Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: MCHP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Microchip Technology Inc)
MCHP latest price $45.7962 (2.68%) ($44.5259 - $45.9242) on Wed. Apr. 15, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.54% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $45.7962(2.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCHP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHP advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SMH(69%)    QQQ(66%)    SPY(66%)    IWM(64%)    VT(64%)
Factors Impacting MCHP price   MCHP will decline at least -0.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.77% (StdDev 1.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.3(1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.86(2.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.05(1.66%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   13.5%
Market Cap   $11.561b

Microchip Technology, Inc. engages in the provision of semiconductor products. It operates through the Semiconductor Products and Technology Licensing segments. The Semiconductor Products segment involves in the designing, developing, manufacturing, and marketing microcontrollers, development tools and analog, interface, mixed signal, connectivity devices, and timing products. The Technology Licensing segment offers license fees and royalties associated with technology licenses for the use of SuperFlash embedded flash and Smartbits one time programmable technologies. The company was founded on February 14, 1989 and is headquartered in Chandler, AZ.

$. MCHP price fluctuates within 1.69% (three month std-dev: 1.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150515

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_15_2015	43.25	45.05	44.86	45.3			45.8(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	6	33	1.84	62%	0.14	-1.2	1.54%	0	1	63	0
2	Apr_14_2015	43.19	45.03	44.74	45.08			44.6(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10000	-1	15	2	62%	0.12	-8.5	1.52%	0	-0.6	45	0
3	Apr_13_2015	43.14	45.03	44.83	45.11			45.27(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	7	16	2.01	62%	0.14	-12.3	1.53%	0	0.2	43	0
4	Apr_10_2015	43.08	45.1	44.79	44.88			45.7(1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	6	-10000	10	-5	1.86	62%	0.16	-26.9	1.52%	0	0.8	43	0
5	Apr_9_2015	43.01	45.08	44.62	44.55			45.15(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	6	-38	1.41	62%	0.14	-45.6	1.52%	0	0.1	44	0

6	Apr_8_2015	42.95	45.06	44.5	44.55			44.7(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-17	-10000	0	-67	2.05	65%	0.12	-66.3	1.52%	0	-0.5	41	0
7	Apr_7_2015	42.9	45.09	44.56	44.35			44.71(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-21	-10000	-5	-69	1.68	65%	0.14	-77.5	1.57%	0	-0.5	45	0
8	Apr_6_2015	42.84	45.19	44.67	44.53			44.16(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	-5	-63	1.57	65%	0.23	-69.7	1.56%	0	-1.2	38	0
9	Apr_2_2015	42.74	45.3	44.9	44.53			44.03(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	0	-44	1.32	65%	0.12	-66.8	1.6%	0	-1.5	44	0
10	Apr_1_2015	42.69	45.43	45.09	44.69			44.15(-1.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-9	-10000	1	-39	2.17	65%	0.12	-68.8	1.61%	0	-1.5	44	0

11	Mar_31_2015	42.64	45.57	45.27	44.65			44.69(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-10000	-4	-36	2.94	65%	0.14	-70.7	1.61%	0	-1	51	0
12	Mar_30_2015	42.58	45.69	45.35	44.78			45.6(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-10	-10000	-3	-29	2.05	68%	0.16	-61.4	1.59%	0	-0.1	52	0
13	Mar_27_2015	42.51	45.79	45.39	44.87			44.97(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10000	-9	-35	1.71	68%	0.14	-50.9	1.57%	0	-0.8	39	0
14	Mar_26_2015	42.45	45.89	45.43	45.18			44.06(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-11	-31	2.56	66%	0.12	-41.2	1.56%	0	-1.8	38	0
15	Mar_25_2015	42.4	46.04	45.58	45.56			43.95(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-14	-10000	-11	-21	2.95	66%	0.14	-29.8	1.57%	0	-2.3	36	0

16	Mar_24_2015	42.34	46.2	45.58	45.95			45.35(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-5	-10000	-1	-17	4.27	72%	0.14	-15.8	1.52%	0	-1.1	39	0
17	Mar_23_2015	42.28	46.28	45.69	45.97			46.04(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-0	-29	1.83	72%	0.19	-11	1.51%	0	-0.3	42	0
18	Mar_20_2015	42.2	46.28	45.76	45.98			46.49(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	7	-35	4.18	72%	0.24	-9.1	1.49%	0	0.3	39	0
19	Mar_19_2015	42.1	46.3	45.74	45.73			45.97(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	-10000	3	-53	2.11	72%	0.19	-11	1.5%	0	-0.4	45	0
20	Mar_18_2015	42.02	46.31	45.78	45.62			45.89(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	-10000	6	-62	2.39	74%	0.21	-4.3	1.5%	0	-0.6	43	0

21	Mar_17_2015	41.93	46.32	45.88	45.4			45.45(-1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	-10000	1	-72	2	74%	0.19	-2.4	1.55%	0	-1.1	41	0
22	Mar_16_2015	41.85	46.36	46.03	45.36			46.09(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-24	-10000	-5	-79	2.14	74%	0.24	12.3	1.54%	0	-0.4	43	0
23	Mar_13_2015	41.75	46.37	46.19	45.53			45.26(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	-6	-62	3.12	73%	0.22	30.2	1.53%	0	-1.5	45	0
24	Mar_12_2015	41.66	46.38	46.36	45.75			45.41(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-6	-50	4.04	73%	0.24	44.4	1.54%	0	-1.3	44	0
25	Mar_11_2015	41.56	46.34	46.53	45.97			44.8(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-18	-10000	-12	-36	5.67	73%		59.7	1.56%	0	-1.8	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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