Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 19, 2009

Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF)
LQD latest price $104.5900 (0.51%) ($104.1100 - $104.8800) on Mon. Oct. 19, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.55% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $104.5900(0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   LQD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LQD declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LQD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(58%)    TIP(55%)    TLT(55%)    JNK(40%)    GLD(28%)
Factors Impacting LQD price   LQD will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
USO(0%)    XOP(3%)    OIH(4%)    EWP(9%)    FXI(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

Resistance Level   $105.23
5 Day Moving Average   $104.23(0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $104.43(0.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $105.23(-0.61%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. LQD price fluctuates within 1.03% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_19_2009	102.51	105.23	104.43	104.23			104.59(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	-10000	2	-68	0.83	51%	0.07	-41.7	0.55%	0	-0.6	33	0
2	Oct_16_2009	102.44	105.3	104.46	104.17			104.06(0.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-23	-10000	1	-93	0.88	53%	0.07	-43.1	0.55%	0	-1.2	27	0
3	Oct_15_2009	102.37	105.39	104.51	104.14			103.98(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-10000	-6	-120	1.1	50%	0.08	-46.5	0.56%	0	-1.3	29	0
4	Oct_14_2009	102.29	105.52	104.62	104.32			104(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-10000	-10	-125	1.18	50%	0.07	-38.9	0.57%	0	-1.5	34	0
5	Oct_13_2009	102.22	105.62	104.88	104.61			104.5(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-10000	-2	-105	0.8	50%	0.03	-27	0.57%	0	-1.2	37	0

6	Oct_12_2009	102.19	105.68	105.09	104.67			104.3(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10000	-5	-101	0.69	50%	0.07	-22.4	0.57%	0	-1.5	36	0
7	Oct_9_2009	102.12	105.76	105.37	104.81			103.94(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-10000	-4	-85	1.5	50%	0.07	-15	0.57%	0	-2.1	36	0
8	Oct_8_2009	102.05	105.88	105.67	104.91			104.86(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10000	-2	-72	1.01	56%	0.07	-4.2	0.56%	0	-1.4	44	0
9	Oct_7_2009	101.98	105.91	105.84	104.96			105.45(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-24	-10000	-8	-72	0.9	58%	0.09	1.4	0.56%	0	-0.6	42	0
10	Oct_6_2009	101.89	105.91	105.93	105.2			104.78(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-10000	-14	-58	1.47	56%	0.07	10.4	0.56%	0	-1.4	43	0

11	Oct_5_2009	101.82	105.88	106.09	105.6			105(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-15	-31	1.07	56%	0.08	21.1	0.56%	0	-1.1	47	0
12	Oct_2_2009	101.74	105.89	106.21	106.04			104.44(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-14	-10000	-17	-4	3.32	56%	0.08	36.8	0.56%	0	-1.8	42	0
13	Oct_1_2009	101.66	105.92	106.37	106.54			105.12(-1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-1	-10000	-9	25	3.05	56%	0.08	59.5	0.55%	0	-1	42	0
14	Sep_30_2009	101.58	105.9	106.52	106.81			106.68(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	2	59	1.45	62%	0.1	67.1	0.53%	0	1	65	0
15	Sep_29_2009	101.48	105.79	106.45	106.75			106.77(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	3	70	1.3	62%	0.1	63.8	0.52%	0	1.2	71	0

16	Sep_28_2009	101.38	105.71	106.33	106.65			107.19(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	8	78	0.73	62%	0.11	70.5	0.52%	0	1.8	75	0
17	Sep_25_2009	101.27	105.59	106.18	106.42			106.92(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	-10000	8	74	0.72	64%	0.11	76.4	0.52%	0	1.8	69	0
18	Sep_24_2009	101.16	105.46	106.1	106.19			106.51(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	0	71	0.63	64%	0.09	74.3	0.53%	0	1.4	68	0
19	Sep_23_2009	101.07	105.37	105.98	106.18			106.34(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	3	79	0.98	66%	0.11	86.6	0.53%	0	1.4	68	0
20	Sep_22_2009	100.96	105.26	105.81	106.1			106.29(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	4	78	0.82	66%	0.1	91.2	0.54%	0	1.4	70	0

21	Sep_21_2009	100.86	105.14	105.64	105.97			106.04(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	3	65	0.59	66%	0.1	88.4	0.54%	0	1.2	55	0
22	Sep_18_2009	100.76	105.01	105.53	105.89			105.79(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10000	-3	60	0.76	62%	0.1	82.4	0.54%	0	1	58	0
23	Sep_17_2009	100.66	104.91	105.43	105.98			106.46(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	8	73	0.98	65%	0.1	88.2	0.56%	0	1.9	67	0
24	Sep_16_2009	100.56	104.76	105.24	105.74			105.94(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	10	60	1.1	65%	0.11	90.5	0.56%	0	1.5	59	0
25	Sep_15_2009	100.45	104.61	105.08	105.46			105.61(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	7	46	1.05	65%		78.9	0.56%	0	1.3	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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