Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $57.7400 (1.4%) ($57.1800 - $57.8000) on Fri. Jul. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $57.7400(1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(93%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(78%)    EWY(66%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.36(2.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.56(3.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.19(4.62%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 2.08%(45%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.44%(73%) Average negative next three day return: -1.86%(27%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.28%(73%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.26%(27%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2017	52.11	55.19	55.56	56.36	56.63	57.18	57.74(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	87	80	76	118	0.66	64%	0.15	52.9	0.9%	0	2.7	67	INF
2	Jul_13_2017	52.03	54.99	55.23	55.67	55.88	56.75	56.94(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	79	120	81	72	1.31	63%	0.13	28.5	0.89%	0	2.5	64	INF
3	Jul_12_2017	51.96	54.85	55.04	55.13	55.24	56.08	56.82(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	82	110	93	48	1.68	63%	0.15	9.2	0.9%	0	3	66	INF
4	Jul_11_2017	51.88	54.73	54.83	54.76	54.69	55.01	55.65(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	38	40	47	10	0.96	61%	0.06	-9.3	0.86%	0	2	62	INF
5	Jul_10_2017	51.85	54.68	54.8	54.76	54.5	54.41	54.65(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-20	-3	-13	0.83	58%	0.12	-16.9	0.84%	0	-0.1	47	INF

6	Jul_7_2017	51.79	54.69	54.84	54.64	54.66	54.37	54.31(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-40	-20	-6	1.39	58%	0.12	-10.4	0.84%	0	-0.9	56	INF
7	Jul_6_2017	51.73	54.76	54.91	54.7	54.77	54.59	54.24(-1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-24	-20	-34	6	1.01	58%	0.1	6.8	0.84%	0	-1.1	56	INF
8	Jul_5_2017	51.68	54.79	54.96	54.92	54.85	54.59	54.95(-0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	10	-3	38	1.93	61%	0.17	29.8	0.82%	0	0.3	55	INF
9	Jul_3_2017	51.59	54.78	54.9	54.91	54.95	54.95	55.03(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	0	7	39	1	62%	0.14	34.5	0.82%	0	0.5	53	INF
10	Jun_30_2017	51.52	54.75	54.89	55	54.96	54.76	54.69(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-7	-30	-22	39	1.7	62%	0.12	41.7	0.82%	0	-0.1	51	INF

11	Jun_29_2017	51.46	54.74	54.82	55.07	55.15	54.96	54.58(-1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-5	-20	-18	33	2.13	62%	0.14	50	0.82%	0	-0.3	46	INF
12	Jun_28_2017	51.39	54.73	54.76	55.14	55.2	55.17	55.33(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	3	-0	-3	22	1.36	65%	0.16	58.2	0.8%	0	1.2	44	INF
13	Jun_27_2017	51.31	54.66	54.66	55	55.15	55.35	54.92(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	30	18	15	1.08	65%	0.16	54.4	0.8%	0	0.5	51	INF
14	Jun_26_2017	51.23	54.62	54.63	54.88	55.01	55.24	55.47(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	28	40	33	12	1.81	67%	0.16	50	0.79%	0	1.7	56	INF
15	Jun_23_2017	51.15	54.56	54.53	54.77	54.73	54.96	55.03(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	30	23	2	0.92	66%	0.18	57	0.78%	0	1	56	INF

16	Jun_22_2017	51.06	54.51	54.52	54.55	54.69	54.78	54.93(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	29	20	39	-2	0.89	66%	0.16	61.9	0.78%	0	0.9	54	INF
17	Jun_21_2017	50.98	54.44	54.59	54.33	54.42	54.49	54.65(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	10	4	-17	1.53	63%	0.14	56.7	0.78%	0	0.4	52	INF
18	Jun_20_2017	50.91	54.39	54.6	54.27	54.21	54.6	54.31(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	50	11	-5	1.79	65%	0.16	53.6	0.81%	0	-0.2	56	INF
19	Jun_19_2017	50.83	54.37	54.64	54.34	54.21	54.34	54.94(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	10	35	15	1.48	67%	0.16	64.6	0.81%	0	1.1	56	INF
20	Jun_16_2017	50.75	54.29	54.58	54.27	54.26	53.83	53.9(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-60	-39	-18	2.7	66%	0.14	63.6	0.77%	0	-0.7	49	INF

21	Jun_15_2017	50.68	54.23	54.65	54.5	54.42	54.17	53.83(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-51	-40	-66	-7	1.93	68%	0.12	66.9	0.79%	0	-0.6	48	INF
22	Jun_14_2017	50.62	54.17	54.72	54.89	54.82	54.69	54.39(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-20	-14	57	1.87	70%	0.16	73.6	0.79%	0	0.3	61	INF
23	Jun_13_2017	50.54	54.11	54.67	54.89	55.13	54.67	54.63(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-50	-17	66	4.25	72%	0.16	84.2	0.79%	0	0.6	64	INF
24	Jun_12_2017	50.46	54.03	54.64	54.97	55.1	54.96	54.59(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-13	-10	-38	63	3.15	72%	0.18	94.9	0.81%	0	0.7	59	INF
25	Jun_9_2017	50.37	53.92	54.6	54.93	55.12	55.59	55.05(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	52	70	35	103	2.78	72%		98.2	0.8%	0	1.3	69	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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