Trading Signals: LLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: LLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eli Lilly and Company)
LLY latest price $64.7867 (0.29%) ($63.7733 - $65.0199) on Wed. Jan. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $64.7867(0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   LLY advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LLY advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(24%)    IBB(22%)    XBI(18%)    SPY(15%)    VT(15%)
Factors Impacting LLY price   LLY will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    GDXJ(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-2%)    BND(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.58(1.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.11(2.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $62.92(2.97%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   13.1%
Market Cap   $61.998b

Eli Lilly & Co. engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and sale of pharmaceutical products. It operates through the following segments: Human Pharmaceutical Products and Animal Health Products. The Human Pharmaceutical products segment includes the discovery, development, manufacturing, marketing and sales of human pharmaceutical products worldwide in the following therapeutic areas: neuroscience, endocrinology, oncology, cardiovascular and other. The Animal health Products segment operating through the Elanco Animal Health division, develops, manufactures, and markets products for both food and companion animals. The Animal health products include Rumensin, Tylan, Posilac, Paylean and other products for livestock and poultry, as well as Trifexis, Comfortis, and other products for companion animals. The company was founded by Eli Lilly on May 1876 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, IN.

$. LLY price fluctuates within 1.24% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_21_2015	60.25	62.92	63.11	63.58			64.79(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	23	-10000	13	54	5.2	73%	0.13	6.5	1.23%	0	2.4	62	0
2	Jan_20_2015	60.17	62.91	62.87	63.06			64.6(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	17	-10000	12	30	6.16	74%	0.15	4	1.27%	0	2.7	58	0
3	Jan_16_2015	60.08	62.9	62.62	62.59			63.39(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	3	-10000	3	1	4.26	72%	0.12	-10.5	1.24%	0	0.7	50	0
4	Jan_15_2015	60.01	62.88	62.55	62.46			62.54(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	-10000	-5	-9	4.05	72%	0.12	-16.8	1.24%	0	-0.4	47	0
5	Jan_14_2015	59.94	62.88	62.49	62.66			62.56(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-10000	2	-3	3.38	72%	0.1	-24.1	1.24%	0	-0.4	50	0

6	Jan_13_2015	59.88	62.87	62.48	62.57			62.22(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-2	-19	3.36	69%	0.12	-41.3	1.24%	0	-0.7	39	0
7	Jan_12_2015	59.81	62.88	62.54	62.63			62.26(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-10000	0	-30	5.8	69%	0.12	-51.1	1.26%	0	-0.7	35	0
8	Jan_9_2015	59.74	62.98	62.63	62.62			62.72(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10000	-0	-44	8.14	67%	0.13	-54.7	1.25%	0	-0.3	36	0
9	Jan_8_2015	59.66	63.02	62.64	62.64			63.56(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-10000	8	-41	7.47	70%	0.13	-53.1	1.26%	0	0.6	53	0
10	Jan_7_2015	59.58	63.07	62.53	62.31			62.09(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	-2	-58	9.04	65%	0.12	-55.6	1.24%	0	-1.1	52	0

11	Jan_6_2015	59.51	63.23	62.72	62.38			62.53(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-10000	-2	-45	5.13	65%	0.13	-32.9	1.27%	0	-0.7	52	0
12	Jan_5_2015	59.43	63.32	62.94	62.45			62.21(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-5	-27	4.85	65%	0.15	-14.4	1.26%	0	-1	51	0
13	Jan_2_2015	59.34	63.46	63.21	62.63			62.83(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10000	-0	-12	3.15	66%	0.24	9.6	1.27%	0	-0.6	43	0
14	Dec_31_2014	59.2	63.51	63.23	62.65			61.87(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-3	-18	2.49	65%	0.14	26.2	1.25%	0	-1.5	42	0
15	Dec_30_2014	59.12	63.58	63.29	62.78			62.46(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-8	-32	2.73	64%	0.14	46.5	1.25%	0	-1.1	39	0

16	Dec_29_2014	59.04	63.55	63.31	63.1			62.87(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-11	-40	1.74	64%	0.15	55.9	1.25%	0	-0.6	38	0
17	Dec_26_2014	58.95	63.48	63.27	63.52			63.13(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-9	-37	1.44	64%	0.26	65.6	1.25%	0	-0.3	44	0
18	Dec_24_2014	58.8	63.36	63.37	63.88			62.92(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-1	-24	1.51	63%	0.17	65.6	1.24%	0	-0.3	41	0
19	Dec_23_2014	58.7	63.23	63.45	63.91			62.54(-2.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-4	-10000	2	-22	4.78	63%	0.14	56.7	1.24%	0	-0.4	46	0
20	Dec_22_2014	58.62	63.12	63.67	63.82			64.05(-1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	-10000	8	-14	4.62	66%	0.15	50.2	1.21%	0	0.5	55	0

21	Dec_19_2014	58.53	62.95	63.78	63.51			64.93(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	14	2	8.31	68%	0.21	43.5	1.2%	0	1.1	66	0
22	Dec_18_2014	58.41	62.7	63.71	62.99			64.98(3.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	3	-10000	4	-1	5.88	69%	0.15	32.9	1.2%	0	1.2	67	0
23	Dec_17_2014	58.32	62.46	63.68	62.84			63.03(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-4	23	5.52	66%	0.14	30.7	1.14%	0	0.3	65	0
24	Dec_16_2014	58.24	62.36	63.76	62.98			62.11(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10000	-15	55	4.93	66%	0.1	33.9	1.13%	0	-0.1	64	0
25	Dec_15_2014	58.18	62.28	63.89	63.51			62.48(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10000	-16	106	5.72	66%		40.1	1.13%	0	0.1	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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