Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 27, 2004

Trading Signals: LQD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF)
LQD latest price $108.1600 (0.46%) ($107.4900 - $108.1800) on Thu. May. 27, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.47% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $108.1600(0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   LQD advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LQD advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LQD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(47%)    TLT(46%)    XLU(23%)    SHY(21%)    EWJ(18%)
Factors Impacting LQD price   LQD will decline at least -0.235% in a week (0% probabilities).
REMX(-2%)    OIH(8%)    XLY(12%)    EWP(13%)    XLP(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.235% (StdDev 0.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $107.35(0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $106.87(1.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $106.92(1.16%)
To recent high   -5.8%
To recent low   2.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. LQD price fluctuates within 1.09% (three month std-dev: 0.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040627

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_27_2004	111.23	106.92	106.87	107.35			108.16(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	-10000	11	107	0.18	32%	-0.03	-41.3	0.47%	0	1.1	65	0
2	May_26_2004	111.26	106.95	106.58	107.07			107.67(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	13	65	0.16	32%	-0.03	-49.2	0.46%	0	0.6	47	0
3	May_25_2004	111.29	107.02	106.38	106.76			107.19(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	6	15	0.22	32%	-0.03	-50	0.46%	0	0.1	39	0
4	May_24_2004	111.32	107.15	106.23	106.62			107.08(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	-10000	6	-24	0.19	32%	-0.03	-47.9	0.46%	0	-0	37	0
5	May_21_2004	111.35	107.27	106.07	106.48			106.65(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10000	7	-71	0.28	32%	-0.04	-50.3	0.45%	0	-0.4	32	0

6	May_20_2004	111.4	107.41	106.02	106.32			106.74(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	-10000	13	-108	0.05	32%	-0.04	-52.9	0.46%	0	-0.4	30	0
7	May_19_2004	111.44	107.57	106.09	106.01			106.15(-0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-35	-10000	4	-153	0.04	29%	-0.04	-56.3	0.45%	0	-0.8	24	0
8	May_18_2004	111.48	107.73	106.28	105.93			106.5(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-38	-10000	7	-172	0.05	29%	-0.04	-59.9	0.46%	0	-0.7	23	0
9	May_17_2004	111.53	107.88	106.44	105.77			106.35(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-46	-10000	7	-205	0.16	29%	-0.04	-64.4	0.46%	0	-0.9	19	0
10	May_14_2004	111.58	108.07	106.65	105.61			105.84(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-63	-10000	-4	-239	0.06	27%	-0.05	-68.9	0.45%	0	-1.3	21	0

11	May_13_2004	111.64	108.29	106.96	105.7			105.2(-0.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-80	-10000	-21	-257	0.11	27%	-0.06	-74.2	0.44%	0	-1.8	14	0
12	May_12_2004	111.71	108.53	107.34	106.2			105.76(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-73	-10000	-20	-233	0.1	28%	-0.04	-77.6	0.45%	0	-1.8	14	0
13	May_11_2004	111.76	108.76	107.71	106.68			105.72(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-68	-10000	-22	-206	0.22	31%	-0.05	-80.3	0.45%	0	-2.1	23	0
14	May_10_2004	111.82	109	108.16	107.21			105.51(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-61	-10000	-26	-164	0.34	31%	-0.05	-79.3	0.46%	0	-2.6	22	0
15	May_7_2004	111.88	109.28	108.59	107.85			106.3(-1.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-49	-10000	-22	-130	0.14	32%	-0.05	-85.6	0.45%	0	-2.8	21	0

16	May_6_2004	111.94	109.56	108.94	108.39			107.7(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-10000	-11	-103	0.05	35%	-0.03	-90.6	0.43%	0	-2	25	0
17	May_5_2004	111.97	109.75	109.19	108.65			108.19(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10000	-11	-83	0.26	36%	-0.02	-96.4	0.43%	0	-1.7	37	0
18	May_4_2004	111.99	109.92	109.33	108.91			108.35(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-15	-74	0.08	36%	-0.02	-98.8	0.43%	0	-1.7	35	0
19	May_3_2004	112.01	110.06	109.45	109.27			108.71(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21	-10000	-8	-59	0.21	36%	-0.02	-109	0.42%	0	-1.6	35	0
20	Apr_30_2004	112.03	110.2	109.59	109.46			109(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-18	-10000	-5	-56	0.07	36%	-0.02	-115.6	0.42%	0	-1.4	32	0

21	Apr_29_2004	112.05	110.41	109.73	109.58			109(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-9	-64	0.24	36%	-0.01	-96.8	0.43%	0	-1.4	28	0
22	Apr_28_2004	112.06	110.64	109.8	109.8			109.49(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-0	-69	0.13	35%	0	-80.9	0.42%	0	-0.9	32	0
23	Apr_27_2004	112.06	110.83	109.87	109.81			110.16(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	-10000	7	-82	0.11	40%	0.01	-80.7	0.43%	0	-0.5	35	0
24	Apr_26_2004	112.05	111	109.88	109.66			109.64(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	-10000	-4	-106	0.06	36%	-0.01	-80	0.43%	0	-0.9	37	0
25	Apr_23_2004	112.06	111.19	110.01	109.75			109.63(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-6	-110	0.07	34%		-77.8	0.43%	0	-1	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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