Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 15, 2004

Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF)
LQD latest price $111.5300 (0%) ($111.3200 - $111.6600) on Wed. Sep. 15, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.37% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $111.5300(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   LQD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LQD advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LQD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(47%)    TLT(46%)    XLU(23%)    SHY(20%)    EWJ(18%)
Factors Impacting LQD price   LQD will decline at least -0.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
REMX(-1%)    OIH(8%)    XLY(12%)    EWP(13%)    XLP(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.185% (StdDev 0.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $111.37(0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $111.03(0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $110.89(0.58%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. LQD price fluctuates within 0.48% (three month std-dev: 0.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20041015

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_15_2004	108.5	110.89	111.03	111.37			111.53(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	10	-10000	5	26	0.03	67%	0.02	58.3	0.37%	0	1.2	59	0
2	Sep_14_2004	108.48	110.85	111.05	111.26			111.53(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	10	40	0.05	64%	0.02	66.7	0.4%	0	1.4	63	0
3	Sep_13_2004	108.46	110.78	111.02	111.05			111.5(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	15	41	0.15	64%	0.02	55.6	0.4%	0	1.4	62	0
4	Sep_10_2004	108.44	110.72	110.96	110.72			111.12(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	4	18	0.05	64%	0.01	41.9	0.4%	0	0.8	57	0
5	Sep_9_2004	108.43	110.65	110.92	110.72			111.18(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	3	-10000	0	11	0.05	64%	0.02	41.3	0.4%	0	1	53	0

6	Sep_8_2004	108.41	110.58	110.86	110.64			110.95(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-4	-10000	-8	10	0.06	64%	0.01	45.8	0.41%	0	0.7	55	0
7	Sep_7_2004	108.4	110.52	110.79	110.82			110.48(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-8	16	0.07	63%	-0.01	62.7	0.41%	0	-0.1	48	0
8	Sep_3_2004	108.41	110.51	110.77	111			109.86(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	0	-10000	-10	31	0.09	61%	0	82.4	0.4%	0	-1.2	50	0
9	Sep_2_2004	108.41	110.52	110.84	111.22			110.73(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	15	-10000	1	56	0.07	66%	0	94.6	0.39%	0	0.3	56	0
10	Sep_1_2004	108.41	110.45	110.85	111.21			111.2(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	-10000	5	71	0.13	63%	0.01	91.9	0.38%	0	1.1	65	0

11	Aug_31_2004	108.4	110.33	110.77	111.1			111.85(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	-10000	16	75	0.07	66%	0.01	88.2	0.4%	0	2	74	0
12	Aug_30_2004	108.39	110.17	110.64	110.75			111.38(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	11	60	0.07	65%	0.03	81.8	0.4%	0	1.7	70	0
13	Aug_27_2004	108.36	110.04	110.51	110.51			110.95(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	5	41	0.14	65%	-0.01	75	0.4%	0	1.3	60	0
14	Aug_26_2004	108.37	109.94	110.44	110.4			110.69(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	7	-10000	-2	34	0.04	65%	-0.01	66.7	0.4%	0	1	58	0
15	Aug_25_2004	108.38	109.82	110.36	110.43			110.62(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	2	46	0.23	65%	-0.01	59.7	0.4%	0	0.9	67	0

16	Aug_24_2004	108.39	109.68	110.26	110.39			110.1(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-6	50	0.39	63%	0	51.9	0.4%	0	0.5	66	0
17	Aug_23_2004	108.39	109.59	110.24	110.52			110.2(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	20	-10000	1	78	0.03	63%	-0.02	53.1	0.4%	0	0.7	70	0
18	Aug_20_2004	108.41	109.52	110.23	110.5			110.41(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	2	97	0.05	65%	-0.03	50.6	0.4%	0	1	70	0
19	Aug_19_2004	108.44	109.44	110.19	110.47			110.81(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	9	113	0.05	65%	-0.03	47.5	0.4%	0	1.6	72	0
20	Aug_18_2004	108.47	109.32	110.02	110.27			110.42(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-10000	7	111	0.08	65%	-0.03	44.7	0.4%	0	1.3	75	0

21	Aug_17_2004	108.5	109.23	109.88	110.12			110.74(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	36	-10000	9	116	0.04	67%	-0.03	43.1	0.4%	0	1.9	82	0
22	Aug_16_2004	108.53	109.12	109.67	109.92			110.14(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	1	107	0.13	65%	-0.04	40.9	0.4%	0	1.4	73	0
23	Aug_13_2004	108.57	109.08	109.53	109.91			110.25(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	2	109	0.06	64%	-0.04	48.4	0.4%	0	1.7	62	0
24	Aug_12_2004	108.61	109.02	109.39	109.88			109.81(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	6	108	0.08	62%	-0.05	55.9	0.41%	0	1.2	58	0
25	Aug_11_2004	108.66	108.95	109.24	109.74			109.66(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	7	96	0.03	62%		50.9	0.41%	0	1.1	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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