Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 26, 2017

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $47.2800 (0%) ($47.2200 - $47.4700) on Thu. Jan. 26, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $47.2800(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(92%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(78%)    EWY(66%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.83(0.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.57(1.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.78(3.28%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 2.25% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 47 Average positive next day return: 1.02%(64%) Average negative next day return: -0.85%(36%) Sample size 47 Average positive next three day return: 1.46%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -1.64%(36%) Sample size 47 Average positive next weekly return: 1.83%(68%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.2%(32%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2017	46.68	45.78	46.57	46.83	46.93	47.25	47.28(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	41	50	29	76	0.82	53%	-0.02	89.3	1.04%	0	1.5	74	INF
2	Jan_25_2017	46.69	45.57	46.47	46.61	46.63	47.02	47.28(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	45	60	33	82	0.54	53%	-0.04	73.6	1.05%	0	1.5	80	INF
3	Jan_24_2017	46.71	45.35	46.36	46.44	46.4	46.61	46.97(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	43	30	26	92	1.64	53%	0	61.1	1.04%	0	1.4	82	INF
4	Jan_23_2017	46.71	45.15	46.21	46.29	46.31	46.25	46.5(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	28	-10	5	95	0.81	53%	-0.04	53.3	1.04%	0	1.2	83	INF
5	Jan_20_2017	46.73	45	46.1	46.25	46.27	46.2	46.13(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10	-9	108	0.59	53%	-0.02	43.2	1.03%	0	0.9	79	INF

6	Jan_19_2017	46.74	44.88	46.05	46.26	46.3	46.36	46.19(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	10	1	143	1.37	53%	0	35.1	1.03%	0	1	83	INF
7	Jan_18_2017	46.74	44.76	45.92	46.3	46.27	46.33	46.41(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	50	10	8	174	0.69	55%	-0.02	31.4	1.03%	0	1.2	87	INF
8	Jan_17_2017	46.75	44.64	45.71	46.25	46.23	46.24	46.22(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	53	0	8	189	0.79	55%	0	24.2	1.05%	0	1.2	87	INF
9	Jan_13_2017	46.75	44.54	45.47	46.11	46.21	46.2	46.31(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	58	0	12	197	0.98	52%	-0.02	14.6	1.04%	0	1.5	86	INF
10	Jan_12_2017	46.76	44.46	45.23	45.92	46.02	46.22	46.17(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	40	10	190	1.39	52%	0	4.7	1.06%	0	1.5	77	INF

11	Jan_11_2017	46.76	44.42	44.95	45.81	45.83	46.21	46.37(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	76	60	38	191	1.98	48%	-0.02	1.7	1.06%	0	1.8	70	INF
12	Jan_10_2017	46.77	44.35	44.61	45.49	45.61	45.82	46.2(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	71	40	43	156	2.09	50%	-0.02	-10	1.11%	0	1.8	69	INF
13	Jan_9_2017	46.78	44.33	44.27	45.08	45.23	45.45	45.51(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	40	25	110	0.91	48%	-0.02	-21.7	1.11%	0	1.3	63	INF
14	Jan_6_2017	46.79	44.36	44	44.73	44.91	45.4	45.34(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	90	40	75	1.37	48%	-0.06	-29.3	1.12%	0	1	56	INF
15	Jan_5_2017	46.82	44.36	43.79	44.43	44.53	45.01	45.61(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	54	80	57	46	3.15	51%	-0.02	-34.7	1.11%	0	1.1	52	INF

16	Jan_4_2017	46.83	44.4	43.6	43.96	44.13	44.41	44.77(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	26	60	39	-14	1.09	48%	-0.06	-46.6	1.12%	0	0.3	36	INF
17	Jan_3_2017	46.86	44.45	43.49	43.6	43.82	44.05	44.19(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	50	30	-59	1.33	46%	-0.06	-55.1	1.11%	0	-0.2	38	INF
18	Dec_30_2016	46.89	44.53	43.46	43.33	43.49	43.84	43.73(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	70	26	-106	0.81	46%	-0.04	-60.8	1.1%	0	-0.6	27	INF
19	Dec_29_2016	46.91	44.65	43.52	43.16	43.22	43.59	43.84(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	60	30	-140	0.89	44%	-0.04	-62.3	1.1%	0	-0.6	26	INF
20	Dec_28_2016	46.93	44.79	43.61	43.06	43	43.15	43.29(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-39	20	7	-177	0.65	42%	-0.04	-60.9	1.09%	0	-1.1	19	INF

21	Dec_27_2016	46.95	44.96	43.84	43.19	43.02	43.15	42.97(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-57	-40	-15	-182	0.95	44%	0	-55.7	1.09%	0	-1.5	25	INF
22	Dec_23_2016	46.95	45.13	44.07	43.37	43.27	42.86	42.8(-0.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-70	-70	-32	-182	0.79	40%	-0.02	-52	1.12%	0	-1.8	23	INF
23	Dec_22_2016	46.96	45.31	44.41	43.61	43.55	43.19	42.89(-1.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-74	-60	-42	-169	2.74	40%	-0.02	-47.7	1.13%	0	-2.1	24	INF
24	Dec_21_2016	46.97	45.47	44.77	43.92	43.85	43.67	43.36(-1.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-57	-30	-29	-142	0.9	44%	0	-43.6	1.14%	0	-2	24	INF
25	Dec_20_2016	46.97	45.62	45.08	44.23	44.12	43.9	43.91(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-40	-28	-120	0.96	45%		-37.7	1.19%	0	-1.9	24	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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