Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MCHI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $42.9900 (0.7%) ($42.9400 - $43.1900) on Tue. Jun. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.27% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $42.9900(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(92%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -0.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.635% (StdDev 1.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.34(1.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.88(2.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.99(4.88%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   9.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 2.61% (three month std-dev: 1.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 41 Average positive next day return: 0.83%(63%) Average negative next day return: -0.58%(37%) Sample size 41 Average positive next three day return: 1.78%(66%) Average negative next three day return: -1.83%(34%) Sample size 41 Average positive next weekly return: 2.48%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.05%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160707

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_7_2016	40.52	40.99	41.88	42.34	42.41	42.8	42.99(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	63	70	32	154	1.98	65%	0.05	44.4	1.27%	0	1.9	75	0
2	Jun_6_2016	40.5	40.83	41.58	42.19	42.11	42.31	42.69(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	30	23	139	0.84	65%	0.12	35.3	1.28%	0	1.9	71	0
3	Jun_3_2016	40.45	40.72	41.31	41.96	41.99	42.01	42.12(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	10	15	127	1.48	67%	0.07	23.4	1.31%	0	1.6	75	0
4	Jun_2_2016	40.42	40.64	41.06	41.76	41.84	41.91	42.13(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	20	11	111	0.75	67%	0.07	7.6	1.31%	0	1.9	66	0
5	Jun_1_2016	40.39	40.56	40.83	41.55	41.62	41.97	41.78(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	60	19	99	1.45	70%	0.05	-15.2	1.32%	0	1.7	62	0

6	May_31_2016	40.37	40.52	40.67	41.34	41.42	41.78	42.25(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	58	70	46	93	3.5	67%	0.07	-37.5	1.32%	0	2.5	60	0
7	May_27_2016	40.34	40.49	40.46	40.88	41.02	41.26	41.51(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	50	26	60	1.11	69%	0.02	-56.2	1.36%	0	1.4	62	0
8	May_26_2016	40.33	40.52	40.25	40.57	40.65	41.07	41.12(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	80	28	30	0.8	69%	-0.05	-63.7	1.37%	0	0.7	52	0
9	May_25_2016	40.35	40.58	40.13	40.25	40.38	40.78	41.1(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	80	37	7	1.15	69%	-0.02	-66.5	1.37%	0	0.5	51	0
10	May_24_2016	40.36	40.67	40.03	40.01	40	40.23	40.7(1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	40	15	-22	0.88	69%	-0.07	-68.7	1.37%	0	0	49	0

11	May_23_2016	40.39	40.78	40.01	39.91	39.88	39.99	39.95(-0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	20	3	-38	1.37	61%	0	-71.4	1.35%	0	-0.7	39	0
12	May_20_2016	40.39	40.92	40.02	40	39.95	39.99	40(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-11	-40	3	-52	2.28	64%	-0.12	-68.9	1.42%	0	-0.7	33	0
13	May_19_2016	40.44	41.08	40.07	39.87	40.01	39.77	39.52(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-30	-16	-82	4.89	64%	-0.15	-68.9	1.42%	0	-1.1	28	0
14	May_18_2016	40.5	41.27	40.2	39.97	40.02	40.13	39.87(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	20	-8	-93	1.16	64%	-0.12	-67.6	1.42%	0	-1	27	0
15	May_17_2016	40.55	41.46	40.28	40.04	40.07	40.25	40.22(-0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	30	8	-108	0.47	64%	-0.12	-64.8	1.42%	0	-0.8	26	0

16	May_16_2016	40.6	41.66	40.37	40.13	40.09	39.91	40.37(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-29	-30	2	-123	2.33	68%	-0.02	-58.1	1.43%	0	-0.9	29	0
17	May_13_2016	40.61	41.83	40.52	40.05	40.16	39.9	39.39(-1.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-54	-40	-24	-143	1.05	66%	-0.15	-54.9	1.48%	0	-1.6	19	0
18	May_12_2016	40.67	42.04	40.81	40.3	40.31	40.27	40.01(-0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-43	-10	-12	-135	0.7	71%	-0.15	-47.2	1.48%	0	-1.4	20	0
19	May_11_2016	40.73	42.24	41.08	40.46	40.4	40.41	40.2(-1.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-35	-0	-4	-129	1	67%	-0.15	-37.5	1.51%	0	-1.5	19	0
20	May_10_2016	40.79	42.44	41.37	40.56	40.55	40.35	40.68(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-40	-5	-130	1.13	67%	-0.1	-30.7	1.52%	0	-1.3	20	0

21	May_9_2016	40.83	42.55	41.6	40.65	40.63	40.38	39.99(-1.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-62	-40	-32	-150	1.29	66%	-0.15	-25.2	1.5%	0	-2	8	0
22	May_6_2016	40.89	42.67	41.9	41.07	40.91	40.75	40.64(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-50	-40	-23	-132	1.08	65%	-0.12	-16.9	1.52%	0	-1.8	19	0
23	May_5_2016	40.94	42.73	42.16	41.4	41.32	40.87	40.81(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-80	-25	-120	0.82	65%	-0.12	-12.5	1.53%	0	-1.8	25	0
24	May_4_2016	40.99	42.77	42.43	41.79	41.66	41.07	40.68(-1.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-66	-110	-49	-116	1.56	65%	-0.1	-8.3	1.53%	0	-2	21	0
25	May_3_2016	41.03	42.85	42.76	42.3	42.19	41.76	41.12(-2.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-50	-80	-36	-90	1.77	65%		2.1	1.53%	0	-1.7	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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