Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Apr. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $43.4700 (-1.27%) ($43.4300 - $43.8000) on Sun. Apr. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $43.4700(-1.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.25(0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.43(2.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.23(2.94%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   21.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 1.99% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.25%(43%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.65%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -2.53%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 1.57%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.41%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160517

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_15_2016	41.38	42.23	42.43	43.25	43.51	43.82	43.47(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	70	12	54	1.14	56%	0.05	58.8	1.72%	0	1.5	62	0
2	Apr_14_2016	41.36	42.14	42.31	42.87	43.16	43.99	44.03(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	49	150	46	58	0.95	56%	-0.07	59.9	1.81%	0	2.4	68	0
3	Apr_13_2016	41.39	42.01	42.13	42.3	42.59	43.21	44.1(3.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	46	120	47	41	1.1	54%	-0.1	56	1.82%	0	3.1	66	0
4	Apr_12_2016	41.43	41.85	41.95	41.86	41.92	42.32	42.62(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	21	70	22	16	0.53	51%	-0.12	59.7	1.79%	0	1.5	53	0
5	Apr_11_2016	41.48	41.78	41.89	41.54	41.69	41.97	42.03(1.11%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	12	60	17	-3	0.67	51%	-0.17	47	1.79%	0	0.5	47	0

6	Apr_8_2016	41.55	41.74	41.84	41.51	41.44	41.53	41.57(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	10	-3	-17	1.21	50%	-0.14	45.2	1.78%	0	-0.4	46	0
7	Apr_7_2016	41.61	41.67	41.82	41.66	41.54	41.42	41.19(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-30	-8	-16	0.56	46%	-0.14	39.1	1.79%	0	-0.8	47	0
8	Apr_6_2016	41.67	41.63	41.86	41.93	41.71	41.36	41.9(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-70	-16	-8	0.69	45%	-0.12	45.8	1.85%	0	0.4	55	0
9	Apr_5_2016	41.72	41.55	41.87	42.06	41.97	41.66	41(-2.08%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-16	-60	-22	3	0.53	43%	-0.14	49.2	1.84%	0	-0.7	53	0
10	Apr_4_2016	41.78	41.56	42.01	42.27	42.34	42.06	41.87(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-40	-3	27	0.56	42%	-0.12	73	1.82%	0	0.4	57	0

11	Apr_1_2016	41.83	41.53	42.04	42.21	42.22	42.28	42.36(-0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	7	10	-1	31	0.69	42%	-0.12	90.7	1.87%	0	1.1	62	0
12	Mar_31_2016	41.88	41.43	41.98	41.99	42.07	42.62	42.51(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	100	24	45	1.04	42%	-0.12	92.6	1.89%	0	1.4	75	0
13	Mar_30_2016	41.93	41.32	41.88	41.77	41.69	42.15	42.57(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	70	23	45	1.03	42%	-0.1	98.4	1.89%	0	1.6	70	0
14	Mar_29_2016	41.97	41.18	41.72	41.67	41.45	41.52	42.06(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-0	4	41	0.47	42%	-0.14	101.1	1.88%	0	1.1	69	0
15	Mar_28_2016	42.03	41	41.65	41.74	41.56	41.24	41.55(0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-70	-11	41	0.5	42%	-0.33	79.1	1.88%	0	0.6	55	0

16	Mar_24_2016	42.17	40.85	41.63	41.86	41.81	41.39	41.24(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-70	-20	43	2.44	42%	-0.17	67.5	1.88%	0	0.3	49	0
17	Mar_23_2016	42.24	40.72	41.52	41.96	42.1	41.89	41.44(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-20	-9	51	0.75	44%	-0.17	66.7	1.88%	0	0.6	59	0
18	Mar_22_2016	42.31	40.58	41.41	41.97	42.07	42.24	42.08(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	40	8	58	0.61	44%	-0.14	64.3	1.88%	0	1.1	64	0
19	Mar_21_2016	42.37	40.41	41.22	41.76	41.81	42.31	42.38(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	90	22	59	0.71	44%	-0.12	64.3	1.88%	0	1.6	70	0
20	Mar_18_2016	42.42	40.26	41.06	41.55	41.44	41.9	42.15(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	70	23	70	1.08	44%	-0.12	73.1	1.88%	0	1.5	75	0

21	Mar_17_2016	42.47	40.07	40.97	41.39	41.22	41.32	41.76(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	0	21	85	0.61	44%	-0.16	82.5	1.88%	0	1.4	74	0
22	Mar_16_2016	42.54	39.9	40.83	41.02	41.08	40.99	41.49(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10	8	79	0.58	45%	-0.16	85.6	1.88%	0	1.4	73	0
23	Mar_15_2016	42.61	39.75	40.71	40.76	40.83	41.11	41.04(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	50	6	82	0.41	46%	-0.19	91.7	1.89%	0	1.1	69	0
24	Mar_14_2016	42.69	39.61	40.58	40.57	40.67	41.17	41.33(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	90	22	90	0.5	46%	-0.21	95.8	1.9%	0	1.5	72	0
25	Mar_11_2016	42.78	39.37	40.29	40.5	40.42	40.55	41.31(3.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	20	10	75	0.67	45%		84.3	1.91%	0	1.6	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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