Trading Signals: LLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 29, 2015

Trading Signals: LLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eli Lilly and Company)
LLY latest price $76.1961 (-2.41%) ($76.1506 - $77.8331) on Mon. Jun. 29, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $76.1961(-2.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   LLY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LLY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(23%)    IBB(21%)    XBI(17%)    EEM(14%)    EWJ(14%)
Factors Impacting LLY price   LLY will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    GDXJ(-6%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-3%)    BND(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.28(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.07(0.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.01(1.58%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   19%
Market Cap   $72.916b

Eli Lilly & Co. engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and sale of pharmaceutical products. It operates through the following segments: Human Pharmaceutical Products and Animal Health Products. The Human Pharmaceutical products segment includes the discovery, development, manufacturing, marketing and sales of human pharmaceutical products worldwide in the following therapeutic areas: neuroscience, endocrinology, oncology, cardiovascular and other. The Animal health Products segment operating through the Elanco Animal Health division, develops, manufactures, and markets products for both food and companion animals. The Animal health products include Rumensin, Tylan, Posilac, Paylean and other products for livestock and poultry, as well as Trifexis, Comfortis, and other products for companion animals. The company was founded by Eli Lilly on May 1876 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, IN.

$. LLY price fluctuates within 3.33% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150729

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_29_2015	67.33	75.01	76.07	76.28			76.2(-2.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	-10000	3	-4	4.44	63%	0.19	64	1.39%	0	0.5	54	0
2	Jun_26_2015	67.2	74.8	76.09	76.12			78.08(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	11	20	14.37	65%	0.21	69.3	1.35%	0	1.3	72	0
3	Jun_25_2015	67.06	74.48	75.91	75.54			77.12(3.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	6	29	9.63	63%	0.22	68.9	1.35%	0	1	71	0
4	Jun_24_2015	66.91	74.11	76.03	75.22			74.81(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-5	59	4.21	60%	0.16	66	1.32%	0	0.2	68	0
5	Jun_23_2015	66.8	73.8	76.14	75.45			75.19(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-10000	-8	94	3.64	60%	0.16	65	1.33%	0	0.4	69	0

6	Jun_22_2015	66.69	73.45	76.17	75.83			75.41(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	31	-10000	-4	136	3.54	60%	0.17	70.1	1.33%	0	0.6	70	0
7	Jun_19_2015	66.58	73.07	75.82	76.04			75.15(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	31	-10000	-6	141	6.91	62%	0.17	70.9	1.36%	0	0.6	63	0
8	Jun_18_2015	66.47	72.71	75.47	76.33			75.52(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-10000	-12	149	7.25	65%	0.18	72.5	1.36%	0	0.8	65	0
9	Jun_17_2015	66.35	72.28	75.03	76.98			75.97(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	46	-10000	1	179	5.97	65%	0.18	77	1.43%	0	1	73	0
10	Jun_16_2015	66.23	71.83	74.54	76.91			77.11(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	56	-10000	7	202	5.69	69%	0.2	78.1	1.41%	0	1.4	80	0

11	Jun_15_2015	66.1	71.28	73.92	76.55			76.47(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	69	-10000	19	217	5.46	69%	0.18	77.1	1.42%	0	1.4	80	0
12	Jun_12_2015	65.98	70.77	73.44	75.54			76.59(-2.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	69	-10000	21	213	12.63	70%	0.18	71.4	1.42%	0	1.6	81	0
13	Jun_11_2015	65.86	70.25	72.93	74.43			78.75(4.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	78	-10000	32	214	16.74	74%	0.21	68.5	1.38%	0	2.5	91	0
14	Jun_10_2015	65.72	69.57	71.97	72.81			75.65(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	62	-10000	21	183	13.17	71%	0.17	66.1	1.3%	0	2.1	90	0
15	Jun_9_2015	65.61	69.04	71.21	71.83			75.28(5.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	54	-10000	19	158	10.11	72%	0.15	63.8	1.31%	0	2.4	88	0

16	Jun_8_2015	65.51	68.57	70.42	70.96			71.41(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	35	-10000	-2	145	6.07	68%	0.12	65.2	1.16%	0	1.3	85	0
17	Jun_5_2015	65.43	68.31	70.05	71.04			71.05(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	36	-10000	-3	152	2.79	63%	0.14	69.2	1.23%	0	1.3	84	0
18	Jun_4_2015	65.34	68	69.71	71.19			70.65(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	47	-10000	5	173	3.79	63%	0.12	71.4	1.23%	0	1.2	81	0
19	Jun_3_2015	65.26	67.72	69.34	70.96			70.78(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	55	-10000	13	180	3.27	63%	0.14	69.3	1.22%	0	1.4	85	0
20	Jun_2_2015	65.17	67.42	68.94	70.42			70.89(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	54	-10000	15	171	4.47	64%	0.14	66	1.23%	0	1.7	86	0

21	Jun_1_2015	65.08	67.16	68.49	69.76			71.85(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	52	-10000	20	149	4.87	66%	0.15	66.9	1.23%	0	2.4	82	0
22	May_29_2015	64.98	66.85	67.91	68.91			71.76(3.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	44	-10000	20	117	11.92	66%	0.12	70.6	1.24%	0	3.1	83	0
23	May_28_2015	64.9	66.49	67.35	68.06			69.49(2.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	35	-10000	14	98	4.82	64%	0.12	75.3	1.18%	0	2.6	82	0
24	May_27_2015	64.82	66.27	66.96	67.51			68.12(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-10000	7	79	2.9	61%	0.08	75.5	1.17%	0	1.9	75	0
25	May_26_2015	64.77	66.07	66.69	67.24			67.58(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	6	72	4.19	61%		65.2	1.17%	0	1.6	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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