Trading Signals: LIT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: LIT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 18, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF)
LIT latest price $21.4100 (2.69%) ($21.0750 - $21.4100) on Thu. Mar. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.79% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $21.4100(2.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   LIT advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LIT advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LIT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
REMX(78%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(69%)    IWO(69%)    SPY(69%)
Factors Impacting LIT price   LIT will decline at least -0.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-15%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.895% (StdDev 1.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.85(2.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.54(4.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.76(8.35%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. LIT price fluctuates within 4.96% (three month std-dev: 1.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 31 Average positive next day return: 0.95%(55%) Average negative next day return: -2.47%(45%) Sample size 31 Average positive next three day return: 2.4%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -3.67%(48%) Sample size 31 Average positive next weekly return: 3.13%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.74%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2016	18.92	19.76	20.54	20.85	20.79	20.92	21.41(2.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	57	40	28	142	0.02	58%	0.26	80	1.79%	0	1.7	79	INF
2	Mar_16_2016	18.87	19.6	20.37	20.56	20.63	20.59	20.85(2.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	-0	8	131	0.01	56%	0.16	81	1.77%	0	1.4	78	INF
3	Mar_15_2016	18.84	19.48	20.25	20.41	20.49	20.67	20.42(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	70	7	138	0.01	55%	0.16	81.3	1.77%	0	1	77	INF
4	Mar_14_2016	18.81	19.35	20.16	20.33	20.34	20.68	20.83(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	50	120	15	154	0.02	57%	0.16	82.5	1.76%	0	1.6	83	INF
5	Mar_11_2016	18.78	19.18	19.97	20.29	20.22	20.31	20.73(3.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	20	15	154	0.01	57%	0.21	76	1.78%	0	1.6	74	INF

6	Mar_10_2016	18.74	19	19.77	20.19	20.19	20.01	19.99(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	38	-60	-2	157	0.01	54%	0.11	68	1.73%	0	1	75	INF
7	Mar_9_2016	18.72	18.88	19.63	20.15	20.24	20.12	20.09(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	40	-30	-1	162	0	54%	0.11	63.8	1.74%	0	1.2	74	INF
8	Mar_8_2016	18.7	18.75	19.47	20.06	20.16	20.38	20.02(-2.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	47	90	10	159	0.05	54%	0.16	60.5	1.76%	0	1.3	69	INF
9	Mar_7_2016	18.67	18.62	19.32	19.94	19.98	20.36	20.61(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	73	140	38	176	0.02	57%	0.21	56.1	1.72%	0	2.1	82	INF
10	Mar_4_2016	18.63	18.48	19.13	19.59	19.67	19.94	20.25(2.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	66	110	33	166	0.02	55%	0.16	52.6	1.73%	0	2.1	83	INF

11	Mar_3_2016	18.6	18.38	18.91	19.29	19.35	19.6	19.79(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	57	100	25	151	0	53%	0.11	53.3	1.71%	0	2	82	INF
12	Mar_2_2016	18.58	18.28	18.75	19.04	19.13	19.4	19.61(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	57	110	28	142	0.02	53%	0.11	51.7	1.73%	0	2.1	75	INF
13	Mar_1_2016	18.56	18.18	18.63	18.81	18.87	19.09	19.43(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	51	90	23	134	0.03	53%	0.11	45.2	1.74%	0	2.2	75	INF
14	Feb_29_2016	18.54	18.1	18.47	18.61	18.62	18.87	18.88(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	100	9	120	0.02	50%	0.05	43.5	1.7%	0	1.6	71	INF
15	Feb_26_2016	18.53	18.06	18.32	18.59	18.54	18.66	18.74(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	40	17	111	0.01	50%	0	44.3	1.72%	0	1.5	58	INF

16	Feb_25_2016	18.53	18	18.18	18.47	18.48	18.37	18.56(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-40	3	74	0.01	50%	0	38.5	1.73%	0	1.3	51	INF
17	Feb_24_2016	18.53	17.96	18.07	18.41	18.4	18.43	18.42(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	10	-6	56	0	50%	0	38	1.75%	0	1.1	55	INF
18	Feb_23_2016	18.53	17.92	17.98	18.42	18.45	18.59	18.45(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	60	15	63	0.01	50%	0	37.1	1.77%	0	1.3	59	INF
19	Feb_22_2016	18.53	17.89	17.88	18.3	18.37	18.38	18.79(3.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	29	20	24	44	0.01	52%	0.05	28.4	1.77%	0	2.3	57	INF
20	Feb_19_2016	18.52	17.86	17.79	18.01	18.17	18.31	18.13(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	80	14	10	0	48%	-0.05	8.9	1.69%	0	0.8	51	INF

21	Feb_18_2016	18.53	17.83	17.8	17.83	17.95	18.36	18.26(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	21	180	25	7	0	48%	-0.05	-9.7	1.71%	0	1.3	57	INF
22	Feb_17_2016	18.54	17.8	17.77	17.68	17.64	18.03	18.46(3.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.4	22	150	30	-2	0.01	48%	0	-35	1.72%	0	2.1	59	INF
23	Feb_16_2016	18.54	17.77	17.68	17.48	17.48	17.54	17.84(2.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	3	20	15	-35	0.01	44%	-0.11	-60.7	1.64%	0	0.2	50	INF
24	Feb_12_2016	18.56	17.78	17.7	17.41	17.42	17.26	17.35(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-60	-17	-55	0.01	39%	-0.16	-72.2	1.58%	0	-1.4	43	INF
25	Feb_11_2016	18.59	17.83	17.77	17.55	17.51	17.43	17.25(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-40	-25	-45	0.01	39%		-66.9	1.6%	0	-2	36	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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