Trading Signals: LLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 14, 2014

Trading Signals: LLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eli Lilly and Company)
LLY latest price $54.4834 (0.99%) ($54.1183 - $54.5101) on Thu. Aug. 14, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $54.4834(0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   LLY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LLY declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(25%)    XBI(18%)    SPY(16%)    VT(16%)    EWJ(15%)
Factors Impacting LLY price   LLY will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    GDXJ(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-3%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

Resistance Level   $54.92
5 Day Moving Average   $54.09(0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.04(0.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.92(-0.79%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $52.138b

Eli Lilly & Co. engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and sale of pharmaceutical products. It operates through the following segments: Human Pharmaceutical Products and Animal Health Products. The Human Pharmaceutical products segment includes the discovery, development, manufacturing, marketing and sales of human pharmaceutical products worldwide in the following therapeutic areas: neuroscience, endocrinology, oncology, cardiovascular and other. The Animal health Products segment operating through the Elanco Animal Health division, develops, manufactures, and markets products for both food and companion animals. The Animal health products include Rumensin, Tylan, Posilac, Paylean and other products for livestock and poultry, as well as Trifexis, Comfortis, and other products for companion animals. The company was founded by Eli Lilly on May 1876 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, IN.

$. LLY price fluctuates within 2% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140914

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_14_2014	53.31	54.92	54.04	54.09			54.48(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	-10000	9	-66	1.8	48%	0.09	-32	0.95%	0	-0.4	33	0
2	Aug_13_2014	53.26	54.95	53.98	54.09			53.95(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10000	0	-117	4.14	50%	0.06	-39.5	0.94%	0	-0.9	25	0
3	Aug_12_2014	53.23	55.03	54.1	53.86			54.21(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-29	-10000	4	-128	3.48	50%	0.08	-39.8	0.97%	0	-0.8	27	0
4	Aug_11_2014	53.19	55.09	54.21	53.77			53.95(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-40	-10000	-4	-149	2.85	50%	0.08	-41.7	0.96%	0	-1.1	31	0
5	Aug_8_2014	53.15	55.18	54.4	53.87			53.86(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-40	-10000	-4	-148	2.67	50%	0.04	-39	0.96%	0	-1.3	31	0

6	Aug_7_2014	53.13	55.27	54.64	53.98			53.31(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-39	-10000	-5	-141	2.35	48%	0.04	-39	0.96%	0	-2	27	0
7	Aug_6_2014	53.11	55.38	54.99	54.11			53.98(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-10000	-11	-121	2.68	51%	0.04	-41.4	0.95%	0	-1.6	45	0
8	Aug_5_2014	53.09	55.46	55.26	54.38			53.77(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-10000	-13	-94	3.39	51%	0.04	-34.5	0.95%	0	-2.1	39	0
9	Aug_4_2014	53.07	55.54	55.52	54.71			54.44(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-26	-10000	-12	-67	4.38	54%	0.04	-25.2	0.94%	0	-1.5	43	0
10	Aug_1_2014	53.05	55.59	55.71	55.02			54.44(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-22	-10000	-15	-44	4.27	54%	0.02	-16.7	0.95%	0	-1.6	42	0

11	Jul_31_2014	53.04	55.66	55.88	55.4			53.93(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-21	-10000	-22	-18	5.49	54%	0.02	-1.7	0.95%	0	-2.7	39	0
12	Jul_30_2014	53.03	55.66	56.02	55.99			55.31(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-3	-10000	-12	23	3.97	62%	0.06	26.9	0.9%	0	-0.8	53	0
13	Jul_29_2014	53	55.74	56.05	56.28			55.44(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	7	-10000	-6	46	5.29	62%	0.04	47.3	0.9%	0	-0.6	54	0
14	Jul_28_2014	52.98	55.72	56.07	56.44			55.99(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	15	-10000	-2	65	3.96	66%	0.06	54.5	0.9%	0	0.5	62	0
15	Jul_25_2014	52.95	55.71	56.04	56.49			56.34(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	-10000	2	74	2.99	66%	0.08	64.6	0.9%	0	1.1	64	0

16	Jul_24_2014	52.91	55.67	55.96	56.43			56.86(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	15	76	5.1	63%	0.09	89.5	0.89%	0	2.2	63	0
17	Jul_23_2014	52.86	55.6	55.8	56.06			56.75(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	20	-10000	10	48	5.56	63%	0.08	109.9	0.91%	0	2.6	66	0
18	Jul_22_2014	52.82	55.5	55.64	55.81			56.28(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	12	-10000	6	30	3.1	58%	0.08	134.7	0.92%	0	2	64	0
19	Jul_21_2014	52.78	55.42	55.53	55.65			56.21(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	9	-10000	4	23	3.48	58%	0.08	165.2	0.94%	0	2.1	67	0
20	Jul_18_2014	52.74	55.35	55.43	55.54			56.06(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	6	-10000	4	12	3.28	58%	0.08	203.1	0.94%	0	2	52	0

21	Jul_17_2014	52.7	55.2	55.39	55.43			54.99(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-2	2	3.42	53%	0.04	121.4	0.92%	0	-0.3	41	0
22	Jul_16_2014	52.68	55.11	55.43	55.48			55.48(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	2	-10000	1	4	3.89	53%	0.08	101.4	0.91%	0	0.5	47	0
23	Jul_15_2014	52.64	54.97	55.4	55.45			55.52(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	3	8	3.86	53%	0.06	78.7	0.92%	0	0.6	62	0
24	Jul_14_2014	52.61	54.8	55.4	55.38			55.66(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-10000	3	5	2.45	53%	0.08	62.3	0.92%	0	0.7	61	0
25	Jul_11_2014	52.57	54.63	55.35	55.3			55.51(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1	-10000	-2	8	2.41	53%		53.4	0.93%	0	0.7	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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