Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MCHI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $44.1000 (1.26%) ($43.8800 - $44.1300) on Wed. Jul. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $44.1000(1.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(92%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(78%)    EWY(66%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.93(0.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.39(1.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.54(3.67%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 2.8% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.02%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 0.18%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -2.34%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 0.76%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.22%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160820

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_20_2016	41.79	42.54	43.39	43.93	43.88	43.83	44.1(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10	8	98	0.35	56%	0.1	59.3	1.38%	0	1.3	69	0
2	Jul_19_2016	41.75	42.42	43.16	43.93	43.83	43.8	43.55(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-0	-3	95	0.89	56%	0.12	61.7	1.38%	0	1	71	0
3	Jul_18_2016	41.7	42.31	43	43.77	43.75	43.92	44.23(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	30	13	123	0.62	58%	0.14	66.4	1.37%	0	1.7	81	0
4	Jul_15_2016	41.64	42.14	42.83	43.51	43.64	43.86	43.83(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	40	27	138	0.88	58%	0.14	59.8	1.37%	0	1.6	75	0
5	Jul_14_2016	41.58	42	42.68	43.21	43.35	43.58	43.93(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	53	50	30	121	1.31	58%	0.12	48.8	1.38%	0	1.9	55	0

6	Jul_13_2016	41.53	41.85	42.46	42.77	42.94	43.42	43.31(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	90	30	99	1.17	60%	0.12	31.4	1.37%	0	1.6	58	0
7	Jul_12_2016	41.48	41.73	42.23	42.46	42.55	43.13	43.56(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	54	100	45	79	1.33	60%	0.1	13	1.43%	0	2.1	58	0
8	Jul_11_2016	41.44	41.58	41.88	42.12	42.05	42.46	42.92(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	60	23	39	0.78	58%	0.12	-8.6	1.43%	0	1.7	58	0
9	Jul_8_2016	41.39	41.58	41.88	42.07	41.84	41.98	42.34(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	10	9	28	1.19	58%	0.1	-14.6	1.43%	0	1.2	59	0
10	Jul_7_2016	41.35	41.51	41.88	42.08	41.95	41.64	41.7(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-60	-5	37	1.24	57%	0.07	-10.8	1.42%	0	0.3	54	0

11	Jul_6_2016	41.32	41.56	41.88	42.1	42.07	41.7	41.78(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-60	-15	39	1.44	59%	0.1	-3.7	1.44%	0	0.3	54	0
12	Jul_5_2016	41.28	41.61	41.63	41.94	42.13	42.26	41.84(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	40	11	49	0.98	56%	0.12	-5	1.46%	0	0.3	56	0
13	Jul_1_2016	41.23	41.65	41.58	41.57	41.87	42.44	42.7(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	45	120	44	48	0.71	59%	0.17	-10.7	1.46%	0	1.2	62	0
14	Jun_30_2016	41.16	41.61	41.39	41.11	41.23	41.99	42.39(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	26	140	31	10	0.92	59%	0.17	-20.8	1.45%	0	0.9	54	0
15	Jun_29_2016	41.09	41.61	41.25	41.15	40.82	41.3	41.77(1.9%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	19	60	26	-3	1.51	58%	0.15	-14.7	1.44%	0	0.2	44	0

16	Jun_28_2016	41.03	41.59	41.25	41.13	40.99	40.47	40.99(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-100	-6	-33	3.1	55%	0.1	-9.5	1.43%	0	-0.7	38	0
17	Jun_27_2016	40.99	41.65	41.18	41.29	41.23	40.33	40(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-62	-160	-61	-66	2.22	52%	0.07	7.9	1.4%	0	-2	30	0
18	Jun_24_2016	40.96	41.74	41.28	41.58	41.64	41.51	40.38(-5.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-36	-20	-29	-55	2.19	52%	0.05	29.4	1.41%	0	-1.8	35	0
19	Jun_23_2016	40.94	41.79	41.41	41.66	41.87	42.12	42.61(2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	18	60	36	-36	1.34	61%	0.12	46.1	1.25%	0	1.2	53	0
20	Jun_22_2016	40.89	41.71	41.38	41.35	41.46	41.77	41.67(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	60	17	-60	1.95	58%	0.1	42.9	1.23%	0	-0.1	45	0

21	Jun_21_2016	40.85	41.67	41.49	41.25	41.19	41.62	41.78(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	9	70	29	-52	1.16	58%	0.07	39.9	1.23%	0	0.2	50	0
22	Jun_20_2016	40.82	41.59	41.59	41.08	41.07	41.14	41.44(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	10	25	-58	1.05	58%	0.07	27.7	1.23%	0	-0.2	42	0
23	Jun_17_2016	40.79	41.52	41.71	40.96	40.9	40.75	40.78(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-30	-16	-72	0.93	56%	0.05	25	1.22%	0	-0.8	46	0
24	Jun_16_2016	40.77	41.48	41.85	41.11	40.93	40.99	41.1(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-29	-0	-20	-54	1.18	56%	0.1	25.2	1.22%	0	-0.4	53	0
25	Jun_15_2016	40.73	41.42	41.96	41.42	41.16	41.04	41.15(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-40	-15	-22	1.21	56%		30.9	1.23%	0	-0.3	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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