Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 27, 2017

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $54.9200 (-0.99%) ($54.9100 - $55.4500) on Tue. Jun. 27, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $54.9200(-0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(93%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(78%)    EWY(66%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $55(-0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.66(0.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.66(0.48%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 0.9% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.33%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.46%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.46%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170727

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_27_2017	51.31	54.66	54.66	55	55.15	55.35	54.92(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	30	18	15	1.08	65%	0.16	54.4	0.8%	0	0.5	51	0
2	Jun_26_2017	51.23	54.62	54.63	54.88	55.01	55.24	55.47(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	28	40	33	12	1.81	67%	0.16	50	0.79%	0	1.7	56	0
3	Jun_23_2017	51.15	54.56	54.53	54.77	54.73	54.96	55.03(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	30	23	2	0.92	66%	0.18	57	0.78%	0	1	56	0
4	Jun_22_2017	51.06	54.51	54.52	54.55	54.69	54.78	54.93(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	29	20	39	-2	0.89	66%	0.16	61.9	0.78%	0	0.9	54	0
5	Jun_21_2017	50.98	54.44	54.59	54.33	54.42	54.49	54.65(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	10	4	-17	1.53	63%	0.14	56.7	0.78%	0	0.4	52	0

6	Jun_20_2017	50.91	54.39	54.6	54.27	54.21	54.6	54.31(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	50	11	-5	1.79	65%	0.16	53.6	0.81%	0	-0.2	56	0
7	Jun_19_2017	50.83	54.37	54.64	54.34	54.21	54.34	54.94(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	10	35	15	1.48	67%	0.16	64.6	0.81%	0	1.1	56	0
8	Jun_16_2017	50.75	54.29	54.58	54.27	54.26	53.83	53.9(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-60	-39	-18	2.7	66%	0.14	63.6	0.77%	0	-0.7	49	0
9	Jun_15_2017	50.68	54.23	54.65	54.5	54.42	54.17	53.83(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-51	-40	-66	-7	1.93	68%	0.12	66.9	0.79%	0	-0.6	48	0
10	Jun_14_2017	50.62	54.17	54.72	54.89	54.82	54.69	54.39(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-20	-14	57	1.87	70%	0.16	73.6	0.79%	0	0.3	61	0

11	Jun_13_2017	50.54	54.11	54.67	54.89	55.13	54.67	54.63(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-50	-17	66	4.25	72%	0.16	84.2	0.79%	0	0.6	64	0
12	Jun_12_2017	50.46	54.03	54.64	54.97	55.1	54.96	54.59(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-13	-10	-38	63	3.15	72%	0.18	94.9	0.81%	0	0.7	59	0
13	Jun_9_2017	50.37	53.92	54.6	54.93	55.12	55.59	55.05(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	52	70	35	103	2.78	72%	0.18	98.2	0.8%	0	1.3	69	0
14	Jun_8_2017	50.28	53.77	54.51	54.82	54.88	55.25	55.8(1.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	82	50	65	131	2.08	75%	0.18	97.7	0.79%	0	2.1	82	0
15	Jun_7_2017	50.19	53.58	54.28	54.54	54.52	54.64	54.8(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	10	23	113	0.8	73%	0.18	103	0.77%	0	1.4	80	0

16	Jun_6_2017	50.1	53.43	54.15	54.34	54.4	54.51	54.63(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	20	18	101	1.19	73%	0.1	94.8	0.77%	0	1.3	64	0
17	Jun_5_2017	50.05	53.24	54.07	54.25	54.23	54.4	54.38(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	20	11	106	0.86	73%	0.16	78.7	0.77%	0	1.1	65	0
18	Jun_2_2017	49.97	53.05	53.96	54.22	54.16	54.3	54.47(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	10	21	121	0.47	69%	0.18	69.1	0.77%	0	1.2	70	0
19	Jun_1_2017	49.88	52.86	53.77	54.16	54.1	54.06	54.43(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10	12	117	1.53	70%	0.16	62.3	0.8%	0	1.3	72	0
20	May_31_2017	49.8	52.69	53.57	53.98	54.07	54.02	53.77(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-0	-1	108	1.34	72%	0.16	58.7	0.77%	0	0.9	68	0

21	May_30_2017	49.72	52.57	53.51	53.93	53.97	54.13	54.22(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	40	20	9	133	1.31	70%	0.26	58.3	0.76%	0	1.4	76	0
22	May_26_2017	49.59	52.42	53.37	53.85	53.85	54.12	54.19(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	64	40	31	162	0.76	71%	0.18	62.4	0.8%	0	1.5	80	0
23	May_25_2017	49.5	52.27	53.2	53.66	53.76	53.82	54.17(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	74	10	40	177	1.25	71%	0.2	64.2	0.8%	0	1.7	80	0
24	May_24_2017	49.4	52.11	52.98	53.32	53.51	53.58	53.54(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	53	20	16	165	0.97	67%	0.18	63.6	0.8%	0	1.4	79	0
25	May_23_2017	49.31	51.99	52.83	53.09	53.18	53.7	53.51(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	62	70	28	163	3.34	67%		68.6	0.82%	0	1.6	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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