Trading Signals: MCD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: MCD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(McDonalds)
MCD latest price $114.2551 (0.47%) ($113.6411 - $114.4365) on Wed. Jul. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $114.2551(0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCD advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCD advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(67%)    IWD(63%)    IVE(62%)    SPY(62%)    SDY(61%)
Factors Impacting MCD price   MCD will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-6%)    GDXJ(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $113.36(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $112.7(1.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $112.56(1.51%)
To recent high   -6%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $85.017b

McDonald's Corp. engages in the operation and franchise of McDonald's restaurants. It operates through the following segments: U.S.; International Lead Markets; High Growth Markets; Foundational Markets and Corporate. The U.S. segment manages to increase customer awareness for its global mobile application, mobile order and pay functionality, and delivery platform. The International Lead Markets segment focuses in expanding the McCafÃ© coffee brand and the ongoing deployment of EOTF restaurants across the segment. The High Growth Markets segment involves in the ideas around design, digital, people, menu innovation, and value from other markets to enhance the customer experience. The Foundational Markets and Corporate segment refers commitment to run great restaurants and increase convenient to customers, including drive-thru and delivery. The company was founded by Raymond Albert Kroc on April 15, 1955 and is headquartered in Oak Brook, IL.

$. MCD price fluctuates within 1.36% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2016	114.57	112.56	112.7	113.36			114.26(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-10000	8	79	3.46	30%	0.06	-6.6	0.9%	0	1.1	57	0
2	Jul_12_2016	114.5	112.52	112.3	112.95			113.72(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	5	45	3.74	30%	0.05	-12.7	0.9%	0	0.8	47	0
3	Jul_11_2016	114.44	112.54	111.77	112.68			113.49(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-10000	6	2	4.27	30%	0.06	-14.5	0.9%	0	0.6	43	0
4	Jul_8_2016	114.37	112.55	111.52	112.38			112.85(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	4	-24	3.81	30%	0.04	-17.3	0.89%	0	0.2	46	0
5	Jul_7_2016	114.32	112.61	111.48	112.2			112.49(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	5	-36	3.62	30%	0.04	-16.2	0.89%	0	-0.1	44	0

6	Jul_6_2016	114.28	112.66	111.43	111.93			112.22(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-10000	8	-53	5.1	30%	0.03	-18.2	0.89%	0	-0.3	44	0
7	Jul_5_2016	114.25	112.72	111.58	111.54			112.34(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	17	-64	5.19	30%	0.04	-23.1	0.89%	0	-0.2	43	0
8	Jul_1_2016	114.2	112.77	111.79	110.71			112(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-21	-10000	4	-95	3.8	30%	0.04	-39.3	0.89%	0	-0.5	41	0
9	Jun_30_2016	114.15	112.82	111.94	110.53			111.95(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-29	-10000	-3	-107	4.81	34%	0.04	-47.5	0.89%	0	-0.6	43	0
10	Jun_29_2016	114.11	112.87	112.12	110.69			111.16(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-29	-10000	-4	-103	5.02	34%	0.04	-48.9	0.91%	0	-1.1	39	0

11	Jun_28_2016	114.07	112.95	112.38	110.9			110.24(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-10000	-15	-103	6.17	34%	0.04	-51.5	0.9%	0	-1.8	39	0
12	Jun_27_2016	114.03	113.09	112.76	111.67			108.19(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-42	-10000	-27	-85	14.16	29%	0.03	-43.2	0.87%	0	-3.5	30	0
13	Jun_24_2016	114	113.4	113.43	112.99			111.11(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-16	-10000	-11	-31	6.99	33%	0	-27	0.82%	0	-2.7	39	0
14	Jun_23_2016	114	113.57	113.72	113.52			112.76(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-5	-10000	-5	-5	3.83	35%	0.02	-20	0.8%	0	-1.2	51	0
15	Jun_22_2016	113.98	113.62	113.88	113.75			112.21(-1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-2	-10000	-7	12	6.58	35%	-0.02	-29.3	0.8%	0	-2.1	50	0

16	Jun_21_2016	114	113.74	114.04	114.06			114.08(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	-10000	1	34	4.75	38%	0	-45.3	0.77%	0	0.6	65	0
17	Jun_20_2016	114	113.71	113.98	114.04			114.81(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	-10000	2	38	5.95	38%	0.01	-92.5	0.77%	0	1.8	71	0
18	Jun_17_2016	113.99	113.62	113.84	113.96			113.74(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	-0	34	8.33	35%	0.02	-154.2	0.77%	0	0.2	49	0
19	Jun_16_2016	113.97	113.71	113.76	113.97			113.93(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-1	26	3.93	35%	0.03	-148.4	0.77%	0	0.3	45	0
20	Jun_15_2016	113.94	113.82	113.65	114.03			113.72(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10000	1	22	4.17	35%	0.04	-122.9	0.77%	0	-0.1	49	0

21	Jun_14_2016	113.9	114.01	113.55	114.01			113.97(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	5	-10000	3	11	6.35	35%	0.04	-104.4	0.77%	0	-0	44	0
22	Jun_13_2016	113.86	114.27	113.43	113.89			114.41(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-10000	4	3	5.44	35%	0.06	-80.3	0.78%	0	0.1	57	0
23	Jun_10_2016	113.79	114.47	113.35	113.71			113.83(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	-10000	4	0	4.35	39%	0.04	-76.5	0.79%	0	-0.3	55	0
24	Jun_9_2016	113.74	114.76	113.38	113.52			114.23(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10000	7	-14	4.58	39%	0.08	-67.6	0.79%	0	-0.2	39	0
25	Jun_8_2016	113.65	115	113.33	113.22			113.59(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	4	-43	3.93	39%		-67.1	0.8%	0	-0.6	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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