Trading Signals: MCD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 29, 2015

Trading Signals: MCD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(McDonalds)
MCD latest price $82.6323 (5.06%) ($80.8515 - $82.8360) on Thu. Jan. 29, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $82.6323(5.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCD advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCD declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(62%)    SPY(62%)    VYM(60%)    VT(59%)    PEJ(57%)
Factors Impacting MCD price   MCD will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-9%)    GDXJ(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $77.26(-6.5%)
5 Day Moving Average   $80.06(3.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.33(2.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.32(1.61%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $61.487b

McDonald's Corp. engages in the operation and franchise of McDonald's restaurants. It operates through the following segments: U.S.; International Lead Markets; High Growth Markets; Foundational Markets and Corporate. The U.S. segment manages to increase customer awareness for its global mobile application, mobile order and pay functionality, and delivery platform. The International Lead Markets segment focuses in expanding the McCafÃ© coffee brand and the ongoing deployment of EOTF restaurants across the segment. The High Growth Markets segment involves in the ideas around design, digital, people, menu innovation, and value from other markets to enhance the customer experience. The Foundational Markets and Corporate segment refers commitment to run great restaurants and increase convenient to customers, including drive-thru and delivery. The company was founded by Raymond Albert Kroc on April 15, 1955 and is headquartered in Oak Brook, IL.

$. MCD price fluctuates within 1.68% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_29_2015	82.27	81.32	80.33	80.06			82.63(5.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.9	-9	-10000	9	-64	19.15	50%	0.01	-64.9	1.21%	0	1	43	0
2	Jan_28_2015	82.26	81.35	80.14	79.64			78.65(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-34	-10000	-7	-114	6.92	41%	-0.01	-71.3	1.03%	0	-1.9	22	0
3	Jan_27_2015	82.27	81.63	80.49	79.92			79.35(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10000	-5	-102	6.64	41%	-0.02	-64.8	1.03%	0	-1.7	38	0
4	Jan_26_2015	82.29	81.86	80.79	80.14			80.33(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	-10000	-3	-91	7.75	42%	-0.02	-57.3	1.02%	0	-1.1	43	0
5	Jan_23_2015	82.31	82	81.01	80.28			79.35(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-10000	-8	-91	11.5	40%	-0.02	-47.3	1.01%	0	-1.9	32	0

6	Jan_22_2015	82.33	82.22	81.43	80.6			80.52(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-3	-75	7.54	42%	-0.02	-28.3	0.99%	0	-1.4	34	0
7	Jan_21_2015	82.35	82.36	81.7	80.72			80.04(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-10000	-11	-76	8.68	42%	-0.01	-8.9	0.99%	0	-1.9	28	0
8	Jan_20_2015	82.36	82.5	81.9	81.16			80.44(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-10000	-10	-74	6.97	42%	-0.02	10.6	0.99%	0	-1.9	26	0
9	Jan_16_2015	82.38	82.63	82.05	81.55			81.06(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-10000	-8	-74	6.93	45%	-0.02	35.7	0.99%	0	-1.7	31	0
10	Jan_15_2015	82.4	82.66	82.21	81.86			80.96(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-27	-10000	-13	-68	5.74	45%	-0.01	57.1	0.99%	0	-2	38	0

11	Jan_14_2015	82.41	82.57	82.43	82.38			81.1(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-21	-10000	-11	-49	7.75	45%	-0.01	64.1	1%	0	-1.7	37	0
12	Jan_13_2015	82.42	82.47	82.67	82.82			82.24(-0.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-5	-10000	2	-26	5.97	44%	0	42.2	0.98%	0	-0.2	45	0
13	Jan_12_2015	82.42	82.38	82.86	82.75			82.4(-0.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	-10000	3	-18	3.99	44%	0	17.1	1.01%	0	0	50	0
14	Jan_9_2015	82.42	82.3	83.01	82.61			82.58(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-5	-10000	-0	-18	4.28	42%	0.01	2.6	1.01%	0	0.2	48	0
15	Jan_8_2015	82.41	82.17	83.07	82.62			83.6(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10000	3	-5	5.48	47%	0.01	-10.4	1.01%	0	0.9	65	0

16	Jan_7_2015	82.4	82.03	83.05	82.5			83.29(1.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	4	-10000	-1	20	6.4	45%	0.01	-20.7	1.02%	0	0.7	74	0
17	Jan_6_2015	82.39	81.96	83.03	82.54			81.86(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-11	50	6.48	39%	0	-28	1%	0	-0.1	71	0
18	Jan_5_2015	82.39	82.12	83.13	83.01			81.71(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	13	-10000	-11	86	6.21	39%	0	-21.7	1.01%	0	-0.2	58	0
19	Jan_2_2015	82.39	82.26	83.27	83.46			82.62(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	30	-10000	-2	126	6.02	43%	0.02	-14.6	1.01%	0	0.2	60	0
20	Dec_31_2014	82.37	82.34	83.16	83.56			83.01(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	35	-10000	-2	144	4.59	43%	0.01	-13.8	1%	0	0.3	65	0

21	Dec_30_2014	82.36	82.39	82.76	83.65			83.5(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	-10000	1	138	3.26	41%	0.02	-14.7	1%	0	0.5	60	0
22	Dec_29_2014	82.34	82.44	82.28	83.59			84.2(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	7	114	4.18	44%	0.04	-15.5	1.02%	0	0.9	57	0
23	Dec_26_2014	82.31	82.49	81.88	83.27			83.97(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	5	68	3.88	44%	0.05	-17.5	1.04%	0	0.7	43	0
24	Dec_24_2014	82.27	82.53	81.53	83.07			83.13(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	9	36	1.74	45%	0.02	-19	1.03%	0	0.3	43	0
25	Dec_23_2014	82.25	82.62	81.19	82.69			83.47(0.35%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	16	-10000	23	-5	3.6	45%		-22	1.05%	0	0.4	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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