Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MCHI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $37.7200 (0.48%) ($37.1200 - $38.1800) on Thu. Jan. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   16
Latest Price   $37.7200(0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI declines -6.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(92%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $26.52(-29.69%)
Resistance Level   $41.62
5 Day Moving Average   $38.26(-1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39(-3.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.62(-9.37%)
To recent high   -24.4%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 6.75% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 23 Average positive next day return: 2.58%(35%) Average negative next day return: -2.88%(65%) Sample size 23 Average positive next three day return: 3.33%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -3.85%(48%) Sample size 23 Average positive next weekly return: 7.76%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.48%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_21_2016	45.36	41.62	39	38.26	37.86	37.48	37.72(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-95	-100	-37	-267	0.96	25%	-0.11	-61.5	1.48%	0	-1.4	16	0
2	Jan_20_2016	45.41	41.99	39.45	38.53	38.26	38.05	37.54(-2.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-95	-60	-34	-279	1.96	25%	-0.11	-57.4	1.48%	0	-1.6	14	0
3	Jan_19_2016	45.46	42.39	39.99	39	38.81	38.23	38.66(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-86	-120	-23	-276	1.02	28%	-0.11	-53.2	1.45%	0	-1.4	16	0
4	Jan_15_2016	45.51	42.73	40.41	39.23	39.11	38.47	37.8(-4.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-125	-120	-61	-315	1.2	30%	-0.18	-52.5	1.4%	0	-1.8	7	0
5	Jan_14_2016	45.59	43.14	41.09	39.67	39.66	39.39	39.57(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-94	-50	-27	-293	1.65	35%	-0.09	-52.6	1.39%	0	-1.5	9	0

6	Jan_13_2016	45.63	43.42	41.59	39.87	39.96	39.75	39.06(-2.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-102	-30	-37	-296	1.37	35%	-0.09	-54	1.38%	0	-1.8	12	0
7	Jan_12_2016	45.67	43.7	42.21	40.52	40.31	39.93	39.92(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-101	-80	-44	-270	3.81	37%	-0.02	-56.3	1.36%	0	-1.8	15	0
8	Jan_11_2016	45.68	43.91	42.74	41.14	40.88	40.17	39.81(-0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-106	-140	-59	-247	0.89	37%	-0.13	-61.4	1.36%	0	-2.1	13	0
9	Jan_8_2016	45.74	44.18	43.35	41.79	41.66	40.69	39.98(-1.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-114	-170	-80	-217	1.64	37%	-0.15	-64.8	1.36%	0	-2.5	17	0
10	Jan_7_2016	45.81	44.46	43.96	42.72	42.3	41.6	40.58(-4.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-108	-150	-87	-170	1.96	46%	-0.11	-67.4	1.36%	0	-2.9	17	0

11	Jan_6_2016	45.86	44.73	44.46	43.56	43.23	42.64	42.31(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-62	-120	-47	-108	2.66	53%	-0.09	-75.8	1.36%	0	-2.5	32	0
12	Jan_5_2016	45.9	44.94	44.77	44.16	43.87	42.99	43.03(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-62	-160	-58	-74	1.17	57%	-0.07	-74.7	1.35%	0	-2.3	45	0
13	Jan_4_2016	45.93	45.12	45.02	44.59	44.45	43.83	43.07(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-58	-110	-64	-38	0.65	57%	-0.07	-63.9	1.36%	0	-2.7	50	0
14	Dec_31_2015	45.96	45.29	45.25	45.14	44.99	44.75	44.62(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-19	-50	-27	7	0.4	71%	-0.04	-54.8	1.38%	0	-1	49	0
15	Dec_30_2015	45.98	45.38	45.36	45.41	45.28	45.08	44.76(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-40	-15	31	0.93	74%	-0.02	-49.7	1.39%	0	-0.8	47	0

16	Dec_29_2015	45.99	45.49	45.39	45.51	45.54	45.24	45.3(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-40	-7	35	4.71	74%	-0.02	-47.1	1.41%	0	-0.2	47	0
17	Dec_28_2015	46	45.56	45.29	45.48	45.49	45.49	45.21(-1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	0	-13	14	1.3	74%	-0.02	-52.7	1.41%	0	-0.4	42	0
18	Dec_24_2015	46.01	45.61	45.15	45.51	45.48	45.84	45.81(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	50	19	2	0.18	74%	0	-57.6	1.42%	0	0.2	42	0
19	Dec_23_2015	46.01	45.68	45.05	45.37	45.36	45.49	45.95(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	20	17	-17	0.88	74%	0	-55.4	1.43%	0	0.3	47	0
20	Dec_22_2015	46.01	45.75	44.97	45.32	45.26	45.11	45.28(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	-30	-4	-40	0.96	72%	-0.02	-48.9	1.43%	0	-0.5	40	0

21	Dec_21_2015	46.02	45.86	44.99	45.25	45.36	45.23	45.15(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10	0	-54	2.7	72%	-0.02	-45	1.44%	0	-0.7	37	0
22	Dec_18_2015	46.03	46	45.09	45.06	45.32	45.41	45.35(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	30	15	-61	2.99	72%	-0.02	-40.2	1.46%	0	-0.6	40	0
23	Dec_17_2015	46.04	46.1	45.21	44.72	44.98	45.49	45.12(-1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	100	18	-73	1.15	72%	-0.02	-46.9	1.48%	0	-0.8	43	0
24	Dec_16_2015	46.05	46.2	45.31	44.68	44.57	45.24	45.69(1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	100	31	-81	0.62	75%	0	-47.8	1.48%	0	-0.4	38	0
25	Dec_15_2015	46.05	46.25	45.39	44.59	44.43	44.48	44.94(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	-0	13	-100	1.01	74%		-51.4	1.51%	0	-1.1	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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