Trading Signals: LI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ LI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 7, 2022

Trading Signals: LI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jul. 31, 2020 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Li Auto Inc.)
LI latest price $29.7750 (2.3%) ($29.7750 - $29.7750) on Tue. Jun. 7, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.05% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $29.7750(2.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   LI advances 3.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LI advances 8.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(65%)    MCHI(64%)    FXI(63%)    EEM(52%)    LIT(48%)
Factors Impacting LI price   LI will decline at least -3.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-11%)    TBT(-6%)    VXX(-4%)    UNG(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.525% (StdDev 7.05%)
Hourly BBV 0.9 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.41(8.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.62(16.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.01(24.01%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   69.4%
Market Cap   $19.878b

Li Auto, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures and sells premium smart electric SUVs energy vehicle. It provides safe, convenient, and cost-effective mobility solutions to families. The firm model includes Li ONE & EREV. Its passenger vehicle market categorized into sedan, SUV, and MPV segments. The company was founded by Xiang Li , Yanan Shen, Tie Li , Donghui Ma in April 2015 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. LI price fluctuates within 11% (three month std-dev: 7.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 6.51%(50%) Average negative next day return: -4.8%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 9.34%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -5.96%(62%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 11.37%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.39%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220707

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_7_2022	25.66	24.01	25.62	27.41	27.88	29.44	29.78(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	440	27	82	8.54	55%	0.2	62.4	7.05%	0.9	2.2	73	1.2
2	Jun_6_2022	25.61	23.46	24.96	26.47	26.82	27.67	29.11(10.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	35	260	24	68	13.59	55%	-0.08	46.6	7.09%	1.2	2.3	76	1.1
3	Jun_3_2022	25.63	23.03	24.4	25.5	25.81	26.33	26.23(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	180	9	53	3.94	50%	-0.19	37.5	6.97%	0.4	1.5	72	1.4
4	Jun_2_2022	25.68	22.78	24.16	25.1	25.32	25.98	26.43(3.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	28	210	17	62	8.19	50%	-0.19	33	7.03%	1.5	1.8	78	1.3
5	Jun_1_2022	25.73	22.62	23.84	24.3	24.77	25.3	25.53(1.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	27	210	17	58	7.35	50%	-0.16	27.3	7.02%	1.3	1.6	77	1.5

6	May_31_2022	25.77	22.47	23.64	23.54	24	24.67	25.07(3.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	22	250	11	54	6.87	50%	-0.23	21.5	7.12%	1.2	1.5	77	1.4
7	May_27_2022	25.83	22.36	23.34	23.21	23.15	24.25	24.28(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	21	320	8	59	8.4	53%	-0.15	20.8	7.1%	0.9	1.2	78	1.8
8	May_26_2022	25.87	22.25	23.09	23.15	22.94	23.33	24.2(7.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	90	10	63	6.33	53%	-0.19	21.1	7.16%	1.6	1.3	63	1.8
9	May_25_2022	25.92	22.14	22.7	23.11	22.88	22.05	22.44(3.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-280	-7	52	7.46	51%	-0.31	20.3	7.14%	0	0.2	55	1.7
10	May_24_2022	26	22.13	22.5	23.3	23.27	22.55	21.72(-7.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-1	-220	-15	42	8.49	51%	-0.42	20.2	7.13%	-1.9	-0.3	44	2.1

11	May_23_2022	26.11	22.11	22.33	23.72	23.7	23.71	23.44(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	0	1	48	6.15	53%	-0.34	15.2	7.07%	-0.7	0.9	52	2.2
12	May_20_2022	26.2	22.04	21.9	23.44	23.79	23.99	23.99(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	100	10	30	9.64	53%	-0.3	-0.6	7.02%	-0.1	1.4	52	2
13	May_19_2022	26.28	21.94	21.58	23	23.3	23.69	23.99(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	160	13	17	7.55	53%	-0.23	-21	7.08%	0.5	1.5	56	1.7
14	May_18_2022	26.34	21.85	21.31	22.23	22.75	23.59	23.4(-1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	13	330	17	-1	7.31	53%	-0.23	-48.8	7.13%	0.1	1.2	55	2
15	May_17_2022	26.4	21.84	21.28	21.58	21.94	22.91	23.78(7.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	15	360	22	-8	9.89	53%	-0.26	-59.6	7.14%	1.3	1.3	56	1.8

16	May_16_2022	26.47	21.89	21.15	20.76	21.02	21.91	22.04(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	8	330	18	-22	6.29	51%	-0.15	-67.2	7.06%	0.7	0.1	55	2.4
17	May_13_2022	26.51	22.05	21.24	20.14	20.38	20.97	21.78(8.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	240	11	-35	14.28	52%	-0.34	-76.2	6.99%	0.9	-0.2	49	1.6
18	May_12_2022	26.6	22.23	21.29	19.97	19.67	20.14	20.16(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	120	-3	-44	12.93	50%	-0.41	-73.6	6.97%	-0.5	-1.1	41	1.6
19	May_11_2022	26.71	22.52	21.5	20.27	19.87	19.8	20.13(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-80	-7	-41	18.65	50%	-0.37	-69.8	7.02%	0.5	-1.2	40	1.8
20	May_10_2022	26.81	22.76	21.72	20.95	20.25	19.21	19.68(3.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-460	-18	-36	9.83	50%	-0.33	-68.8	7.03%	-0.1	-1.6	34	2.4

21	May_9_2022	26.9	23.04	21.9	21.6	21.28	19.94	18.94(-9.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-29	-490	-25	-40	6.99	50%	-0.41	-71.3	7.01%	-1.5	-2.2	24	2
22	May_6_2022	27.01	23.4	22.26	22.48	22.28	21.3	20.94(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	-330	-16	-30	4.69	53%	-0.37	-69.9	6.83%	-1.2	-1.5	28	1.4
23	May_5_2022	27.11	23.67	22.42	22.78	22.87	22.62	21.65(-8.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-60	-7	-32	5.57	53%	-0.33	-64.5	6.87%	-1.5	-1.2	29	1.7
24	May_4_2022	27.2	23.96	22.51	22.88	23.06	23.26	23.57(2.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	80	6	-37	4.76	58%	-0.26	-58.4	6.85%	2.1	-0.2	34	1
25	May_3_2022	27.27	24.15	22.47	22.61	22.71	23.12	22.92(-1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	140	7	-47	3.95	58%		-55	6.91%	0.3	-0.6	39	-0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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