Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $61.7600 (0.32%) ($61.7000 - $62.2400) on Fri. Aug. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $61.7600(0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(93%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(78%)    EWY(66%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $61.29(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $60.51(2.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $60.1(2.76%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 1.53% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.44%(66%) Average negative next day return: -0.43%(34%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.17%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -1.05%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 1.84%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.17%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170925

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_25_2017	55.11	60.1	60.51	61.29	61.45	61.79	61.76(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	50	45	101	1.47	62%	0.2	70.6	0.97%	0	1.8	57	0
2	Aug_24_2017	55	59.97	60.2	60.87	61.02	61.45	61.56(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	60	47	70	0.91	62%	0.22	67.6	0.98%	0	1.8	61	0
3	Aug_23_2017	54.88	59.82	59.91	60.44	60.52	61.12	61.58(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	45	70	47	39	1.86	62%	0.2	61.5	0.98%	0	2.2	62	0
4	Aug_22_2017	54.77	59.69	59.79	60.2	60.14	60.59	61.2(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	48	50	51	40	3.21	63%	0.2	62.1	0.98%	0	2	61	0
5	Aug_21_2017	54.66	59.55	59.73	59.82	60	59.93	60.34(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	0	27	18	0.88	62%	0.2	56.9	0.97%	0	1.1	53	0

6	Aug_18_2017	54.55	59.46	59.73	59.63	59.75	59.69	59.67(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-7	-0	-10	2	1.78	62%	0.17	54.5	0.98%	0	0.3	52	0
7	Aug_17_2017	54.46	59.39	59.73	59.42	59.69	60.06	59.39(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	60	27	7	2.31	60%	0.17	46.9	0.98%	0	0	52	0
8	Aug_16_2017	54.37	59.33	59.71	59.28	59.36	59.82	60.41(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	60	32	7	2.71	62%	0.2	48.9	0.97%	0	1.4	62	0
9	Aug_15_2017	54.26	59.23	59.6	59.33	59.1	59.32	59.31(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	10	1	0	1.36	61%	0.17	58.5	0.95%	0	0.1	53	0
10	Aug_14_2017	54.17	59.16	59.65	59.63	59.42	58.9	59.39(1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-70	-17	24	0.75	61%	0.17	74.5	0.96%	0	0.3	59	0

11	Aug_11_2017	54.08	59.07	59.66	59.83	59.78	58.88	58.6(-0.17%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-52	-110	-76	22	1.89	61%	0.15	91.7	0.95%	0	-0.5	54	0
12	Aug_10_2017	54	59.03	59.75	60.03	60.22	59.93	58.7(-3.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-20	-20	-46	58	2.09	62%	0.15	105.8	0.95%	0	-0.3	58	0
13	Aug_9_2017	53.92	58.96	59.77	60.16	60.27	60.69	60.67(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	50	33	116	1.25	70%	0.2	112.2	0.85%	0	1.5	77	0
14	Aug_8_2017	53.81	58.77	59.6	59.89	59.95	60.5	60.81(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	71	70	57	114	1.05	70%	0.19	104.9	0.87%	0	1.7	75	0
15	Aug_7_2017	53.71	58.51	59.36	59.69	59.61	59.85	60.35(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	52	20	35	102	0.93	70%	0.19	91.9	0.87%	0	1.3	77	0

16	Aug_4_2017	53.61	58.24	59.17	59.51	59.61	59.4	59.6(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	26	-20	4	92	0.67	66%	0.19	80.1	0.86%	0	0.9	76	0
17	Aug_3_2017	53.51	57.98	59.03	59.44	59.55	59.38	59.37(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	14	-10	-10	87	0.97	66%	0.17	71.5	0.88%	0	0.8	68	0
18	Aug_2_2017	53.42	57.74	58.92	59.31	59.48	59.69	59.34(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	30	5	100	1.44	66%	0.21	65	0.88%	0	0.9	74	0
19	Aug_1_2017	53.31	57.52	58.83	59.25	59.35	59.72	59.81(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	67	50	45	132	1.33	66%	0.19	65.2	0.87%	0	1.3	80	0
20	Jul_31_2017	53.21	57.28	58.61	58.98	59.08	59.28	59.41(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	59	30	34	134	1.03	66%	0.21	60.6	0.88%	0	1.3	84	0

21	Jul_28_2017	53.1	57.05	58.41	58.79	58.81	58.98	59.26(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	51	20	19	148	1.47	66%	0.23	57	0.88%	0	1.3	86	0
22	Jul_27_2017	52.98	56.81	58.26	58.57	58.67	58.88	58.74(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	63	30	25	177	1.68	65%	0.19	53.5	0.88%	0	1.1	86	0
23	Jul_26_2017	52.88	56.64	58.09	58.46	58.45	58.64	59.04(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	64	20	18	203	1.74	65%	0.19	55.3	0.87%	0	1.5	90	0
24	Jul_25_2017	52.78	56.42	57.86	58.34	58.45	58.47	58.44(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	69	10	18	222	1.02	65%	0.19	58.2	0.87%	0	1.3	77	0
25	Jul_24_2017	52.68	56.27	57.6	58.19	58.35	58.26	58.48(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	70	-0	19	222	1.04	66%		60.4	0.88%	0	1.5	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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