Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 6, 2009

Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF)
LQD latest price $96.9400 (0.45%) ($96.3300 - $97.0400) on Wed. May. 6, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $96.9400(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   LQD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LQD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(56%)    TLT(56%)    TIP(55%)    JNK(38%)    GLD(27%)
Factors Impacting LQD price   LQD will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
USO(0%)    XOP(3%)    OIH(4%)    FXI(10%)    EWP(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $96.36(0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $96.24(0.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $95.99(0.99%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. LQD price fluctuates within 0.76% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090606

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_6_2009	96.89	95.99	96.24	96.36			96.94(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	4	-10000	4	4	1.82	54%	0	106.6	0.7%	0	1.3	51	0
2	May_5_2009	96.89	95.8	96.14	96.23			96.51(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10000	4	-4	1.01	51%	0.02	71.3	0.7%	0	0.7	53	0
3	May_4_2009	96.87	95.62	96.12	96.09			96.2(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10000	1	-6	0.98	51%	0.02	55.5	0.71%	0	0.5	59	0
4	May_1_2009	96.85	95.47	96.11	96.07			95.97(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1	-10000	-1	-2	1.18	48%	0.02	48.1	0.71%	0	0.4	60	0
5	Apr_30_2009	96.83	95.35	96.16	96.12			96.2(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	1	19	1.13	48%	0.03	48.9	0.71%	0	0.6	71	0

6	Apr_29_2009	96.8	95.22	96.16	96.08			96.26(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	11	-10000	1	40	1.09	44%	0.03	50	0.72%	0	0.8	76	0
7	Apr_28_2009	96.77	95.11	96.21	96.05			95.8(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10000	-3	65	1.47	44%	0.03	53.8	0.73%	0	0.5	79	0
8	Apr_27_2009	96.74	94.99	96.19	96.16			96.11(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	-10000	0	92	1.2	50%	0.04	53.4	0.74%	0	0.8	82	0
9	Apr_24_2009	96.7	94.86	96.12	96.15			96.23(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	25	-10000	-2	106	1.54	48%	0.04	52	0.78%	0	1	82	0
10	Apr_23_2009	96.66	94.7	95.95	96.21			96.02(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	-10000	-4	118	1.3	48%	0.04	48.3	0.78%	0	0.9	72	0

11	Apr_22_2009	96.62	94.54	95.74	96.35			96.1(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	32	-10000	-1	129	1.78	48%	0.04	45	0.79%	0	1.1	73	0
12	Apr_21_2009	96.58	94.39	95.44	96.38			96.34(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	35	-10000	4	126	1.46	48%	0.06	49	0.79%	0	1.4	67	0
13	Apr_20_2009	96.52	94.26	95.11	96.22			96.04(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-10000	4	119	1.92	44%	0.06	53.2	0.79%	0	1.3	70	0
14	Apr_17_2009	96.46	94.14	94.8	96.07			96.57(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-10000	11	111	1.72	44%	0	57.5	0.81%	0	1.9	74	0
15	Apr_16_2009	96.46	94.03	94.48	95.64			96.69(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	36	-10000	15	98	1.76	44%	0.07	64.5	0.81%	0	2.3	76	0

16	Apr_15_2009	96.39	93.9	94.14	95.05			96.28(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	34	-10000	18	81	1.92	44%	0.05	72.5	0.81%	0	2.5	77	0
17	Apr_14_2009	96.34	93.7	93.9	94.36			95.54(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	-10000	15	58	1.69	44%	0.06	64	0.8%	0	2.2	68	0
18	Apr_13_2009	96.28	93.56	93.66	93.82			95.29(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	17	-10000	13	29	1.58	44%	0.11	67.1	0.8%	0	2.3	56	0
19	Apr_9_2009	96.17	93.42	93.46	93.34			94.38(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	5	-10000	5	3	1.39	42%	0.04	48.1	0.79%	0	1.3	53	0
20	Apr_8_2009	96.13	93.3	93.33	93.17			93.75(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	2	-18	1.14	42%	0.03	34.2	0.8%	0	0.6	41	0

21	Apr_7_2009	96.1	93.21	93.22	93.11			92.82(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	-7	-38	1.25	38%	0.02	22.4	0.79%	0	-0.5	36	0
22	Apr_6_2009	96.08	93.17	93.25	93.37			92.86(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-3	-21	0.91	38%	0.04	20.4	0.8%	0	-0.3	54	0
23	Apr_3_2009	96.04	93.07	93.37	93.47			92.91(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4	-10000	-3	-8	1.36	38%	0.03	8.7	0.8%	0	-0.2	52	0
24	Apr_2_2009	96.01	93.08	93.45	93.57			93.49(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	-10000	2	6	1.23	38%	0.03	6.8	0.8%	0	0.4	57	0
25	Apr_1_2009	95.98	93.05	93.56	93.5			93.46(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	9	-10000	4	25	1.4	38%		-3.9	0.81%	0	0.4	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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