Trading Signals: LI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 28, 2023

Trading Signals: LI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jul. 31, 2020 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Li Auto Inc.)
LI latest price $35.1050 (0.89%) ($35.1050 - $35.1500) on Wed. Jun. 28, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.11% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $35.1050(0.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   LI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LI advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(63%)    MCHI(62%)    KWEB(60%)    IDRV(57%)    VWO(56%)
Factors Impacting LI price   LI will decline at least -1.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-35%)    VIXM(-26%)    VXX(-21%)    TBT(-7%)    XLV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.555% (StdDev 3.11%)
Hourly BBV 1.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.28(2.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.07(3.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.42(8.28%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   59.5%
Market Cap   $23.437b

Li Auto, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures and sells premium smart electric SUVs energy vehicle. It provides safe, convenient, and cost-effective mobility solutions to families. The firm model includes Li ONE & EREV. Its passenger vehicle market categorized into sedan, SUV, and MPV segments. The company was founded by Xiang Li , Yanan Shen, Tie Li , Donghui Ma in April 2015 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. LI price fluctuates within 6.17% (three month std-dev: 3.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.74%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.25%(44%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.37%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -3.83%(46%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 6.12%(42%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.88%(58%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_28_2023	26.25	32.42	34.07	34.28	34.25	34.96	35.11(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	140	13	78	5.44	75%	0.38	72.8	3.11%	1.1	1.3	67	1.2
2	Jun_27_2023	26.15	32.07	33.7	34.21	34.25	34.34	34.8(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	40	16	84	4.73	75%	0.38	69.4	3.19%	1.3	1.3	73	1.1
3	Jun_26_2023	26.05	31.75	33.4	34.02	34.07	33.55	33.88(1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-100	-6	83	3.66	75%	0.35	67.6	3.19%	0.4	1.1	74	1
4	Jun_23_2023	25.96	31.5	33.22	34.13	34.05	33.81	33.23(-3.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-60	-20	101	4.35	75%	0.27	66	3.19%	-1.3	0.8	73	1.1
5	Jun_22_2023	25.89	31.28	33.09	34.38	34.36	34.58	34.39(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	48	40	15	145	2.76	78%	0.31	64.4	3.15%	-0	1.4	81	1.4

6	Jun_21_2023	25.81	31.02	32.84	33.81	34.37	34.29	34.77(2.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	55	30	24	148	8.39	78%	0.43	57.5	3.15%	1	1.7	82	1.3
7	Jun_20_2023	25.7	30.73	32.37	33.09	33.53	34.14	33.82(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	170	9	131	6.24	78%	0.39	50.4	3.16%	0.3	1.5	83	1.2
8	Jun_16_2023	25.6	30.46	31.95	32.68	32.87	34.44	34.47(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	67	350	41	143	6.09	78%	0.35	47.2	3.12%	1.4	2.1	86	1.6
9	Jun_15_2023	25.51	30.17	31.41	32.19	32.2	32.92	34.46(9.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	64	160	42	130	11.37	78%	0.55	47.1	3.14%	0	2.6	79	1.2
10	Jun_13_2023	25.37	29.92	30.84	31.66	31.6	31.3	31.52(1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-70	-6	103	7.31	77%	0.32	67.5	2.97%	-0.2	1.2	72	1.3

11	Jun_12_2023	25.29	29.83	30.61	31.74	31.7	31.47	31.17(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-50	-5	106	6.22	77%	0.36	93.5	3.01%	-1.4	1.1	61	1.4
12	Jun_9_2023	25.2	29.74	30.33	31.52	31.88	31.9	31.77(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	40	14	102	5.47	77%	0.44	114.4	3%	-1.2	1.7	68	1.7
13	Jun_8_2023	25.09	29.6	29.98	31.06	31.46	31.92	32.04(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	140	20	85	4.18	71%	0.44	137.4	3.03%	0.5	2.2	72	2
14	Jun_7_2023	24.98	29.4	29.65	30.47	30.81	31.86	31.81(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	42	270	33	68	6.51	66%	0.4	163.5	3.13%	0.8	2.4	70	2.2
15	Jun_6_2023	24.88	29.06	29.32	29.91	30.14	30.99	31.92(6.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	38	220	37	41	11.43	66%	0.28	124	3.23%	1.7	2.3	59	2.4

16	Jun_5_2023	24.81	28.71	29.04	29.35	29.41	29.77	30.06(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	90	18	11	5.84	64%	0.32	105.4	3.15%	0.8	1	49	2.3
17	Jun_2_2023	24.73	28.42	28.93	28.98	29.18	29.29	29.47(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	50	12	-7	9.31	64%	0.28	82.4	3.15%	0.4	0.6	50	2.2
18	Jun_1_2023	24.66	28.16	28.85	28.73	28.85	29.05	29.11(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	60	3	-23	6.65	64%	0.28	70.8	3.17%	0.4	0.5	48	2
19	May_31_2023	24.59	27.87	28.82	28.68	28.64	29.07	28.99(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	100	8	-19	7.04	64%	0.29	61.8	3.22%	0.1	0.5	58	1.2
20	May_30_2023	24.52	27.58	28.91	28.62	28.61	28.66	29.14(3.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	6	10	6	7	12.33	64%	0.45	58.3	3.22%	0.8	0.6	76	1.3

21	May_26_2023	24.41	27.32	28.98	28.7	28.5	28.21	28.18(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-90	-13	34	5.52	62%	0.21	58.2	3.17%	-0.5	0.3	75	0.8
22	May_25_2023	24.36	27.1	29.11	28.88	28.83	28.56	28.25(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-70	-8	77	3.92	62%	0.25	59.8	3.19%	-1.4	0.4	78	0.2
23	May_24_2023	24.3	26.86	29.22	28.98	29.04	28.78	28.87(0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	26	-60	-5	119	8.25	62%	0.33	59.2	3.2%	-0.6	0.7	82	-0.2
24	May_23_2023	24.22	26.55	29.17	28.97	29.01	29.1	28.7(-2.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	32	30	-9	155	5.09	62%	0.17	54.1	3.24%	-1.6	0.7	84	0.9
25	May_22_2023	24.18	26.22	28.84	29.23	29.04	29.31	29.5(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	50	50	3	191	7.39	62%		50.9	3.23%	1.1	1.1	87	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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