Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 18, 2011

Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF)
LQD latest price $110.8900 (-0.25%) ($110.8700 - $111.3600) on Wed. May. 18, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.27% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $110.8900(-0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   LQD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LQD advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LQD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(60%)    TIP(54%)    TLT(54%)    JNK(43%)    GLD(30%)
Factors Impacting LQD price   LQD will decline at least -0.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
USO(1%)    XOP(4%)    OIH(5%)    REMX(11%)    FXI(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.135% (StdDev 0.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $110.83(0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $110.78(0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $110.41(0.43%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. LQD price fluctuates within 0.46% (three month std-dev: 0.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20110618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2011	108.83	110.41	110.78	110.83			110.89(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	4	50	0.48	69%	0.03	95.7	0.27%	0	0.9	61	0
2	May_17_2011	108.8	110.33	110.73	110.78			111.17(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	10	57	1.23	69%	0.03	94	0.27%	0	1.5	70	0
3	May_16_2011	108.77	110.23	110.64	110.63			111.02(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	1	43	0.61	69%	0.02	92.3	0.27%	0	1.4	65	0
4	May_13_2011	108.75	110.13	110.56	110.61			110.7(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	-10000	-1	53	1.06	68%	0.03	92.7	0.27%	0	0.9	69	0
5	May_12_2011	108.72	110.01	110.54	110.63			110.37(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-10000	-5	74	0.6	67%	0.02	82.8	0.27%	0	0.5	67	0

6	May_11_2011	108.7	109.93	110.53	110.71			110.63(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	3	106	0.54	69%	0.02	85.3	0.27%	0	0.9	74	0
7	May_10_2011	108.68	109.82	110.47	110.67			110.45(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	31	-10000	3	115	0.97	65%	0.02	78.1	0.27%	0	0.8	73	0
8	May_9_2011	108.66	109.71	110.43	110.63			110.9(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	-10000	8	127	0.49	71%	0.03	68.4	0.28%	0	1.4	86	0
9	May_6_2011	108.63	109.56	110.3	110.51			110.79(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	34	-10000	4	124	0.86	71%	0.04	63	0.29%	0	1.4	87	0
10	May_5_2011	108.59	109.43	110.16	110.44			110.79(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	-10000	6	139	0.77	71%	0.04	60.5	0.29%	0	1.5	89	0

11	May_4_2011	108.55	109.3	110.02	110.34			110.41(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	40	-10000	6	143	0.72	70%	0.03	58.2	0.29%	0	1.3	80	0
12	May_3_2011	108.52	109.2	109.91	110.24			110.25(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	-10000	3	150	0.66	70%	0.02	60	0.29%	0	1.3	80	0
13	May_2_2011	108.5	109.11	109.79	110.2			110.3(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	-10000	10	170	1.77	70%	0.03	61.1	0.29%	0	1.5	84	0
14	Apr_29_2011	108.47	109.01	109.65	110.05			110.47(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	52	-10000	13	167	0.76	65%	0.02	55.7	0.3%	0	1.9	87	0
15	Apr_28_2011	108.45	108.89	109.44	109.84			110.26(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	46	-10000	11	152	0.51	65%	0.02	50.8	0.3%	0	2	84	0

16	Apr_27_2011	108.43	108.8	109.27	109.65			109.91(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-10000	7	143	0.72	64%	0.02	42.9	0.3%	0	1.8	77	0
17	Apr_26_2011	108.41	108.71	109.12	109.53			110.05(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	-10000	12	131	0.95	59%	0	32.7	0.3%	0	2.4	70	0
18	Apr_25_2011	108.41	108.63	108.92	109.33			109.54(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	-10000	8	103	0.69	59%	0	25.6	0.3%	0	1.9	66	0
19	Apr_21_2011	108.41	108.59	108.77	109.2			109.43(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	13	86	0.62	59%	0	10.3	0.31%	0	2	69	0
20	Apr_20_2011	108.41	108.55	108.63	108.98			109.33(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	9	64	0.52	59%	-0.01	-8.1	0.31%	0	2	69	0

21	Apr_19_2011	108.42	108.55	108.52	108.83			109.28(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	-10000	10	45	0.47	59%	-0.01	-22.2	0.31%	0	1.9	59	0
22	Apr_18_2011	108.43	108.53	108.44	108.66			109.05(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	-10000	12	36	0.82	59%	-0.01	-32.4	0.31%	0	1.4	62	0
23	Apr_15_2011	108.44	108.52	108.38	108.45			108.9(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	11	-10000	10	12	0.66	59%	0	-40.5	0.31%	0	1	51	0
24	Apr_14_2011	108.44	108.54	108.31	108.28			108.33(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10000	3	-14	1.08	53%	-0.01	-40	0.31%	0	-0.5	44	0
25	Apr_13_2011	108.45	108.59	108.3	108.23			108.6(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	-10000	4	-29	0.67	53%		-35.7	0.31%	0	0	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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