Trading Signals: LLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: LLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eli Lilly and Company)
LLY latest price $52.1748 (-0.78%) ($51.8857 - $52.5646) on Wed. Apr. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $52.1748(-0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   LLY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LLY advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(25%)    XBI(18%)    SPY(16%)    VT(16%)    EWJ(15%)
Factors Impacting LLY price   LLY will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDXJ(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-3%)    LQD(-1%)    BNDX(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.71(-1.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.29(-0.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.78(0.76%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $49.929b

Eli Lilly & Co. engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and sale of pharmaceutical products. It operates through the following segments: Human Pharmaceutical Products and Animal Health Products. The Human Pharmaceutical products segment includes the discovery, development, manufacturing, marketing and sales of human pharmaceutical products worldwide in the following therapeutic areas: neuroscience, endocrinology, oncology, cardiovascular and other. The Animal health Products segment operating through the Elanco Animal Health division, develops, manufactures, and markets products for both food and companion animals. The Animal health products include Rumensin, Tylan, Posilac, Paylean and other products for livestock and poultry, as well as Trifexis, Comfortis, and other products for companion animals. The company was founded by Eli Lilly on May 1876 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, IN.

$. LLY price fluctuates within 1.56% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140523

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_23_2014	51.58	51.78	52.29	52.71			52.17(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	16	-10000	1	60	6.56	49%	0.06	61.5	1.15%	0	0.5	53	0
2	Apr_22_2014	51.55	51.69	52.22	52.68			52.59(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	6	59	6.27	49%	0.08	45.9	1.16%	0	1	58	0
3	Apr_21_2014	51.51	51.57	52.1	52.49			53.31(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	14	52	3.35	55%	0.14	33.1	1.15%	0	1.9	63	0
4	Apr_17_2014	51.44	51.43	51.93	52.07			52.94(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	-10000	10	38	4.75	55%	0.14	0	1.16%	0	1.9	68	0
5	Apr_16_2014	51.37	51.34	51.79	51.76			52.53(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.1	5	-10000	-3	27	5.32	55%	0.1	0	1.18%	0	1.7	67	0

6	Apr_15_2014	51.32	51.34	51.71	51.84			52.05(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	5	48	4.53	55%	0.08	0	1.2%	0	1.1	65	0
7	Apr_14_2014	51.28	51.29	51.65	51.7			51.64(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	2	51	3.68	55%	0.02	0	1.21%	0	0.5	65	0
8	Apr_11_2014	51.27	51.28	51.64	51.64			51.2(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-10000	-3	58	5.35	55%	0	0	1.23%	0	-0.1	60	0
9	Apr_10_2014	51.27	51.28	51.59	51.74			51.39(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2	-10000	-2	-1	5.51	55%	0.02	0	1.26%	0	72.4	58	0
10	Apr_9_2014	51.26	51.28	51.5	51.79			52.94(3.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	7	-10000	8	3	6.64	74%	0.2	0	1.07%	0	73.5	63	0

11	Apr_8_2014	51.16	51.28	51.24	51.57			51.32(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2	-10000	-2	-1	6.17	59%	0.02	0	0.79%	0	82.8	43	0
12	Apr_7_2014	51.15	51.28	51.13	51.61			51.35(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2	-10000	-2	-1	5.52	59%	0.02	0	0.82%	0	81.5	40	0
13	Apr_4_2014	51.14	51.28	51.03	51.65			51.69(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	11	4	5.18	59%	0.08	0	0.83%	0	79.5	50	0
14	Apr_3_2014	51.1	51.28	50.91	51.41			51.66(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	12	5	5.45	59%	0.08	0	0.86%	0	78.3	50	0
15	Apr_2_2014	51.06	51.28	50.86	51.15			51.82(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	-10000	13	5	3.88	59%	0.12	0	0.89%	0	78.5	50	0

16	Apr_1_2014	51	51.28	50.84	50.86			51.53(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	12	5	6.35	59%	0.1	0	0.91%	0	79.3	50	0
17	Mar_31_2014	50.95	51.28	50.87	50.58			51.56(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	9	-10000	11	4	5.1	59%	0.12	0	0.96%	0	78.1	50	0
18	Mar_28_2014	50.89	51.28	50.85	50.32			50.47(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2	-10000	-2	-1	3.12	29%	-0.08	0	0.66%	0	76.5	50	0
19	Mar_27_2014	50.93	51.28	50.85	50.35			50.4(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-10000	-10	-4	5.47	29%	-0.14	0	0.69%	0	74.1	50	0
20	Mar_26_2014	51	51.28	50.85	50.53			50.35(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-15	-6	6.63	29%	-0.18	0	0.72%	0	71.9	50	0

21	Mar_25_2014	51.09	51.28	50.85	50.81			50.12(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-10000	-21	-8	6.42	29%	-0.33	0	0.69%	0	71.6	50	0
22	Mar_24_2014	51.26	51.28	50.85	51.19			50.28(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-12	-10000	-14	-6	5.91	29%	-0.37	0	0.75%	0	81.1	50	0
23	Mar_21_2014	51.45	51.28	50.85	51.45			50.62(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.7	502	-10000	590	236	7.42	29%	-0.41	0	0.83%	0	105.5	50	0
24	Mar_20_2014	51.66	51.28	50.85	41.33			51.31(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	38.4	739	-10000	869	348	3.55	53%	-0.23	0	0.76%	0	197.3	50	0
25	Mar_19_2014	51.78	51.28	50.85	31.07			51.73(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	108.7	1132	-10000	1332	533	2.87	100%		0	0.75%	0	272.3	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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