Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MCHI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $41.7600 (0.65%) ($41.2700 - $41.8900) on Thu. Mar. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.88% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $41.7600(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(92%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -0.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.94% (StdDev 1.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.39(0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.97(1.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.07(4.22%)
To recent high   -9.1%
To recent low   17%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 3.02% (three month std-dev: 1.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 30 Average positive next day return: 1.46%(53%) Average negative next day return: -1.4%(47%) Sample size 30 Average positive next three day return: 2.52%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -2.47%(37%) Sample size 30 Average positive next weekly return: 2.58%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.56%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2016	42.47	40.07	40.97	41.39	41.22	41.32	41.76(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	0	21	85	0.61	44%	-0.16	82.5	1.88%	0	1.4	74	0
2	Mar_16_2016	42.54	39.9	40.83	41.02	41.08	40.99	41.49(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10	8	79	0.58	45%	-0.16	85.6	1.88%	0	1.4	73	0
3	Mar_15_2016	42.61	39.75	40.71	40.76	40.83	41.11	41.04(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	50	6	82	0.41	46%	-0.19	91.7	1.89%	0	1.1	69	0
4	Mar_14_2016	42.69	39.61	40.58	40.57	40.67	41.17	41.33(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	90	22	90	0.5	46%	-0.21	95.8	1.9%	0	1.5	72	0
5	Mar_11_2016	42.78	39.37	40.29	40.5	40.42	40.55	41.31(3.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	20	10	75	0.67	45%	-0.19	84.3	1.91%	0	1.6	60	0

6	Mar_10_2016	42.86	39.1	40.01	40.52	40.39	40.17	39.91(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-50	-10	71	1.08	42%	-0.19	70	1.88%	0	0.6	61	0
7	Mar_9_2016	42.94	38.93	39.87	40.61	40.66	40.28	40.23(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-60	-9	77	0.86	42%	-0.21	61.3	1.88%	0	0.9	64	0
8	Mar_8_2016	43.03	38.73	39.71	40.63	40.62	40.62	40.08(-2.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-0	-8	80	0.91	42%	-0.21	54.6	1.88%	0	0.9	60	0
9	Mar_7_2016	43.12	38.55	39.56	40.55	40.59	41.03	40.99(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	80	31	98	0.95	43%	-0.19	47.1	1.87%	0	1.5	70	0
10	Mar_4_2016	43.2	38.36	39.4	40.02	40.2	40.63	41.41(2.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	56	90	40	102	2.24	43%	-0.18	34.3	1.87%	0	2	79	0

11	Mar_3_2016	43.28	38.17	39.09	39.42	39.54	40.14	40.32(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	120	27	94	0.69	41%	-0.16	24.8	1.84%	0	1.6	80	0
12	Mar_2_2016	43.35	38.04	38.88	39.04	39.16	39.77	40.34(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	55	120	41	98	1.63	41%	-0.16	19.4	1.84%	0	1.9	73	0
13	Mar_1_2016	43.42	37.89	38.7	38.68	38.65	38.93	39.68(3.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	50	22	97	0.91	41%	-0.18	8.8	1.82%	0	1.7	73	0
14	Feb_29_2016	43.5	37.82	38.53	38.44	38.35	38.56	38.35(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	30	-3	92	1.13	37%	-0.23	5.2	1.76%	0	0.5	63	0
15	Feb_26_2016	43.6	37.86	38.37	38.68	38.42	38.37	38.43(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-30	3	102	0.58	36%	-0.21	12.6	1.78%	0	0.5	56	0

16	Feb_25_2016	43.69	37.84	38.12	38.7	38.61	38.13	38.39(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-90	-11	83	1.96	36%	-0.23	15.5	1.79%	0	0.5	53	0
17	Feb_24_2016	43.79	37.81	37.93	38.69	38.71	38.48	38.55(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-40	-19	66	1.16	36%	-0.18	16.4	1.79%	0	0.7	52	0
18	Feb_23_2016	43.87	37.8	37.69	38.71	38.82	39.08	38.49(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	60	8	68	0.55	36%	-0.18	16	1.79%	0	0.7	55	0
19	Feb_22_2016	43.95	37.77	37.5	38.62	38.74	38.94	39.55(2.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	50	35	59	0.37	37%	-0.14	15.4	1.77%	0	1.7	52	0
20	Feb_19_2016	44.01	37.73	37.26	38.02	38.36	38.56	38.54(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	60	27	10	0.3	34%	-0.14	-3.5	1.74%	0	0.8	44	0

21	Feb_18_2016	44.07	37.68	37.16	37.45	37.81	38.55	38.3(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	22	170	36	-20	0.98	34%	-0.14	-26.1	1.74%	0	0.6	50	0
22	Feb_17_2016	44.13	37.64	37.11	37.06	37.05	38.17	38.66(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	35	210	56	-30	0.41	34%	-0.09	-48.6	1.75%	0	1.1	54	0
23	Feb_16_2016	44.17	37.63	36.98	36.54	36.57	37.07	38.03(4.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	21	100	50	-67	1.24	34%	-0.09	-69	1.73%	0	0.4	47	0
24	Feb_12_2016	44.21	37.62	37.01	36.25	36.13	35.93	36.56(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-36	-50	-11	-109	0.54	30%	-0.18	-88.5	1.65%	0	-1.1	41	0
25	Feb_11_2016	44.29	37.76	37.27	36.41	36.21	36.08	35.7(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-51	-40	-31	-110	0.77	26%		-84.6	1.61%	0	-2	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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