Trading Signals: LLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: LLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eli Lilly and Company)
LLY latest price $77.7762 (0.9%) ($77.4447 - $78.7246) on Fri. Nov. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.32% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $77.7762(0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   LLY advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LLY advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(20%)    IBB(18%)    ARKG(15%)    XBI(15%)    EWJ(12%)
Factors Impacting LLY price   LLY will decline at least -1.16% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    GDXJ(-8%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-2%)    BND(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.16% (StdDev 2.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.31(1.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.99(3.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $74.66(4.17%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $74.428b

Eli Lilly & Co. engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and sale of pharmaceutical products. It operates through the following segments: Human Pharmaceutical Products and Animal Health Products. The Human Pharmaceutical products segment includes the discovery, development, manufacturing, marketing and sales of human pharmaceutical products worldwide in the following therapeutic areas: neuroscience, endocrinology, oncology, cardiovascular and other. The Animal health Products segment operating through the Elanco Animal Health division, develops, manufactures, and markets products for both food and companion animals. The Animal health products include Rumensin, Tylan, Posilac, Paylean and other products for livestock and poultry, as well as Trifexis, Comfortis, and other products for companion animals. The company was founded by Eli Lilly on May 1876 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, IN.

$. LLY price fluctuates within 2.02% (three month std-dev: 2.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_20_2015	76.12	74.66	74.99	76.31			77.78(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	10	44	4.25	54%	-0.01	82.2	2.32%	0	2.1	61	0
2	Nov_19_2015	76.13	74.35	74.55	75.4			77.09(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	8	23	3.16	54%	0	54.8	2.37%	0	1.8	61	0
3	Nov_18_2015	76.13	74.02	74.2	74.69			77.02(2.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	6	-10000	6	5	3.92	54%	0.01	34.4	2.37%	0	1.9	58	0
4	Nov_17_2015	76.12	73.69	73.88	74.15			74.86(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-10000	3	-13	3.01	52%	-0.01	19.9	2.35%	0	0.8	41	0
5	Nov_16_2015	76.13	73.51	73.88	73.92			74.79(2.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	-10000	5	-14	3.32	52%	-0.04	11.3	2.35%	0	0.9	54	0

6	Nov_13_2015	76.16	73.44	73.84	73.48			73.25(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-10000	-1	-17	3.64	52%	-0.05	5.4	2.34%	0	-0.1	56	0
7	Nov_12_2015	76.2	73.5	73.98	73.56			73.53(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-2	-10000	-0	-7	3.65	52%	-0.03	-6	2.34%	0	0	61	0
8	Nov_11_2015	76.22	73.48	74.13	73.6			74.3(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2	-10000	0	8	3.32	52%	-0.01	-15.7	2.33%	0	0.5	69	0
9	Nov_10_2015	76.23	73.39	74.28	73.57			73.72(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-2	25	3.3	52%	-0.01	-29.6	2.33%	0	0.2	68	0
10	Nov_9_2015	76.24	73.34	74.32	73.77			72.61(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10000	-6	37	4.16	52%	-0.04	-38.4	2.33%	0	-0.5	60	0

11	Nov_6_2015	76.27	73.36	74.34	74.26			73.62(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10000	-2	46	6.08	50%	-0.03	-38.8	2.33%	0	0.1	51	0
12	Nov_5_2015	76.29	73.59	74.18	74.47			73.75(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10000	-3	41	3.79	50%	-0.03	-37.1	2.34%	0	0.1	46	0
13	Nov_4_2015	76.31	73.71	73.89	74.72			74.16(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-4	38	3.4	50%	-0.04	-35	2.35%	0	0.2	54	0
14	Nov_3_2015	76.34	73.83	73.55	75.09			74.72(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10000	2	43	4.83	50%	-0.03	-28.8	2.34%	0	0.4	58	0
15	Nov_2_2015	76.36	73.92	73.2	74.95			75.06(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	6	38	3.47	50%	-0.01	-21.3	2.34%	0	0.5	57	0

16	Oct_30_2015	76.37	74.09	73.01	74.42			74.63(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	7	30	4.04	50%	-0.05	-14.4	2.34%	0	0.2	57	0
17	Oct_29_2015	76.41	74.33	72.96	73.82			75.03(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	11	7	5.16	50%	-0.01	-15.1	2.34%	0	0.2	38	0
18	Oct_28_2015	76.42	74.46	72.74	72.9			76.01(2.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	-10000	13	-22	5.71	52%	0.01	-24	2.34%	0	0.5	47	0
19	Oct_27_2015	76.41	74.47	72.35	71.79			74.03(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-10	-10000	7	-60	4.77	50%	0.03	-38.9	2.33%	0	-0.2	42	0
20	Oct_26_2015	76.39	74.45	72.21	71.22			72.38(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-25	-10000	-3	-90	4.76	50%	0.03	-54.5	2.31%	0	-0.7	37	0

21	Oct_23_2015	76.37	74.5	72.24	71.43			71.65(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-10000	-7	-108	5.68	48%	0.01	-63.7	2.32%	0	-1	30	0
22	Oct_22_2015	76.36	74.77	72.9	72.01			70.43(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-30	-10000	-6	-102	10.08	48%	-0.01	-65	2.31%	0	-1.5	24	0
23	Oct_21_2015	76.37	75.16	73.51	72.54			70.46(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-28	-10000	-5	-97	8.97	47%	0	-68.6	2.32%	0	-1.6	33	0
24	Oct_20_2015	76.37	75.61	74.16	72.95			71.17(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10000	-4	-89	7.46	47%	-0.01	-63.2	2.33%	0	-1.6	39	0
25	Oct_19_2015	76.38	76.07	74.75	73.29			73.43(-1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	-10000	2	-72	5.87	49%		-55.4	2.31%	0	-1	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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