Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 11, 2017

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $62.8400 (2.11%) ($62.3100 - $62.8500) on Mon. Sep. 11, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $62.8400(2.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(93%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(78%)    EWY(66%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $61.86(1.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.79(1.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.17(2.73%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 1.62% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.59%(44%) Average negative next day return: -0.63%(56%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.39%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -1.29%(58%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 1.63%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.96%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171011

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_11_2017	56.3	61.17	61.79	61.86	61.95	62.19	62.84(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	30	32	41	0.9	61%	0.23	52.5	0.98%	0	1.7	71	0
2	Sep_8_2017	56.17	60.96	61.67	61.72	61.66	61.83	61.54(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	20	0	40	1.08	59%	0.2	41.9	0.97%	0	0.6	70	0
3	Sep_7_2017	56.06	60.83	61.68	61.81	61.73	61.72	62.02(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	-10	12	70	0.93	59%	0.23	38.1	0.98%	0	1	77	0
4	Sep_6_2017	55.93	60.75	61.63	61.76	61.76	61.5	61.6(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-30	-11	70	1.33	59%	0.22	43.7	0.98%	0	0.8	61	0
5	Sep_5_2017	55.81	60.71	61.59	61.7	61.77	61.74	61.32(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	0	-10	86	1.36	59%	0.2	47.8	0.98%	0	0.6	67	0

6	Sep_1_2017	55.7	60.66	61.51	61.69	61.65	62.02	62.12(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	40	19	111	0.78	62%	0.22	52.2	0.95%	0	1.4	73	0
7	Aug_31_2017	55.58	60.53	61.28	61.61	61.65	61.8	62(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	53	30	29	123	1.18	61%	0.22	54.3	0.96%	0	1.4	76	0
8	Aug_30_2017	55.46	60.39	61.02	61.53	61.51	61.29	61.76(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-30	5	116	1.45	61%	0.22	57.5	0.97%	0	1.4	74	0
9	Aug_29_2017	55.34	60.27	60.89	61.49	61.5	61.22	61.28(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-30	-28	102	1.1	61%	0.22	61	0.97%	0	1.1	53	0
10	Aug_28_2017	55.22	60.19	60.7	61.47	61.59	61.72	61.27(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	20	7	103	1.05	61%	0.2	69.2	0.98%	0	1.1	52	0

11	Aug_25_2017	55.11	60.1	60.51	61.29	61.45	61.79	61.76(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	50	45	101	1.47	62%	0.2	70.6	0.97%	0	1.8	57	0
12	Aug_24_2017	55	59.97	60.2	60.87	61.02	61.45	61.56(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	60	47	70	0.91	62%	0.22	67.6	0.98%	0	1.8	61	0
13	Aug_23_2017	54.88	59.82	59.91	60.44	60.52	61.12	61.58(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	45	70	47	39	1.86	62%	0.2	61.5	0.98%	0	2.2	62	0
14	Aug_22_2017	54.77	59.69	59.79	60.2	60.14	60.59	61.2(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	48	50	51	40	3.21	63%	0.2	62.1	0.98%	0	2	61	0
15	Aug_21_2017	54.66	59.55	59.73	59.82	60	59.93	60.34(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	0	27	18	0.88	62%	0.2	56.9	0.97%	0	1.1	53	0

16	Aug_18_2017	54.55	59.46	59.73	59.63	59.75	59.69	59.67(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-7	-0	-10	2	1.78	62%	0.17	54.5	0.98%	0	0.3	52	0
17	Aug_17_2017	54.46	59.39	59.73	59.42	59.69	60.06	59.39(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	60	27	7	2.31	60%	0.17	46.9	0.98%	0	0	52	0
18	Aug_16_2017	54.37	59.33	59.71	59.28	59.36	59.82	60.41(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	60	32	7	2.71	62%	0.2	48.9	0.97%	0	1.4	62	0
19	Aug_15_2017	54.26	59.23	59.6	59.33	59.1	59.32	59.31(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	10	1	0	1.36	61%	0.17	58.5	0.95%	0	0.1	53	0
20	Aug_14_2017	54.17	59.16	59.65	59.63	59.42	58.9	59.39(1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-70	-17	24	0.75	61%	0.17	74.5	0.96%	0	0.3	59	0

21	Aug_11_2017	54.08	59.07	59.66	59.83	59.78	58.88	58.6(-0.17%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-52	-110	-76	22	1.89	61%	0.15	91.7	0.95%	0	-0.5	54	0
22	Aug_10_2017	54	59.03	59.75	60.03	60.22	59.93	58.7(-3.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-20	-20	-46	58	2.09	62%	0.15	105.8	0.95%	0	-0.3	58	0
23	Aug_9_2017	53.92	58.96	59.77	60.16	60.27	60.69	60.67(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	50	33	116	1.25	70%	0.2	112.2	0.85%	0	1.5	77	0
24	Aug_8_2017	53.81	58.77	59.6	59.89	59.95	60.5	60.81(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	71	70	57	114	1.05	70%	0.19	104.9	0.87%	0	1.7	75	0
25	Aug_7_2017	53.71	58.51	59.36	59.69	59.61	59.85	60.35(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	52	20	35	102	0.93	70%		91.9	0.87%	0	1.3	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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