Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 19, 2011

Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF)
LQD latest price $113.4100 (0.35%) ($112.8700 - $113.4900) on Mon. Dec. 19, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.37% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $113.4100(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   LQD advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LQD advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LQD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(61%)    TIP(55%)    TLT(54%)    JNK(47%)    GLD(30%)
Factors Impacting LQD price   LQD will decline at least -0.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
USO(1%)    XOP(5%)    OIH(6%)    REMX(12%)    FXI(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.185% (StdDev 0.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $112.6(0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $112.27(1.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $111.67(1.56%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. LQD price fluctuates within 0.78% (three month std-dev: 0.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2011	112.56	111.67	112.27	112.6			113.41(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	43	-10000	17	119	1.06	36%	0.01	3.8	0.37%	0	2	75	0
2	Dec_16_2011	112.55	111.59	112.15	112.25			113.01(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	38	-10000	13	113	1.46	36%	0.02	-15.7	0.38%	0	1.8	70	0
3	Dec_15_2011	112.53	111.53	111.99	111.97			112.38(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	-10000	3	105	0.91	32%	0.01	-37.5	0.37%	0	1.2	68	0
4	Dec_14_2011	112.52	111.54	111.82	111.9			112.2(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	23	-10000	-2	96	1.09	32%	0.01	-46.3	0.37%	0	0.9	61	0
5	Dec_13_2011	112.51	111.58	111.68	111.95			112.01(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	3	95	1.21	32%	0.01	-47.3	0.37%	0	0.5	54	0

6	Dec_12_2011	112.5	111.63	111.51	111.89			111.63(0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10000	-6	71	0.57	30%	0	-53.7	0.37%	0	0	49	0
7	Dec_9_2011	112.5	111.71	111.39	112.03			111.62(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	16	-10000	1	62	1.02	30%	0	-56.8	0.38%	0	-0.1	44	0
8	Dec_8_2011	112.5	111.8	111.28	112.01			112.05(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	-10000	14	47	1.11	31%	0.01	-61.7	0.38%	0	0.2	49	0
9	Dec_7_2011	112.49	111.89	111.15	111.71			112.43(0.63%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	12	-10000	17	-3	1.56	31%	0.01	-68.3	0.37%	0	0.5	44	0
10	Dec_6_2011	112.48	111.97	111.03	111.36			111.73(-0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	15	-56	1.17	31%	0.01	-71.9	0.37%	0	-0.2	36	0

11	Dec_5_2011	112.47	112.12	111.01	111.05			112.33(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-12	-10000	18	-103	1.83	33%	0.01	-69.5	0.37%	0	0.1	38	0
12	Dec_2_2011	112.46	112.27	110.96	110.68			111.5(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-31	-10000	12	-159	1.88	32%	0	-65.3	0.36%	0	-0.5	29	0
13	Dec_1_2011	112.46	112.45	110.99	110.45			110.56(-0.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-55	-10000	-3	-212	1.66	24%	-0.01	-61.7	0.35%	0	-1.1	15	0
14	Nov_30_2011	112.47	112.68	111.21	110.51			110.69(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-63	-10000	-7	-231	1.76	24%	-0.01	-57.7	0.35%	0	-1.1	13	0
15	Nov_29_2011	112.48	112.89	111.45	110.65			110.19(-0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-72	-10000	-15	-243	1.46	19%	-0.01	-54.2	0.35%	0	-1.5	5	0

16	Nov_28_2011	112.49	113.13	111.76	110.95			110.44(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-75	-10000	-18	-247	2.42	19%	-0.01	-49.7	0.35%	0	-1.6	4	0
17	Nov_25_2011	112.5	113.34	112.06	111.29			110.39(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-76	-10000	-17	-252	0.66	19%	0.02	-43.8	0.35%	0	-1.9	3	0
18	Nov_23_2011	112.48	113.53	112.38	111.61			110.83(-0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-74	-10000	-19	-237	1.8	14%	0.01	-39.2	0.38%	0	-2	8	0
19	Nov_22_2011	112.47	113.71	112.71	112.01			111.4(-0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-66	-10000	-17	-212	1.39	15%	-0.01	-29.2	0.4%	0	-1.9	10	0
20	Nov_21_2011	112.48	113.85	113.01	112.38			111.69(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-60	-10000	-15	-195	1.36	15%	0.02	-14.7	0.4%	0	-2	19	0

21	Nov_18_2011	112.46	113.96	113.35	112.71			112.15(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-50	-10000	-10	-168	1.28	16%	0.02	1.1	0.4%	0	-1.8	25	0
22	Nov_17_2011	112.44	114.02	113.69	112.94			111.97(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-46	-10000	-14	-142	4.23	16%	0.02	14.3	0.4%	0	-2.1	27	0
23	Nov_16_2011	112.42	114.07	114.03	113.26			112.86(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-10000	-11	-107	2.64	18%	0.03	28.4	0.39%	0	-1.3	40	0
24	Nov_15_2011	112.39	114.06	114.28	113.51			113.22(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10000	-11	-75	1.43	18%	0.02	37.2	0.39%	0	-0.9	43	0
25	Nov_14_2011	112.37	114.01	114.45	113.75			113.33(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-16	-51	0.82	18%		41.7	0.39%	0	-0.6	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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