Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 5, 2012

Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF)
LQD latest price $118.2200 (0.25%) ($117.9300 - $118.3400) on Thu. Jul. 5, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.27% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $118.2200(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   LQD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LQD advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LQD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(62%)    TIP(55%)    TLT(55%)    EMHY(50%)    JNK(49%)
Factors Impacting LQD price   LQD will decline at least -0.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
USO(2%)    XOP(5%)    OIH(6%)    REMX(12%)    FXI(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.135% (StdDev 0.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $117.83(0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.51(0.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $117.04(1.01%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. LQD price fluctuates within 0.5% (three month std-dev: 0.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120805

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_5_2012	116.23	117.04	117.51	117.83			118.22(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	35	-10000	10	111	1.98	58%	0.02	60	0.27%	0	2	87	0
2	Jul_3_2012	116.21	116.92	117.36	117.68			117.92(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	-10000	8	105	0.81	50%	0.01	50	0.26%	0	1.7	80	0
3	Jul_2_2012	116.2	116.83	117.24	117.55			117.82(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	29	-10000	8	92	2.31	50%	0.02	50	0.29%	0	1.8	83	0
4	Jun_29_2012	116.18	116.76	117.14	117.42			117.59(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	9	88	2.35	50%	0.01	51.2	0.29%	0	1.7	70	0
5	Jun_28_2012	116.17	116.73	117.07	117.27			117.62(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	-10000	8	82	2.29	50%	0.01	62.5	0.29%	0	1.9	70	0

6	Jun_27_2012	116.16	116.69	116.94	117.14			117.44(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	-10000	8	76	2.35	55%	0.01	73.7	0.29%	0	1.7	73	0
7	Jun_26_2012	116.15	116.63	116.85	117			117.28(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	6	70	1.64	55%	0.01	77.8	0.31%	0	1.5	75	0
8	Jun_25_2012	116.14	116.56	116.74	116.89			117.16(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	3	59	1.7	55%	0.01	79.4	0.31%	0	1.5	65	0
9	Jun_22_2012	116.13	116.5	116.67	116.89			116.86(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	0	54	1.25	55%	0	82.4	0.31%	0	0.9	57	0
10	Jun_21_2012	116.13	116.44	116.63	116.83			116.95(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	6	47	2.23	57%	0.01	71.1	0.31%	0	1.2	43	0

11	Jun_20_2012	116.12	116.37	116.54	116.72			116.77(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	3	22	2.58	57%	0.01	50	0.31%	0	0.9	46	0
12	Jun_19_2012	116.11	116.3	116.45	116.67			116.72(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	6	14	2.16	57%	0	30.2	0.31%	0	0.8	56	0
13	Jun_18_2012	116.11	116.25	116.39	116.55			116.83(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	4	4	1	57%	0.01	13.6	0.31%	0	1.1	58	0
14	Jun_15_2012	116.1	116.18	116.34	116.48			116.88(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	-10000	5	4	1.35	57%	0.01	-2.2	0.31%	0	1.3	60	0
15	Jun_14_2012	116.09	116.13	116.36	116.4			116.4(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	-10000	4	23	1.57	48%	0.02	-14.3	0.31%	0	0.6	60	0

16	Jun_13_2012	116.07	116.14	116.42	116.33			116.54(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	8	35	1.33	46%	0.02	-15.9	0.34%	0	0.8	62	0
17	Jun_12_2012	116.05	116.15	116.42	116.18			116.12(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-1	33	0.93	44%	0.02	-26.7	0.34%	0	-0.1	61	0
18	Jun_11_2012	116.03	116.18	116.38	116.19			116.46(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	1	41	1.35	44%	0.02	-23.9	0.34%	0	0.5	60	0
19	Jun_8_2012	116.01	116.18	116.32	116.18			116.48(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	5	-10000	-8	43	1.71	44%	0.02	-20.8	0.34%	0	0.5	62	0
20	Jun_7_2012	115.99	116.19	116.24	116.34			116.05(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-9	53	2.93	41%	0.01	-10.4	0.34%	0	-0.3	52	0

21	Jun_6_2012	115.98	116.22	116.2	116.52			115.81(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	11	-10000	-4	55	2.5	41%	0.01	2	0.34%	0	-0.7	40	0
22	Jun_5_2012	115.97	116.28	116.16	116.59			116.15(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	12	-10000	1	45	2.43	41%	0.01	14	0.34%	0	-0.2	43	0
23	Jun_4_2012	115.96	116.3	116.11	116.57			116.4(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10000	5	27	2.64	41%	0.02	13.7	0.34%	0	0.2	43	0
24	Jun_1_2012	115.94	116.31	116.02	116.47			117.29(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	15	-10000	18	5	3.8	42%	0.03	7.8	0.32%	0	1.7	52	0
25	May_31_2012	115.91	116.25	115.87	116.13			116.97(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	3	-10000	15	-34	4.63	45%		-8.7	0.33%	0	1.3	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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