Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MCHI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $48.6600 (-0.23%) ($48.3100 - $48.7500) on Tue. Feb. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $48.6600(-0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(93%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(78%)    EWY(66%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.46(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.85(1.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.34(2.79%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 1.65% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 0.94%(54%) Average negative next day return: -0.38%(46%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 0.71%(69%) Average negative next three day return: -1.09%(31%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 1.54%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.73%(62%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170314

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_14_2017	46.57	47.34	47.85	48.46	48.54	48.69	48.66(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	30	25	118	0.94	64%	0.02	73.9	0.83%	0	1.7	78	INF
2	Feb_13_2017	46.56	47.22	47.68	48.18	48.35	48.62	48.77(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	56	50	41	100	2.56	64%	-0.02	73.5	0.86%	0	2.1	84	INF
3	Feb_10_2017	46.57	47.09	47.49	47.88	47.99	48.39	48.53(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	51	70	40	82	1.32	60%	-0.02	77.5	0.87%	0	2.2	86	INF
4	Feb_9_2017	46.58	46.97	47.34	47.6	47.71	48.09	48.37(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	57	60	50	77	0.74	53%	-0.02	76.2	0.89%	0	2.4	88	INF
5	Feb_8_2017	46.59	46.86	47.22	47.35	47.4	47.6	47.96(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	38	30	30	61	0.48	53%	0	91.6	0.94%	0	2.2	84	INF

6	Feb_7_2017	46.59	46.77	47.15	47.16	47.19	47.33	47.27(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	20	11	51	0.91	56%	-0.02	113.8	0.92%	0	1.1	70	INF
7	Feb_6_2017	46.6	46.69	47.12	47.11	47.14	47.2	47.29(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	10	13	54	0.54	56%	-0.02	115	1%	0	1.2	73	INF
8	Feb_3_2017	46.61	46.59	47.04	47.11	47.05	47.06	47.11(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	0	1	48	1.12	56%	-0.02	114.4	1.01%	0	0.9	68	INF
9	Feb_2_2017	46.62	46.52	46.95	47.04	46.99	47.08	47.1(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	10	-1	48	1.39	53%	-0.02	128.8	1.01%	0	1	70	INF
10	Feb_1_2017	46.63	46.41	46.87	47.08	47.03	47.04	47.02(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-0	3	51	1.23	53%	0	127.1	1.03%	0	0.9	63	INF

11	Jan_31_2017	46.63	46.27	46.81	47.13	47.08	46.91	47.01(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-30	-6	54	0.88	53%	-0.02	117.3	1.03%	0	0.9	66	INF
12	Jan_30_2017	46.64	46.12	46.73	47.12	47.08	47.02	46.95(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-20	-7	63	0.71	53%	-0.04	123.7	1.03%	0	1	74	INF
13	Jan_27_2017	46.66	45.97	46.67	47.03	47.13	47.02	47.14(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	20	14	77	0.84	53%	-0.04	104.3	1.04%	0	1.2	79	INF
14	Jan_26_2017	46.68	45.78	46.57	46.83	46.93	47.25	47.28(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	41	50	29	76	0.82	53%	-0.02	89.3	1.04%	0	1.5	74	INF
15	Jan_25_2017	46.69	45.57	46.47	46.61	46.63	47.02	47.28(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	45	60	33	82	0.54	53%	-0.04	73.6	1.05%	0	1.5	80	INF

16	Jan_24_2017	46.71	45.35	46.36	46.44	46.4	46.61	46.97(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	43	30	26	92	1.64	53%	0	61.1	1.04%	0	1.4	82	INF
17	Jan_23_2017	46.71	45.15	46.21	46.29	46.31	46.25	46.5(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	28	-10	5	95	0.81	53%	-0.04	53.3	1.04%	0	1.2	83	INF
18	Jan_20_2017	46.73	45	46.1	46.25	46.27	46.2	46.13(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10	-9	108	0.59	53%	-0.02	43.2	1.03%	0	0.9	79	INF
19	Jan_19_2017	46.74	44.88	46.05	46.26	46.3	46.36	46.19(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	10	1	143	1.37	53%	0	35.1	1.03%	0	1	83	INF
20	Jan_18_2017	46.74	44.76	45.92	46.3	46.27	46.33	46.41(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	50	10	8	174	0.69	55%	-0.02	31.4	1.03%	0	1.2	87	INF

21	Jan_17_2017	46.75	44.64	45.71	46.25	46.23	46.24	46.22(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	53	0	8	189	0.79	55%	0	24.2	1.05%	0	1.2	87	INF
22	Jan_13_2017	46.75	44.54	45.47	46.11	46.21	46.2	46.31(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	58	0	12	197	0.98	52%	-0.02	14.6	1.04%	0	1.5	86	INF
23	Jan_12_2017	46.76	44.46	45.23	45.92	46.02	46.22	46.17(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	40	10	190	1.39	52%	0	4.7	1.06%	0	1.5	77	INF
24	Jan_11_2017	46.76	44.42	44.95	45.81	45.83	46.21	46.37(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	76	60	38	191	1.98	48%	-0.02	1.7	1.06%	0	1.8	70	INF
25	Jan_10_2017	46.77	44.35	44.61	45.49	45.61	45.82	46.2(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	71	40	43	156	2.09	50%		-10	1.11%	0	1.8	69	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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