000	4	59	2.33	65%	0.12	60.6	1.49%	0	2.1	74	0
23	Apr_26_2016	42.93	46.11	46.53	46.86			47.24(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	8	58	2.69	67%	0.07	67	1.52%	0	2.1	62	0
24	Apr_25_2016	42.9	46.04	46.36	46.56			46.76(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	3	40	1.56	67%	0.07	57.5	1.54%	0	1.5	58	0
25	Apr_22_2016	42.87	45.97	46.25	46.44			46.89(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	-10000	5	36	2.1	67%		42.2	1.54%	0	2	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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