Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MCHI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: MCHI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI China ETF)
MCHI latest price $40.5800 (-4.09%) ($40.5500 - $41.6700) on Thu. Jan. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   17
Latest Price   $40.5800(-4.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   MCHI declines -1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCHI declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCHI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(97%)    KWEB(92%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)
Factors Impacting MCHI price   MCHI will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $37.44(-7.74%)
Resistance Level   $44.46
5 Day Moving Average   $42.72(-5.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.96(-7.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.46(-8.73%)
To recent high   -18.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MCHI price fluctuates within 3.01% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 1.52%(41%) Average negative next day return: -2.08%(59%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 3.31%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -3.44%(53%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 4.21%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.15%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_7_2016	45.81	44.46	43.96	42.72	42.3	41.6	40.58(-4.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-108	-150	-87	-170	1.96	46%	-0.11	-67.4	1.36%	0	-2.9	17	INF
2	Jan_6_2016	45.86	44.73	44.46	43.56	43.23	42.64	42.31(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-62	-120	-47	-108	2.66	53%	-0.09	-75.8	1.36%	0	-2.5	32	INF
3	Jan_5_2016	45.9	44.94	44.77	44.16	43.87	42.99	43.03(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-62	-160	-58	-74	1.17	57%	-0.07	-74.7	1.35%	0	-2.3	45	INF
4	Jan_4_2016	45.93	45.12	45.02	44.59	44.45	43.83	43.07(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-58	-110	-64	-38	0.65	57%	-0.07	-63.9	1.36%	0	-2.7	50	INF
5	Dec_31_2015	45.96	45.29	45.25	45.14	44.99	44.75	44.62(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-19	-50	-27	7	0.4	71%	-0.04	-54.8	1.38%	0	-1	49	INF

6	Dec_30_2015	45.98	45.38	45.36	45.41	45.28	45.08	44.76(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-40	-15	31	0.93	74%	-0.02	-49.7	1.39%	0	-0.8	47	INF
7	Dec_29_2015	45.99	45.49	45.39	45.51	45.54	45.24	45.3(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-40	-7	35	4.71	74%	-0.02	-47.1	1.41%	0	-0.2	47	INF
8	Dec_28_2015	46	45.56	45.29	45.48	45.49	45.49	45.21(-1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	0	-13	14	1.3	74%	-0.02	-52.7	1.41%	0	-0.4	42	INF
9	Dec_24_2015	46.01	45.61	45.15	45.51	45.48	45.84	45.81(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	50	19	2	0.18	74%	0	-57.6	1.42%	0	0.2	42	INF
10	Dec_23_2015	46.01	45.68	45.05	45.37	45.36	45.49	45.95(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	20	17	-17	0.88	74%	0	-55.4	1.43%	0	0.3	47	INF

11	Dec_22_2015	46.01	45.75	44.97	45.32	45.26	45.11	45.28(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	-30	-4	-40	0.96	72%	-0.02	-48.9	1.43%	0	-0.5	40	INF
12	Dec_21_2015	46.02	45.86	44.99	45.25	45.36	45.23	45.15(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10	0	-54	2.7	72%	-0.02	-45	1.44%	0	-0.7	37	INF
13	Dec_18_2015	46.03	46	45.09	45.06	45.32	45.41	45.35(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	30	15	-61	2.99	72%	-0.02	-40.2	1.46%	0	-0.6	40	INF
14	Dec_17_2015	46.04	46.1	45.21	44.72	44.98	45.49	45.12(-1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	100	18	-73	1.15	72%	-0.02	-46.9	1.48%	0	-0.8	43	INF
15	Dec_16_2015	46.05	46.2	45.31	44.68	44.57	45.24	45.69(1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	100	31	-81	0.62	75%	0	-47.8	1.48%	0	-0.4	38	INF

16	Dec_15_2015	46.05	46.25	45.39	44.59	44.43	44.48	44.94(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	-0	13	-100	1.01	74%	-0.04	-51.4	1.51%	0	-1.1	32	INF
17	Dec_14_2015	46.07	46.36	45.58	44.72	44.53	43.91	44.2(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-56	-110	-35	-120	0.57	72%	-0.04	-51.2	1.51%	0	-1.9	25	INF
18	Dec_11_2015	46.09	46.48	45.84	45.14	44.88	44.39	43.66(-2.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-72	-90	-56	-121	1.06	72%	-0.07	-55.7	1.5%	0	-2.8	18	INF
19	Dec_10_2015	46.12	46.66	46.12	45.75	45.51	45.16	44.92(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-41	-70	-24	-91	1.93	80%	-0.04	-60.4	1.46%	0	-2.2	32	INF
20	Dec_9_2015	46.14	46.77	46.38	46.02	45.9	45.38	45.21(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-43	-90	-30	-80	0.69	80%	-0.02	-68.3	1.46%	0	-2.3	35	INF

21	Dec_8_2015	46.15	46.87	46.63	46.29	46.17	45.86	45.62(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-41	-50	-34	-63	0.91	85%	-0.02	-76.2	1.46%	0	-2.2	43	INF
22	Dec_7_2015	46.16	46.95	46.83	46.56	46.51	46.41	46.27(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-20	-7	-31	0.67	85%	0	-78.3	1.66%	0	-1.4	45	INF
23	Dec_4_2015	46.16	47.05	47	46.65	46.51	46.49	46.75(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-20	-2	-13	0.51	85%	0.02	-60	1.66%	0	-0.6	57	INF
24	Dec_3_2015	46.15	47.14	47.06	46.56	46.64	46.62	46.26(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	0	-10	-18	0.66	85%	0	-47.8	1.7%	0	-1.4	46	INF
25	Dec_2_2015	46.15	47.24	47.16	46.8	46.59	46.79	46.56(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	20	-5	-5	2.15	85%		-34.1	1.7%	0	-1	47	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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