Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 11, 2015

Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Microchip Technology Inc)
MCHP latest price $43.8590 (0.27%) ($43.6565 - $43.9603) on Thu. Jun. 11, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.31% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $43.8590(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCHP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHP declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SMH(69%)    QQQ(66%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(65%)    IWM(64%)
Factors Impacting MCHP price   MCHP will decline at least -0.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.655% (StdDev 1.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $40.85(-6.86%)
Resistance Level   $44.34
5 Day Moving Average   $43.47(0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.96(-0.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.34(-1.08%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $11.072b

Microchip Technology, Inc. engages in the provision of semiconductor products. It operates through the Semiconductor Products and Technology Licensing segments. The Semiconductor Products segment involves in the designing, developing, manufacturing, and marketing microcontrollers, development tools and analog, interface, mixed signal, connectivity devices, and timing products. The Technology Licensing segment offers license fees and royalties associated with technology licenses for the use of SuperFlash embedded flash and Smartbits one time programmable technologies. The company was founded on February 14, 1989 and is headquartered in Chandler, AZ.

$. MCHP price fluctuates within 1.58% (three month std-dev: 1.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150711

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_11_2015	44.67	44.34	43.96	43.47			43.86(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	-10000	2	-57	1.24	46%	0.04	-46.8	1.31%	0	-0.7	44	0
2	Jun_10_2015	44.65	44.41	44.07	43.41			43.74(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-19	-10000	-4	-63	1.03	42%	0.07	-34	1.31%	0	-0.9	40	0
3	Jun_9_2015	44.62	44.47	44.16	43.51			43.12(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-9	-57	1.51	39%	-0.04	-22.5	1.37%	0	-1.9	39	0
4	Jun_8_2015	44.64	44.57	44.26	43.77			42.96(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-24	-10000	-15	-52	1.35	39%	0.07	-9.7	1.37%	0	-2.5	35	0
5	Jun_5_2015	44.61	44.57	44.43	44.22			43.69(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15	-10000	-10	-31	1.1	41%	0.07	14.7	1.36%	0	-1.9	37	0

6	Jun_4_2015	44.58	44.67	44.53	44.53			43.55(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-13	-10000	-9	-23	1.87	41%	0.07	27.2	1.37%	0	-2	31	0
7	Jun_3_2015	44.55	44.66	44.66	44.82			44.21(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-5	-10000	-3	-10	0.84	41%	0.09	34.5	1.35%	0	-0.7	38	0
8	Jun_2_2015	44.51	44.63	44.7	44.91			44.45(-1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	1	-10000	3	-6	1.52	45%	0.11	34	1.37%	0	-0.3	47	0
9	Jun_1_2015	44.46	44.64	44.73	44.81			45.19(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10000	4	-14	1.44	47%	0.11	39.9	1.39%	0	0.8	50	0
10	May_29_2015	44.41	44.6	44.71	44.68			45.23(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	4	-19	1.93	47%	0.11	43.8	1.4%	0	1	55	0

11	May_28_2015	44.36	44.51	44.72	44.55			45(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	1	-9	1.37	47%	0.14	31.1	1.41%	0	0.7	66	0
12	May_27_2015	44.3	44.44	44.75	44.51			44.65(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	1	9	2.47	47%	0.11	19.4	1.42%	0	0.3	66	0
13	May_26_2015	44.25	44.4	44.77	44.48			43.97(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-10000	-5	17	1.34	44%	0.18	10.1	1.4%	0	-0.6	57	0
14	May_22_2015	44.17	44.38	44.9	44.63			44.56(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-3	32	0.93	47%	0.02	3.5	1.38%	0	0.2	50	0
15	May_21_2015	44.16	44.31	44.92	44.73			44.55(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-6	39	3.42	47%	0.07	-3.6	1.39%	0	0.3	52	0

16	May_20_2015	44.13	44.3	44.82	44.93			44.82(0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-3	51	1.69	47%	0.09	-5.2	1.4%	0	0.7	60	0
17	May_19_2015	44.09	44.31	44.66	45.04			44.49(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-10000	-3	54	1.89	47%	0.09	-5.1	1.4%	0	0.2	58	0
18	May_18_2015	44.05	44.33	44.57	45.12			44.76(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-10000	-2	57	2.06	47%	0.07	-0.5	1.4%	0	0.5	57	0
19	May_15_2015	44.02	44.35	44.56	45.19			45.01(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	2	76	2.08	47%	0.02	2.2	1.39%	0	0.8	63	0
20	May_14_2015	44.01	44.35	44.49	45.14			45.56(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	-10000	15	91	1.67	47%	0.09	-3.1	1.39%	0	1.4	67	0

21	May_13_2015	43.97	44.34	44.28	44.69			45.38(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	15	60	1.51	47%	0.09	-13.4	1.4%	0	1.2	55	0
22	May_12_2015	43.93	44.35	44.09	44.23			44.86(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	9	19	2.08	51%	0.09	-23.2	1.41%	0	0.6	47	0
23	May_11_2015	43.89	44.35	43.98	43.94			45.13(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	0	-10000	3	-8	2.34	51%	0.09	-33.2	1.43%	0	0.9	49	0
24	May_8_2015	43.85	44.33	43.79	43.84			44.75(3.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-6	-10000	2	-31	4.12	51%	0.09	-29.6	1.45%	0	0.5	44	0
25	May_7_2015	43.81	44.37	43.63	43.77			43.33(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10000	-2	-54	1.59	47%		-23.7	1.4%	0	-1.1	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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